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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies22%95101
5Mavericks78%106106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
42.4
37.9
27
64%
14
2
1
1
0
1
7
7
3-5
60%
12-19
7-16
63%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
41.9
32.6
22
46%
10
2
0
1
1
1
3
7
2-4
50%
10-21
5-11
48%
48%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
40.1
39.2
18
51%
5
5
2
1
0
4
1
4
8-8
100%
2-10
5-11
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.9
33.5
35.1
13
53%
12
1
0
1
0
2
7
5
3-5
60%
5-10
5-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
32.1
34.4
6
28%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
3-8
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
22.6
15.8
11
67%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-5
60%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.8
15.8
14.5
2
17%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
41%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.9
11.2
9.5
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
0.4
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
2.7
0
0-1
40%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.2
2.6
0
0-1
53%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.6
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.5
40.5
32.3
20
63%
4
3
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
10-16
7-14
63%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.8
35.6
35.5
10
50%
5
10
3
2
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.5
34.6
28.8
13
94%
10
1
0
0
3
0
1
9
1-2
50%
6-6
3-5
100%
63%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
27.9
29.9
11
41%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.6
25.3
28.6
10
60%
7
2
0
1
0
0
3
4
2-3
67%
4-7
5-9
57%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
32.5
30.5
23
56%
1
5
2
1
2
1
1
0
6-6
100%
4-13
4-8
31%
52%
3-5
60%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.7
24.8
25.0
11
71%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
11.3
13.7
5
51%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
7.5
2.9
3
52%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
16.6
0
3-6
49%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.7
4.1
0
0-1
42%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
1.9
0
0-0
52%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.9
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.