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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers56%106103
7Suns44%104118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
36.2
41.1
34
59%
7
2
0
2
0
1
0
7
5-6
83%
13-21
10-20
62%
51%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.5
35.4
38.3
13
55%
5
5
1
1
0
4
1
4
3-4
75%
5-10
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
30.2
32.1
9
35%
13
1
0
1
0
2
3
10
0-0
-
3-11
3-6
27%
53%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.2
30.0
27.3
14
52%
9
0
0
0
2
1
5
4
6-8
75%
4-10
5-9
40%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.4
24.8
31.4
2
14%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
19.7
12.3
9
57%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
19.1
9.2
5
83%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
40%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
14.7
18.0
10
85%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
13.2
3.6
7
44%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
40%
1-3
33%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
10.9
2.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
5.8
4.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
23.0
1
2-4
46%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.6
35.5
27.8
14
41%
11
2
1
1
1
1
1
10
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
2-10
20%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.1
32.5
31.9
26
66%
6
0
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-6
67%
11-17
7-13
65%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.9
30.8
33.0
16
65%
3
13
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
53%
3-6
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
26.2
30.4
4
29%
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-1
4-8
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.2
19.6
26.0
6
50%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
28.4
28.7
19
75%
7
3
1
1
1
1
2
5
4-6
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
23.1
19.4
14
64%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
2-6
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.7
21.0
4.9
8
82%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-2
0%
4-4
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.1
15.9
18.9
11
63%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
5.1
17.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.9
1.9
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.1
1.5
0
0-0
40%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.9
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.