FinalWin Prob.pScore
1135%99
104
765%104
124
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
109.59596.8
DEN logo DEN
127.89795.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENLawson Layup (16 PTS)104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENMISS Lawson Tip Shot104
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)104
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMISS Afflalo 11' Fadeaway Jumper104
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)104
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)104
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLMorris 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03DENPetro Dunk (2 PTS)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05DENMISS Afflalo 19' Jump Shot102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26ATLTeague 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41ATLHawks Rebound100
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55ATLSmith Driving Layup (17 PTS)100
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 298
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS Smith 30' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45ATLMISS Evans 15' Jump Shot97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21ATLAnthony STEAL (1 STL)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42DENSmith 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (41 PTS)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)97
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13DENSmith 28' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33ATLCrawford Tip Shot (24 PTS)95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34ATLMISS Crawford 13' Running Jump Shot93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T13)93
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 5:17DENNene Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Anthony 7 AST)93
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 5:34DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 5:35ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot93
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 5:51DENNene 8' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Anthony 6 AST)93
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 6:16ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)93
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 6:43DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)90
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 6:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 6:58ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Fadeaway Jumper90
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 7:26DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)90
2.9%
102
97.1%
Q4 - 7:26DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
3.1%
101
96.9%
Q4 - 7:41ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)90
3.6%
100
96.4%
Q4 - 7:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 7:49DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 287
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 7:49DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 287
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 8:03DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 8:04ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot87
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 8:34DENAnthony Layup (24 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)87
2.7%
100
97.3%
Q4 - 8:42ATLMartin STEAL (2 STL)87
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 8:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 8:47DENMISS Carter Driving Layup87
4.1%
98
95.9%
Q4 - 9:14ATLPachulia Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)87
4.3%
98
95.7%
Q4 - 9:28ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 9:31DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 185
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 9:53ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)85
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 10:14DENMartin 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)82
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 10:31DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 10:32ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot82
4.2%
94
95.8%
Q4 - 10:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 10:42DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot82
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 10:55DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 10:56ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot82
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 11:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q4 - 11:05DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 11:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 11:18ATLMISS Williams Layup82
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 11:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 11:21ATLMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot82
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 11:40DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)82
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN82
6.6%
92
93.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLCrawford Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)82
6.6%
92
93.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 282
8.5%
92
91.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
7.4%
92
92.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)82
8.8%
91
91.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENSmith Dunk (27 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)79
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)79
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
8.6%
89
91.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q3 - 1:08ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)79
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q3 - 1:21ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
5.2%
89
94.8%
Q3 - 1:23DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 276
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q3 - 1:23DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)76
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q3 - 1:43ATLBibby Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)76
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q3 - 1:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q3 - 1:51DENMISS Lawson 19' Fadeaway Jumper74
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 2:16ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)74
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 2:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q3 - 2:33DENMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot71
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 2:54ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q3 - 2:54ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 3:10DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)69
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 3:41ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)69
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 4:11DENNene Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)69
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q3 - 4:27ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)69
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)66
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q3 - 4:39ATLHawks Rebound66
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q3 - 4:40ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 4:44ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q3 - 4:46DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q3 - 4:52DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 4:53ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot66
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 5:09DENMartin Putback Dunk (12 PTS)66
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q3 - 5:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 5:11DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup66
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q3 - 5:18ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)66
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 5:19ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q3 - 5:21ATLAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)66
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 5:44DENLawson Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)66
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q3 - 5:49DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 5:49ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 6:14DENLawson Driving Layup (12 PTS)66
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 6:24ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 6:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 6:44DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 263
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 6:44DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q3 - 6:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q3 - 6:46DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot63
