FinalWin Prob.pScore
953%98
70
1547%97
80
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
76.99195.7
MIA logo MIA
88.99085.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA70
0%
80
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0UTAKoufos Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Miles 4 AST)70
0%
80
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0UTAPrice Driving Layup (6 PTS)68
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0UTAChalmers STEAL (2 STL)66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02UTAMISS Miles 6' Hook Shot66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T15)66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30UTAMISS Koufos 10' Turnaround Hook Shot66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45UTAJazz Rebound66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59UTAMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (29 PTS)66
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 2:41UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Shot64
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)64
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 3:01UTAMISS Boozer 4' Turnaround Hook Shot64
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)64
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 3:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q4 - 3:39UTAAnthony BLOCK (5 BLK)64
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 3:48UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 4:14UTAKirilenko Layup (8 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)64
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q4 - 4:21UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper62
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q4 - 4:39MIAHEAT Rebound62
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q4 - 4:40UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS)62
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q4 - 5:12UTAWade STEAL (2 STL)62
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q4 - 5:26MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)62
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAHEAT Rebound62
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q4 - 5:54UTAD. Williams Driving Dunk (16 PTS)62
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 6:05UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot60
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q4 - 6:20MIAHEAT Rebound60
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot60
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q4 - 6:40UTAMatthews 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)60
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)58
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)58
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Chalmers Layup58
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q4 - 6:59UTAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)58
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q4 - 7:06UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q4 - 7:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 7:22UTABeasley BLOCK (2 BLK)58
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q4 - 7:27UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 258
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q4 - 7:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)58
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q4 - 7:56UTAMISS Brewer Driving Layup58
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q4 - 8:02UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Chalmers Layup58
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q4 - 8:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q4 - 8:18UTAMISS Price 12' Jump Shot58
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q4 - 8:22UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q4 - 8:24UTAAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)58
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q4 - 8:38MIAAnthony 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q4 - 8:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)58
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q4 - 8:41MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot58
9.2%
68
90.8%
Q4 - 8:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup58
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q4 - 8:58UTAOkur 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q4 - 9:08UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot56
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q4 - 9:25UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q4 - 9:25UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 255
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q4 - 9:38MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)55
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q4 - 9:56MIAHEAT Rebound55
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q4 - 10:20UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q4 - 10:20UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
10.2%
65
89.8%
Q4 - 10:20UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q4 - 10:21UTAMISS Okur 7' Hook Shot53
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q4 - 10:35UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot53
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q4 - 10:54UTABrewer Layup (3 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)53
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q4 - 11:09MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)51
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q4 - 11:26UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q4 - 11:26UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)49
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA49
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (22 PTS)49
7.4%
63
92.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)49
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot49
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q3 - 1:08UTAPrice 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 1:09UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 1:10UTAWade BLOCK (3 BLK)47
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 1:46UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q3 - 1:46UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)46
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 245
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
10.7%
57
89.3%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot45
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 2:17UTAPrice 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
10.6%
