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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Celtics42%9386
3Magic58%9677
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.8
46.7
36.8
17
40%
13
8
2
2
0
8
4
9
3-7
43%
7-18
5-11
39%
50%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.4
43.4
34.9
18
60%
6
4
0
1
0
4
1
5
6-7
86%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
32.8
18.6
10
46%
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.0
21.6
16.3
16
57%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
4-7
57%
6-11
2-4
55%
49%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.1
20.7
32.3
6
75%
4
2
0
0
3
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
5-9
75%
58%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.3
32.2
25.0
11
79%
8
0
2
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
16.8
14.2
5
34%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
15.8
14.7
3
38%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
1-4
25%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
6.1
8.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.0
3.8
25.0
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
44%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.0
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.2
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
43.6
35.2
5
29%
20
1
2
1
4
7
3
17
3-4
75%
1-7
5-8
14%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
37.1
31.0
19
56%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
6-7
86%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
3-8
38%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.9
32.2
20.4
8
34%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
0-4
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
31.7
31.4
27
58%
5
2
4
1
0
2
1
4
6-7
86%
9-16
5-10
56%
46%
1-4
25%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
31.6
22.5
9
57%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
1-4
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
18.1
23.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
15.8
20.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
14.6
16.3
5
28%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-7
1-3
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
10.9
13.2
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
4.3
11.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
12.3
0
1-2
43%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
4.4
0
1-2
51%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.