for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Raptors49%9794
24Pistons51%9864
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.2
33.3
32.2
21
66%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.7
33.3
32.6
12
89%
9
1
0
1
1
4
0
9
4-4
100%
4-5
7-14
80%
51%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.8
32.4
31.6
11
61%
3
11
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
3-5
60%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
30.0
30.6
14
80%
5
7
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
2-3
67%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
18.3
21.4
6
51%
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
23.6
14.9
9
56%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.6
23.3
18.6
9
52%
6
1
0
1
4
1
2
4
3-6
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
21.9
23.5
6
43%
8
3
1
1
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.1
18.0
14.5
3
52%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
6.1
5.6
3
80%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.6
6.3
0
1-2
51%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
5.4
0
0-1
46%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.6
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.8
37.5
29.7
10
43%
9
0
1
1
0
1
5
4
5-6
83%
1-5
4-6
20%
56%
1-4
25%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
32.2
34.3
8
29%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-13
8-16
23%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.8
29.4
18.4
10
39%
9
0
0
0
0
0
3
6
2-2
100%
4-12
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
24.2
27.5
4
34%
10
1
0
1
0
0
5
5
0-2
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.4
11.3
20.7
2
26%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.0
32.6
24.3
12
40%
3
3
0
1
0
4
2
1
0-2
0%
6-14
4-8
43%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
23.8
11.0
11
44%
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
2
3-6
50%
4-10
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
19.3
14.9
5
28%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.3
12.2
25.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.5
11.4
20.7
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
55%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.8
6.2
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
7.4
0
1-2
49%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.8
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.