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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Thunder44%98110
18Wizards56%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.2
40.0
39.6
35
75%
11
4
0
1
1
5
0
11
8-10
80%
9-13
8-16
69%
50%
3-6
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
38.7
29.1
18
53%
4
1
2
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-11
4-7
55%
49%
2-6
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
37.1
35.5
11
39%
7
10
1
1
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
4-12
6-13
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
35.2
26.4
10
100%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-2
100%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
26.2
25.0
8
50%
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
27.6
24.9
8
103%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.3
16.0
24.4
11
57%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
12.2
13.3
7
79%
2
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
7.1
17.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.7
3.5
0
0-1
53%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
3.4
0
0-1
42%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.6
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
41.0
36.6
28
52%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
11-24
5-11
46%
49%
1-1
100%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
40.4
38.4
24
54%
7
8
3
1
2
3
0
7
4-5
80%
4-12
7-14
33%
47%
4-8
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
39.1
40.4
10
38%
5
3
3
2
0
1
1
4
3-5
60%
2-8
6-12
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
35.9
34.6
16
81%
8
0
0
1
1
2
7
1
2-2
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
53%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
30.4
21.7
12
46%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-6
38%
44%
2-5
40%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
23.4
19.3
6
38%
9
1
1
1
0
2
3
6
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.6
21.0
16.3
2
17%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
5.7
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
3.1
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
5.0
0
0-0
42%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
3.8
0
1-1
49%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
3.7
0
0-0
57%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.