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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards44%103111
22Grizzlies56%105116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
49.4
38.1
24
58%
9
2
1
2
1
3
5
4
5-6
83%
8-16
6-11
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
46.4
36.6
30
56%
4
5
5
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
7-15
6-14
47%
47%
5-11
45%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
44.6
30.7
12
59%
9
1
0
1
5
1
5
4
2-5
40%
5-8
3-6
63%
53%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
41.4
36.5
24
49%
13
0
1
1
0
1
4
9
5-6
83%
5-17
5-11
29%
50%
3-5
60%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
23.0
23.2
11
75%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
44%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
20.0
20.0
3
75%
3
2
0
1
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
18.1
14.8
7
55%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.6
17.2
17.2
0
0%
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
3.6
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
1.3
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
11.6
0
1-2
41%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
5.6
0
0-1
58%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
46.7
38.7
28
54%
7
6
0
1
1
4
0
7
3-4
75%
8-15
6-11
53%
50%
3-9
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.9
45.0
33.5
20
73%
11
3
0
1
1
3
4
7
4-4
100%
8-12
5-9
67%
57%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
43.5
39.1
23
55%
19
2
1
1
1
3
6
13
9-9
100%
7-17
8-17
41%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
39.7
32.6
22
66%
4
5
0
1
1
0
0
4
3-4
75%
8-11
4-7
73%
48%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
25.6
5.2
7
51%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-1
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
27.4
19.3
8
32%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-3
67%
3-10
3-7
30%
49%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.9
17.5
10.5
6
51%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
56%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.8
15.1
14.9
2
33%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
4.4
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
37.1
1
7-14
51%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.2
2.2
0
0-1
56%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.6
1.4
0
0-0
51%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.