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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons36%8776
16Bobcats64%9188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
38.1
32.0
20
45%
3
1
3
1
1
1
1
2
2-5
40%
9-19
7-15
47%
44%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.8
28.4
31.0
6
30%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
27.8
27.1
6
61%
8
0
1
1
1
0
4
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.8
17.5
18.5
4
33%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.4
17.0
23.1
9
65%
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
1-1
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.0
27.6
21.9
12
48%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-8
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.3
22.6
27.1
4
25%
4
0
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.5
22.5
19.7
4
25%
7
1
2
0
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
1-4
25%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
18.4
12.6
3
19%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
15.8
7.3
8
100%
5
0
3
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.8
4.4
13.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
8.0
0
1-2
46%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.8
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
42.6
41.6
29
70%
12
3
2
2
4
4
1
11
5-6
83%
6-12
6-11
50%
52%
4-6
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
42.0
26.5
8
45%
3
3
0
1
0
5
1
2
0-2
0%
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
0-3
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.7
40.7
33.9
13
43%
8
4
0
1
1
5
1
7
0-0
-
2-10
5-11
20%
47%
3-5
60%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.5
36.9
35.4
10
56%
2
8
3
2
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.2
18.7
32.0
1
27%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
59%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.3
18.4
9.1
12
64%
9
0
1
0
1
0
3
6
0-1
0%
6-9
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.1
17.8
17.2
8
51%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
17.0
14.5
5
83%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.3
5.0
11.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.9
0.9
6.2
2
114%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.0
9.1
0
1-2
48%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.9
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.