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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers
95
12Hawks
84
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.0
40
35
14
8
10
5
1
1
4
1
7
2-3
67%
6-15
8-15
40%
53%
0-5
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 27.0
37
34
20
3
5
1
1
0
7
1
2
3-3
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
3-6
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.8
26
20
10
8
0
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 34.5
23
26
10
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-3
67%
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21.3
16
18
6
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
33
28
3
8
2
1
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.4
29
23
17
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
4-6
67%
5-9
3-5
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.6
20
21
15
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
46%
1-2
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29.5
17
19
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.8
8
0
0-1
43%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.1
3
0
0-1
46%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.9
2
0
0-1
49%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.6
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.5
43
34
15
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
40
38
9
9
2
2
1
1
4
2
7
3-4
75%
3-7
6-11
43%
54%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.5
31
24
12
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.1
30
31
15
8
2
0
1
1
1
3
5
1-6
17%
7-13
6-11
54%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.6
27
26
2
3
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
34
29
26
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
46%
4-5
80%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.9
18
16
3
3
0
2
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.1
12
19
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.4
6
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.6
11
0
1-3
44%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.0
5
0
1-1
48%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.1
1
0
0-0
36%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.