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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Trail Blazers34%9385
5Mavericks66%9881
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
44.9
37.0
19
55%
12
2
1
1
1
1
5
7
1-3
33%
9-16
7-14
56%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.4
41.0
40.0
23
51%
3
6
4
1
1
2
1
2
8-8
100%
6-15
7-15
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
28.3
30.9
3
25%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.8
22.1
27.9
12
47%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.2
8.8
30.1
1
57%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.9
34.3
13.8
10
50%
10
4
1
0
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
5-10
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.8
27.8
27.4
6
43%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
42%
2-2
100%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
26.0
21.6
9
51%
4
2
1
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.7
3.9
3.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.6
3.1
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.7
6.5
0
0-1
46%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
3.9
0
1-1
46%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.9
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.0
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.3
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.5
41.1
26.2
27
84%
9
1
2
1
1
6
1
8
5-7
71%
8-11
6-11
73%
50%
2-2
100%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.8
36.9
35.4
3
25%
6
6
0
2
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-6
17%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
35.5
26.5
22
67%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.4
31.3
27.4
8
38%
15
2
0
0
0
1
6
9
2-8
25%
3-6
3-5
50%
62%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.6
25.4
31.5
0
0%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-7
5-9
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
28.1
32.5
8
27%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-8
4-8
13%
51%
1-5
20%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.7
21.1
27.6
8
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
14.6
18.3
5
32%
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
6.1
19.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.6
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
3.3
0
1-1
46%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.