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 7:05ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)63
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 7:19DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)60
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q3 - 7:40ATLHorford 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)60
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 7:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 8:00DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 258
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 8:00DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 8:01DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 8:03DENMISS Nene Dunk58
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 8:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 8:16ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot58
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 8:30DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)58
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 8:46DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q3 - 8:47ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper58
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 9:18DENLawson Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 9:30DENNUGGETS Rebound58
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 9:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 9:31ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot58
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 9:32ATLMISS Smith Layup58
14.4%
66
85.6%
Q3 - 9:39DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)58
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 9:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 9:49ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 257
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 10:05DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)57
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 10:25ATLJohnson 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)57
18.0%
63
82.0%
Q3 - 10:44ATLHawks Rebound55
16.0%
63
84.0%
Q3 - 10:45DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 10:56ATLWilliams 17' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 11:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 11:20DENMISS Nene 7' Jump Hook Shot53
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q3 - 11:40ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)53
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN51
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)51
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)50
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Anthony Layup49
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup49
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLCrawford 10' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENMartin 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)47
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q2 - 1:05ATLWilliams 7' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)47
10.9%
58
89.1%
Q2 - 1:33DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)45
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q2 - 1:50ATLHorford 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)45
12.3%
55
87.7%
Q2 - 2:02DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)43
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q2 - 2:19ATLHorford 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)43
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q2 - 2:40DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q2 - 2:49DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q2 - 2:50ATLMISS Bibby Driving Layup41
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 3:10DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q2 - 3:24ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)41
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q2 - 3:39DENNene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)41
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 3:41DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q2 - 3:42DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.8%
49
83.2%
Q2 - 3:56ATLHorford Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)41
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q2 - 4:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 4:01DENMISS Nene Alley Oop Layup41
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q2 - 4:06DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q2 - 4:07ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper41
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 4:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 4:20DENMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot41
16.9%
49
83.0%
Q2 - 4:36ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (3 PTS)41
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q2 - 4:54DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)39
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q2 - 4:54DENNUGGETS Rebound39
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 4:56DENMISS Smith Driving Reverse Layup39
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q2 - 5:20ATLSmith Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)39
13.1%
49
86.9%
Q2 - 5:43DENSmith Layup (18 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)37
11.8%
49
88.2%
Q2 - 5:46DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q2 - 5:47ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 5:55ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 5:56DENMISS Carter 8' Running Jump Shot37
14.1%
47
85.9%
Q2 - 6:05ATLNene STEAL (1 STL)37
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 6:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 6:13DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 6:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 6:18DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 6:25DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 6:26ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.8%
47
86.2%
Q2 - 6:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 6:34DENMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot37
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 6:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 7:07DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)34
11.2%
47
88.8%
Q2 - 7:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 7:25ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 234
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 7:25ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 234
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 7:30ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)34
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 7:42DENCarter Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)33
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 7:49ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 7:49ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 7:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 7:53DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.3%
42
86.7%
Q2 - 8:18ATLHorford Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)31
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 8:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 8:23DENMISS Nene 6' Jump Hook Shot29
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 8:44ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)29
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 9:02DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q2 - 9:15ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)26
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 9:22DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)26
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 9:31DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 9:31ATLMISS Pachulia 7' Jump Hook Shot26
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 9:50DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)26
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 10:07ATLCrawford 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 10:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 10:14ATLMISS Horford 4' Dunk24
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 10:34DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)24
12.1%
37
87.9%
Q2 - 10:47DENJump Ball Martin vs. Teague: Tip to Smith24
11.0%
37
89.0%
Q2 - 10:57DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
12.1%
37
87.9%
Q2 - 11:05DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 11:06ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
11.6%
37
88.4%
Q2 - 11:23DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)24
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 11:37DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 11:38ATLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
16.1%
34
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound24
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 9' Turnaround Jump Shot24
15.7%
34
84.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLCrawford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 122