57
89.4%
Q3 - 2:18UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 2:19UTAMISS Boozer 4' Jump Shot43
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 2:21UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 2:22UTAMISS Boozer 4' Jump Shot43
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 2:27UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 2:29UTAMISS Matthews Free Throw 2 of 243
7.7%
57
92.3%
Q3 - 2:29UTAMISS Matthews Free Throw 1 of 243
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q3 - 2:29UTAJazz Rebound43
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot43
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 2:45UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)43
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 3:00MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)40
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 3:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
7.2%
55
92.8%
Q3 - 3:11UTAMISS Miles 13' Jump Shot40
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q3 - 3:12UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 3:13UTAAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)40
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q3 - 3:39MIAArroyo Driving Layup (7 PTS)40
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q3 - 3:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 3:49UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot40
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q3 - 4:03MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T12)40
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q3 - 4:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q3 - 4:19UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
11.1%
53
88.9%
Q3 - 4:41MIARichardson Putback Layup (8 PTS)40
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q3 - 4:42MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
16.1%
51
83.9%
Q3 - 5:00UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)40
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q3 - 5:00UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 239
13.9%
51
86.1%
Q3 - 5:04UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup39
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 5:12UTAArroyo STEAL (2 STL)39
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)39
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 5:43UTAMiles Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)39
17.3%
49
82.7%
Q3 - 5:49MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q3 - 5:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
25.7%
46
74.3%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot39
28.3%
46
71.7%
Q3 - 6:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
25.7%
46
74.3%
Q3 - 6:01UTAAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)39
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q3 - 6:11UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
30.5%
46
69.5%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Wade Layup39
29.4%
46
70.6%
Q3 - 6:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
26.8%
46
73.2%
Q3 - 6:17UTAWade BLOCK (2 BLK)39
27.9%
46
72.1%
Q3 - 6:37MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)39
30.5%
46
69.5%
Q3 - 6:49UTABeasley STEAL (2 STL)39
33.6%
44
66.4%
Q3 - 7:12MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)39
38.2%
44
61.8%
Q3 - 7:15UTAArroyo STEAL (1 STL)39
41.6%
42
58.4%
Q3 - 7:19UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
45.7%
42
54.3%
Q3 - 7:21UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 239
42.1%
42
57.9%
Q3 - 7:21UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q3 - 7:37MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)38
41.9%
42
58.1%
Q3 - 7:48UTABoozer Driving Layup (14 PTS)38
49.2%
39
50.8%
Q3 - 8:05MIABeasley Driving Layup (5 PTS)36
45.8%
39
54.2%
Q3 - 8:18UTABoozer Foul Turnover (P3.T13)36
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q3 - 8:29UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
53.4%
37
46.6%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Richardson 5' Jump Shot36
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q3 - 8:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot36
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q3 - 8:50UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q3 - 8:50UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 235
48.3%
37
51.7%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)35
49.7%
37
50.3%
Q3 - 9:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
53.4%
35
46.6%
Q3 - 9:09UTAMISS Okur 8' Turnaround Hook Shot35
54.5%
35
45.5%
Q3 - 9:25MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
57.1%
35
42.9%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 235
57.7%
34
42.3%
Q3 - 9:37UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (13 PTS)35
57.0%
34
43.0%
Q3 - 9:41UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
52.3%
34
47.7%
Q3 - 9:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot33
52.3%
34
47.7%
Q3 - 10:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
49.9%
34
50.1%
Q3 - 10:16UTAMISS Brewer Reverse Layup33
51.0%
34
49.0%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)33
53.6%
34
46.4%
Q3 - 10:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
49.9%
34
50.1%
Q3 - 10:34UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
51.0%
34
49.0%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)33
53.5%
34
46.5%
Q3 - 10:58UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)33
49.9%
34
50.1%
Q3 - 11:24MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)30
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
46.7%
32
53.3%
Q3 - 11:39UTAMISS Boozer 13' Running Hook Shot30
47.8%
32
52.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA30
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound30
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Miles 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)30
50.3%
32
49.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)30
57.7%
29
42.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Haslem Reverse Layup30
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)30
57.7%
29
42.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
60.3%
29
39.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q2 - 1:08UTAMillsap Layup (4 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)30
57.9%
29
42.1%
Q2 - 1:16UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
53.8%
29
46.2%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot28
53.1%
29
46.9%
Q2 - 1:33UTAD. Williams Layup (8 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)28
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 1:41UTAJazz Rebound26
47.2%
29
52.8%
