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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets68%10098
28Nets32%9493
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
43.0
35.3
13
36%
11
8
0
2
0
1
3
8
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
1-8
13%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.3
36.5
33.6
8
100%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
2-3
67%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.9
36.0
30.7
17
53%
7
3
0
1
1
1
3
4
5-7
71%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.7
32.3
29.2
17
48%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
3-4
75%
7-16
6-12
44%
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.5
16.7
18.1
2
26%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.3
31.3
24.7
26
69%
9
3
0
1
0
4
5
4
8-11
73%
9-14
5-9
64%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.8
23.7
26.5
7
30%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
0-7
3-5
0%
49%
1-2
50%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.5
15.5
18.1
8
67%
5
3
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
5.0
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
9.9
0
1-3
45%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 26.5
0.8
0
0-0
48%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.6
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.0
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
41.6
36.6
10
51%
5
2
0
2
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
2-6
4-9
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.8
39.9
34.4
19
43%
4
6
1
2
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
8-17
5-10
47%
48%
1-5
20%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.7
35.9
35.6
17
67%
11
3
3
1
3
3
2
9
3-4
75%
7-11
7-13
64%
51%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.2
35.5
18.3
17
54%
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
5-6
83%
6-11
2-5
55%
42%
0-2
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.8
14.3
23.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
28.6
13.9
11
44%
7
6
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
2-7
29%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
20.7
23.2
8
67%
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
19.5
14.3
9
77%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.9
3.9
4.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.4
11.9
0
1-3
41%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.6
7.2
0
0-1
44%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.0
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.