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLCarter STEAL (1 STL)22
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENMartin 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)22
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot22
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q1 - 1:10DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
19.4%
30
80.6%
Q1 - 1:22ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
18.3%
30
81.7%
Q1 - 1:34DENSmith 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q1 - 1:43DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 1:44ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot19
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 2:04DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)19
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q1 - 2:18ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)19
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 2:33DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 2:33DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 216
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 2:48ATLCrawford Palming Turnover (P1.T2)16
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 2:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 2:53DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot16
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q1 - 3:04ATLCrawford 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q1 - 3:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 3:17DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot14
16.7%
24
83.3%
Q1 - 3:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q1 - 3:32ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot14
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 3:49DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 3:51DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 3:51ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot14
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 4:10DENMartin Reverse Layup (6 PTS)14
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 4:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 4:13DENMISS Martin Layup14
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 4:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 4:17ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 4:33DENAnthony Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)14
24.7%
19
75.3%
Q1 - 4:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 4:37ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Hook Shot14
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 4:46ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q1 - 4:47DENMISS Afflalo 14' Fadeaway Jumper14
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 5:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 5:11ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Hook Shot14
26.9%
17
73.1%
Q1 - 5:35DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)14
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 5:50DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 5:51ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 6:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 6:06DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
31.0%
15
69.0%
Q1 - 6:21ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
29.7%
15
70.3%
Q1 - 6:21ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 6:37DENMartin 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)12
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 6:46ATLWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)12
29.7%
13
70.3%
Q1 - 6:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 6:55DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 7:09ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 7:29DENLawson Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
27.9%
13
72.1%
Q1 - 7:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
29.5%
11
70.5%
Q1 - 7:36ATLMISS Bibby Driving Layup10
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 7:45DENAnthony 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)10
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 8:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 8:01ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 8:23DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 8:23DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:33ATLBibby 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)10
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 8:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 8:39DENMISS Afflalo 20' Jump Shot8
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 8:56ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 9:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 9:04DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot6
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 9:20ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 9:20ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 9:33DENLawson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 9:49ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)4
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 10:16DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)2
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 10:30DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 10:31ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot2
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 10:50DENAfflalo Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 10:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:56ATLMISS Williams Driving Layup2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:03DENMISS Nene 5' Running Hook Shot2
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 11:23ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:44DENNene Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Smith: Tip to Martin0
30.9%
0
69.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.17 58.4%
DEN
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
22
55%
DEN
22
32
69%
Midrange
ATL
18
34
53%
DEN
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
DEN
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
Free Throws
ATL
20
24
83%
DEN
13
22
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2475%12.0 / 16
A. Horford1890%9.0 / 10
J. Smith1753%8.5 / 16
J. Johnson1662%8.0 / 13
M. Williams1354%6.5 / 12
Z. Pachulia563%2.5 / 4
M. Bibby425%2.0 / 8
M. Evans321%1.5 / 7
J. Teague2100%1.0 / 1
R. Morris2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith4176%20.5 / 27
C. Anthony2455%12.0 / 22
T. Lawson1667%8.0 / 12
Nene1558%7.5 / 13
K. Martin1488%7.0 / 8
A. Afflalo850%4.0 / 8
A. Carter220%1.0 / 5
J. Petro2100%1.0 / 1
M. Allen2100%1.0 / 1
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+7
-14
88
DEN
90
+12
-7
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.17 58.4%
DEN
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
111.9
ATL 109.5
DEN 127.8 +18.4
Pace
89.9
94.7
ATL 96.8 +1.6
DEN 95.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.7
ATL 14.9 +0.3
DEN 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.9%
ATL 53.2%
DEN 61.7% +8.5%
TO %
12.7%
14.2%
ATL 14.3%
DEN 7.4% +6.9%
ORB %
28.3%
26.1%
ATL 14.6%
DEN 22.7% +8.1%
FTrt
28.1
37.6
ATL 30.4 +6.0
DEN 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
55.0%
ATL 55.3% +0.2%
DEN 55.1%
STL %
8.0%
8.7%
ATL 2.1%
DEN 6.2% +4.1%
BLK %
7.9%
7.9%
ATL 6.3% +0.9%
DEN 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
54.9%
ATL 58.4%
DEN 60.2% +1.8%
Rim FG%
60.8%
61.0%
ATL 54.5%
DEN 68.8% +14.3%
Mid FG%
40.6%
39.6%
ATL 52.9% +9.1%
DEN 43.8%
3P %
36.0%
35.9%
ATL 34.8%
DEN 50.0% +15.2%
FT %
75.9%
77.2%
ATL 83.3% +24.2%
DEN 59.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
37.5%
ATL 27.8%
DEN 35.6% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
39.8%
ATL 43.0%
DEN 35.6% +7.5%
3P Att. %
21.4%
22.7%
ATL 29.1% +0.2%
DEN 28.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDEN
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points104124
Rebounds4045
Assists2127
Steals26
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals38-7949-90
At-the-Rim FG12-2222-32
Midrange FG18-3414-32
2-Point FG30-5636-64
3-Point FG8-2313-26
Free Throws20-2413-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
39.6
17
53%
9
2
0
2
1
5
1
8
7-10
70%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
39.5
16
62%
5
9
0
0
3
3
0
5
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
38.6
18
90%
11
1
0
1
2
2
1
10
4-4
100%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
28.3
13
54%
4
2
0
0
1
3
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
24.3
4
25%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
30.7
24
75%
3
2
1
0
4
3
1
2
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
4-7
57%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
14.7
3
21%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
13.7
5
63%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
6.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 24
2.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
· 6'8" 225 · 24
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
#32 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
58%
40
21
2
4
14
0
6
34
20-24
83%
30-56
54%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.