Q2 - 1:42UTAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)26
45.5%
29
54.5%
Q2 - 1:48UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
47.2%
29
52.8%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup26
46.5%
29
53.5%
Q2 - 2:06UTAD. Williams Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T11)26
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 2:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
47.9%
29
52.1%
Q2 - 2:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
48.6%
28
51.4%
Q2 - 2:41UTABoozer Foul Turnover (P2.T10)26
51.0%
27
49.0%
Q2 - 2:52MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
54.3%
27
45.7%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHEAT Rebound26
57.4%
25
42.6%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot26
59.8%
25
40.2%
Q2 - 3:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)26
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup26
59.8%
25
40.2%
Q2 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)26
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q2 - 3:24UTAMISS Boozer 15' Turnaround Jump Shot26
58.4%
25
41.6%
Q2 - 3:48MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
60.9%
25
39.1%
Q2 - 3:48MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q2 - 4:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
63.2%
23
36.8%
Q2 - 4:06UTAMISS Okur 18' Jump Shot26
64.1%
23
35.9%
Q2 - 4:23MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)26
66.2%
23
33.8%
Q2 - 4:39UTAMatthews 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)26
63.2%
23
36.8%
Q2 - 4:51UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
60.6%
23
39.4%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup24
59.6%
23
40.4%
Q2 - 5:06UTAD. Williams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)24
57.7%
23
42.3%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T8)22
54.6%
23
45.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot22
53.8%
23
46.2%
Q2 - 5:47UTAOkur 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)22
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 6:11MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)20
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
51.4%
21
48.6%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot20
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIAHEAT Rebound20
51.4%
21
48.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot20
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q2 - 6:47UTAD. Williams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)20
51.4%
21
48.6%
Q2 - 7:02MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T7)18
49.2%
21
50.8%
Q2 - 7:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q2 - 7:15UTAMISS Kirilenko 18' Jump Shot18
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q2 - 7:32MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T6)18
49.2%
21
50.8%
Q2 - 7:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q2 - 7:37UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q2 - 7:52MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)18
49.2%
21
50.8%
Q2 - 8:19UTAMillsap 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)18
46.5%
21
53.5%
Q2 - 8:35UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q2 - 8:36UTAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)16
41.9%
21
58.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q2 - 9:03UTAPrice Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T9)16
41.3%
21
58.7%
Q2 - 9:06UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
44.0%
21
56.0%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
43.2%
21
56.8%
Q2 - 9:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q2 - 9:16UTABeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)16
42.1%
21
57.9%
Q2 - 9:31UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
44.0%
21
56.0%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup16
43.2%
21
56.8%
Q2 - 9:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q2 - 9:50UTAMISS Matthews 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
42.1%
21
57.9%
Q2 - 10:07UTAJazz Rebound16
44.2%
21
55.8%
Q2 - 10:08UTAMISS Millsap 4' Turnaround Jump Shot16
42.3%
21
57.7%
Q2 - 10:15UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
44.2%
21
55.8%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot16
43.4%
21
56.6%
Q2 - 10:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q2 - 10:36UTAMISS Price 20' Jump Shot16
42.3%
21
57.7%
Q2 - 10:55UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
44.2%
21
55.8%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup16
43.3%
21
56.7%
Q2 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q2 - 11:06UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot16
42.5%
21
57.5%
Q2 - 11:29MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)16
44.3%
21
55.7%
Q2 - 11:40UTAMillsap Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)16
46.7%
19
53.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA16
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
48.5%
19
51.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
47.1%
19
52.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0UTAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)16
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
49.1%
19
50.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot16
48.5%
19
51.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
47.1%
19
52.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0UTAMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot16
47.7%
19
52.3%
Q1 - 1:08UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
49.2%
19
50.8%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup16
48.7%
19
51.3%
Q1 - 1:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
47.6%
19
52.4%
Q1 - 1:19UTAMISS Brewer 17' Jump Shot16
48.1%
19
51.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)16
49.2%
19
50.8%
Q1 - 1:48UTABrewer Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)16
47.6%
19
52.4%
Q1 - 2:08MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
49.7%
19
50.3%
Q1 - 2:21UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P2.T6)16
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 2:26MIAHaslem 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)16
54.3%
17
45.7%
Q1 - 2:36MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup16
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 2:52UTAMiles 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
54.7%
15
45.3%
Q1 - 3:41UTABoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)14
52.4%
15
47.6%
Q1 - 3:52UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
54.7%
15
45.3%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot14
54.0%
15
46.0%
Q1 - 4:11UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)14
