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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors24%101102
12Hornets76%110108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.2
48.0
37.5
35
59%
2
5
4
2
0
5
0
2
5-8
63%
15-23
8-17
65%
49%
0-3
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
47.0
37.7
17
61%
10
7
2
2
0
2
0
10
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
46%
3-5
60%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
37.3
23.2
5
36%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
37.3
32.2
22
75%
10
2
2
1
0
2
1
9
6-6
100%
8-12
5-11
67%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.4
36.0
23.2
12
40%
8
2
2
1
8
1
3
5
2-2
100%
5-14
4-9
36%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
24.1
27.7
10
51%
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
10.3
28.9
1
13%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
19.7
1
2-5
48%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
6.5
0
1-1
57%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.1
6.2
0
1-1
56%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.9
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
3.6
0
0-0
43%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.0
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
39.1
39.6
20
51%
5
7
1
3
0
0
0
5
3-6
50%
7-14
7-13
50%
54%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
35.0
36.2
14
50%
8
4
0
1
2
6
3
5
2-2
100%
6-13
8-16
46%
50%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.5
28.2
33.5
13
60%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
1-1
100%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
25.3
28.7
11
44%
2
2
2
1
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
45%
2-3
67%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
22.4
28.0
10
27%
14
0
1
1
0
1
9
5
2-3
67%
4-17
5-8
24%
56%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.9
27.6
21.8
5
64%
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
8
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-3
33%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
19.9
3.5
8
67%
6
1
2
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.2
13.8
5.0
8
68%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
2-5
40%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.3
13.5
10.7
6
61%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.9
9.1
16.9
8
51%
5
0
0
1
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
6.2
16.6
5
83%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.1
3.9
0
0-1
53%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.