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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks40%9184
16Bobcats60%9594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
40.9
28.0
24
58%
2
7
0
1
0
5
0
2
4-6
67%
7-13
4-9
54%
41%
2-5
40%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
20.9
21.7
12
60%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
18.7
29.1
2
15%
5
1
0
1
2
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-6
6-12
17%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
16.9
26.6
2
20%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
4-8
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.3
10.6
22.5
2
20%
3
1
0
1
1
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
36.0
19.5
9
58%
10
1
2
1
1
3
2
8
3-4
75%
3-6
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
25.7
18.1
6
34%
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
23.4
16.0
17
72%
1
0
2
1
1
4
0
1
3-4
75%
4-4
2-4
100%
46%
2-6
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
22.6
21.1
10
63%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.8
11.0
2.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
7.5
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.2
5.7
14.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.1
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
43.2
42.3
21
62%
14
4
1
2
1
1
2
12
7-9
78%
7-12
6-11
58%
52%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.7
35.1
37.0
12
41%
5
3
0
1
2
6
1
4
4-4
100%
4-12
6-13
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
34.5
33.1
6
43%
2
5
0
1
0
4
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.5
31.3
36.0
11
80%
6
3
0
2
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-3
4-10
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.3
12.0
19.8
1
10%
0
0
0
1
3
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-4
4-7
0%
53%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
28.6
14.6
16
43%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
5-10
2-4
50%
46%
1-7
14%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
17.9
19.0
11
75%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.1
16.7
15.1
7
39%
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-5
20%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.9
12.0
3.7
7
72%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.3
5.1
5.4
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
1.8
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.9
1.8
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.6
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.