52.3%
15
47.7%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
50.6%
14
49.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
52.3%
13
47.7%
Q1 - 4:27UTAMISS Millsap Driving Layup12
53.0%
13
47.0%
Q1 - 4:43MIAArroyo 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
54.6%
13
45.4%
Q1 - 4:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
56.7%
11
43.3%
Q1 - 4:56UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 212
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 4:56UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)12
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)11
56.6%
11
43.4%
Q1 - 5:20UTABeasley STEAL (1 STL)11
58.5%
9
41.5%
Q1 - 5:39MIARichardson 6' Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 5:54UTAWade STEAL (1 STL)11
62.6%
7
37.4%
Q1 - 6:08MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
64.6%
7
35.4%
Q1 - 6:25UTABoozer 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)11
66.5%
5
33.5%
Q1 - 6:41UTAJazz Rebound9
64.6%
5
35.4%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot9
64.0%
5
36.0%
Q1 - 7:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
62.5%
5
37.5%
Q1 - 7:02UTAMISS Miles 21' Jump Shot9
63.1%
5
36.9%
Q1 - 7:22MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
64.6%
5
35.4%
Q1 - 7:34UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)9
66.3%
3
33.7%
Q1 - 7:44UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
62.6%
3
37.4%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
62.0%
3
38.0%
Q1 - 8:06UTABoozer Dunk (6 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)6
60.7%
3
39.3%
Q1 - 8:19UTAJazz Rebound4
58.7%
3
41.3%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot4
58.1%
3
41.9%
Q1 - 8:32UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
56.7%
3
43.3%
Q1 - 8:47MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
58.7%
3
41.3%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 24
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 8:54UTAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)4
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 9:11MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 9:24MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot4
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 9:43UTABoozer 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)4
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 9:51UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
57.0%
2
43.0%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot2
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 10:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.9%
2
45.1%
Q1 - 10:03UTAMISS Okur 21' Jump Shot2
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 10:22MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
57.0%
2
43.0%
Q1 - 10:42UTABoozer Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)2
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 10:49UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup0
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 11:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 11:09UTAMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot0
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 11:21UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 11:22UTAMISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 11:44UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot0
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Okur: Tip to0
55.1%
0
44.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.81 40.7%
MIA
0.82 41.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
17
31
55%
MIA
12
32
38%
Midrange
UTA
8
30
27%
MIA
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
UTA
14
21
67%
MIA
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams1875%9.0 / 12
C. Boozer1447%7.0 / 15
M. Okur941%4.5 / 11
A. Kirilenko850%4.0 / 8
R. Price650%3.0 / 6
W. Matthews425%2.0 / 8
P. Millsap433%2.0 / 6
R. Brewer330%1.5 / 5
C. Miles211%1.0 / 9
K. Koufos250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2947%14.5 / 31
U. Haslem1260%6.0 / 10
Q. Richardson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Anthony857%4.0 / 7
C. Arroyo758%3.5 / 6
M. Chalmers627%3.0 / 11
M. Beasley523%2.5 / 11
J. O'Neal233%1.0 / 3
D. Wright0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
71
+15
-20
86
MIA
77
+20
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.81 40.7%
MIA
0.82 41.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
106.7
UTA 76.9
MIA 88.9 +12.0
Pace
93.8
89.6
UTA 95.7 +9.9
MIA 85.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
UTA 15.0 +1.7
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.6%
UTA 38.9% +0.5%
MIA 38.4%
TO %
15.5%
13.6%
UTA 20.5%
MIA 13.8% +6.7%
ORB %
26.8%
26.0%
UTA 27.3%
MIA 31.9% +4.6%
FTrt
34.0
29.6
UTA 29.2 +8.3
MIA 20.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.8%
51.9%
UTA 70.4% +34.9%
MIA 35.5%
STL %
8.8%
8.1%
UTA 3.3%
MIA 10.0% +6.7%
BLK %
8.1%
9.4%
UTA 14.1%
MIA 18.0% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.06 and 3.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.2%
52.1%
UTA 40.7%
MIA 41.2% +0.5%
Rim FG%
61.0%
62.0%
UTA 54.8% +17.3%
MIA 37.5%
Mid FG%
42.6%
40.8%
UTA 26.7%
MIA 38.5% +11.8%
3P %
36.4%
34.6%
UTA 18.2%
MIA 26.7% +8.5%
FT %
74.1%
75.2%
UTA 66.7%
MIA 77.8% +11.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.4%
29.8%
UTA 43.1% +5.8%
MIA 37.2%
Mid Att. %
40.2%
48.3%
UTA 41.7% +3.7%
MIA 45.3%
3P Att. %
18.4%
21.9%
UTA 15.3%
MIA 17.4% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points7080
Rebounds4447
Assists1911
Steals39
Blocks1011
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)32 (1)
Field Goals27-7231-86
At-the-Rim FG17-3112-32
Midrange FG8-3015-39
2-Point FG25-6127-71
3-Point FG2-114-15
Free Throws14-2114-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 258 · 28
34.4
14
47%
8
4
0
2
4
4
2
6
2-3
67%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
33.9
18
75%
1
6
0
0
6
3
0
1
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 235 · 25
31.4
3
30%
7
1
2
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 31
29.0
9
41%
5
0
1
1
4
2
2
3
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 220 · 23
27.5
2
11%
4
4
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
27.0
8
50%
5
3
0
3
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23
25.4
4
25%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
14.1
6
50%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 246 · 25
13.8
4
33%
2
1
0
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 280 · 23
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 21
1.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
41%
44
19
3
10
20
0
12
32
14-21
67%
25-61
41%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.