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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers
102
1Lakers
87
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.0
41
39
26
4
9
2
1
1
7
0
4
6-11
55%
7-12
9-17
58%
52%
2-7
29%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 27.0
39
34
28
6
7
1
1
1
4
1
5
9-10
90%
5-10
4-7
50%
47%
3-3
100%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 34.5
25
28
4
3
2
0
1
2
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.8
22
19
11
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-4
25%
5-8
4-6
63%
55%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21.3
10
18
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.2
33
32
9
9
0
0
1
2
0
1
8
1-2
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
50%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.6
30
19
2
9
2
0
0
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29.5
24
10
13
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-1
83%
52%
1-1
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.4
17
25
7
2
4
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.8
0
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.5
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
45
39
35
10
8
1
2
1
4
3
7
12-12
100%
10-30
9-18
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.5
39
36
11
6
1
0
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
4-10
6-10
40%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.4
36
28
7
3
0
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
31
36
13
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
2-5
40%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.2
26
25
4
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-2
0%
2-5
5-8
40%
56%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
27
27
6
5
2
3
1
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
13
16
3
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
12
15
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
7
5
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
1-3
33%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
4
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
5
0
0-1
40%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
3
0
0-1
47%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.