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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Clippers22%9187
5Spurs78%101103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
34.2
32.3
10
44%
5
1
0
1
1
2
3
2
0-1
0%
5-11
5-11
45%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
33.7
35.6
10
51%
2
2
0
1
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
3-7
0%
50%
3-6
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
31.8
35.6
23
58%
15
0
1
1
0
1
3
12
3-4
75%
10-18
7-15
56%
49%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.7
27.6
34.1
11
43%
1
6
0
2
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
4-9
4-10
44%
44%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
24.0
35.2
6
50%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.6
26.9
25.3
18
65%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
44%
2-5
40%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.5
20.4
11.6
3
22%
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-6
1-3
17%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.6
12.1
4.9
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.1
12.0
5.3
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
6.8
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.4
6.4
4.0
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
4.2
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.8
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.5
27.1
26.2
11
57%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
49%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
26.6
32.4
19
67%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-7
71%
7-10
7-12
70%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
24.9
31.1
13
67%
3
3
1
1
2
0
0
3
3-4
75%
5-8
8-14
63%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.6
22.9
22.1
11
92%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
3-4
75%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
16.0
16.4
8
63%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-3
0%
4-5
3-5
80%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.4
29.8
25.5
7
52%
2
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
1-2
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.6
24.2
23.9
2
14%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
23.1
3.1
10
50%
7
2
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-10
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
19.8
21.5
12
68%
3
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
18.9
20.6
10
71%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
3.4
1.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
3.4
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
58%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.1
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.