| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 CHI | 108.3 | 96 | 92.9 |
Scoring Opportunities
IND
87
+14
-10
101
CHI
76
+9
-20
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
IND
0.93 46.6%
CHI
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | IND | CHI |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | CHI | 95 0% | 104 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | CHI | MISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | CHI | BULLS Rebound | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | IND | MISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | CHI | BULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21) | 95 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | CHI | BULLS Rebound | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | CHI | MISS Noah 8' Hook Shot | 95 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | CHI | BULLS Rebound | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | CHI | MISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 | 92 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | CHI | BULLS Rebound | 92 0.2% | 103 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:33 | IND | Thomas BLOCK (3 BLK) | 92 0.2% | 103 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | CHI | Deng Traveling Turnover (P2.T20) | 92 0.5% | 103 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:11 | IND | Jones Foul Turnover (P1.T11) | 92 0.3% | 103 99.7% |
| Q4 - 2:29 | CHI | Thomas Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19) | 92 0.5% | 103 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | IND | Jones 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 92 0.3% | 103 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:10 | CHI | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 90 0.3% | 103 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:10 | CHI | Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 90 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | IND | Ford Layup (9 PTS) | 90 0.4% | 101 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | CHI | Rose 17' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS) | 88 0.3% | 101 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13) | 88 1.1% | 99 98.9% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | IND | MISS Ford 21' Jump Shot | 88 1.2% | 99 98.8% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 88 1.5% | 99 98.5% |
| Q4 - 3:50 | CHI | MISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot | 88 1.4% | 99 98.6% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | IND | Dunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10) | 88 1.0% | 99 99.0% |
| Q4 - 4:13 | CHI | Rose 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 88 1.5% | 99 98.5% |
| Q4 - 4:32 | IND | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 88 2.0% | 97 98.0% |
| Q4 - 4:32 | IND | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 | 87 1.8% | 97 98.2% |
| Q4 - 4:32 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 87 2.1% | 97 97.9% |
| Q4 - 4:32 | CHI | MISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot | 87 1.8% | 97 98.2% |
| Q4 - 4:58 | CHI | Noah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 87 1.4% | 97 98.6% |
| Q4 - 4:59 | IND | MISS Dunleavy Layup | 87 1.5% | 97 98.5% |
| Q4 - 5:03 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 87 3.3% | 97 96.7% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | CHI | MISS Gibson 15' Jump Shot | 87 3.0% | 97 97.0% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | IND | Jones Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Jones 7 AST) | 87 2.3% | 97 97.7% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 85 1.7% | 97 98.3% |
| Q4 - 5:39 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 23' Jump Shot | 85 1.3% | 97 98.7% |
| Q4 - 5:50 | CHI | Thomas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18) | 85 1.6% | 97 98.4% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12) | 85 1.2% | 97 98.8% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | CHI | MISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 1.5% | 97 98.5% |
| Q4 - 6:17 | IND | Ford 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 85 1.8% | 97 98.2% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | IND | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 83 1.3% | 97 98.7% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | CHI | MISS Deng 21' Jump Shot | 83 1.2% | 97 98.8% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | CHI | Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 83 1.0% | 97 99.0% |
| Q4 - 6:49 | IND | MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot | 83 1.1% | 97 98.9% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | CHI | Miller 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Salmons 5 AST) | 83 1.8% | 97 98.2% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | IND | Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST) | 83 2.3% | 95 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | CHI | Rose Traveling Turnover (P6.T17) | 80 1.4% | 95 98.6% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | CHI | Salmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 80 1.0% | 95 99.0% |
| Q4 - 7:49 | IND | Thomas BLOCK (2 BLK) | 80 1.1% | 95 98.9% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | IND | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 80 1.4% | 95 98.6% |
| Q4 - 7:56 | IND | Thomas BLOCK (1 BLK) | 80 1.1% | 95 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:03 | IND | Head REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 80 1.8% | 95 98.2% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | CHI | MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot | 80 1.7% | 95 98.3% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 80 1.4% | 95 98.6% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 79 1.3% | 95 98.7% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | CHI | Rose Driving Layup (23 PTS) | 78 1.1% | 95 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:51 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12) | 78 1.4% | 93 98.6% |
| Q4 - 8:51 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot | 78 1.5% | 93 98.5% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | CHI | Deng 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rose 6 AST) | 78 2.3% | 93 97.7% |
| Q4 - 9:15 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 78 2.9% | 91 97.1% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | IND | MISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 3.2% | 91 96.8% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | IND | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 78 3.7% | 91 96.3% |
| Q4 - 9:28 | CHI | MISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot | 78 3.4% | 91 96.6% |
| Q4 - 9:48 | IND | Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST) | 78 2.9% | 91 97.1% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | CHI | Rose 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST) | 76 2.8% | 91 97.2% |
| Q4 - 10:25 | CHI | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 3.4% | 89 96.6% |
| Q4 - 10:26 | IND | MISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot | 76 3.6% | 89 96.4% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | CHI | Rose 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST) | 76 4.2% | 89 95.8% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 76 5.2% | 87 94.8% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | IND | MISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 76 5.4% | 87 94.6% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | IND | MISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 6.2% | 87 93.8% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | CHI | Salmons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16) | 76 7.2% | 87 92.8% |
| Q4 - 11:28 | IND | Watson Layup (10 PTS) (Head 3 AST) | 76 6.0% | 87 94.0% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 74 4.8% | 87 95.2% |
| Q4 - 11:41 | CHI | MISS Miller Layup | 74 4.5% | 87 95.5% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | IND | 74 3.9% | 87 96.1% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 74 4.8% | 87 95.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHI | MISS Rose 20' Jump Shot | 74 4.5% | 87 95.5% |
| Q3 - 0:09.0 | IND | Pacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 74 4.5% | 87 95.5% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | CHI | Thomas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15) | 74 5.3% | 87 94.7% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 74 4.5% | 87 95.5% |
| Q3 - 0:48.0 | IND | MISS Head 21' Jump Shot | 74 4.7% | 87 95.3% |
| Q3 - 1:05 | CHI | Miller Layup (14 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST) | 74 5.7% | 87 94.3% |
| Q3 - 1:23 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 74 7.0% | 85 93.0% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | IND | MISS Watson 20' Jump Shot | 74 7.3% | 85 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:27 | IND | Watson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 74 8.3% | 85 91.7% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | IND | MISS Watson 20' Jump Shot | 74 7.3% | 85 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:38 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 74 8.2% | 85 91.8% |
| Q3 - 1:38 | CHI | MISS Thomas Dunk | 74 7.8% | 85 92.2% |
| Q3 - 1:40 | IND | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 74 7.0% | 85 93.0% |
| Q3 - 1:43 | CHI | Rose Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14) | 74 8.2% | 85 91.8% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 74 7.0% | 85 93.0% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | IND | Miller BLOCK (1 BLK) | 74 7.3% | 85 92.7% |
| Q3 - 2:04 | CHI | Rose 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 74 8.9% | 85 91.1% |
| Q3 - 2:11 | CHI | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 74 10.5% | 83 89.5% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | IND | MISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 11.0% | 83 89.0% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | CHI | Salmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 74 12.3% | 83 87.7% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | CHI | Salmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 74 12.7% | 82 87.3% |
| Q3 - 2:45 | IND | Watson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 74 14.5% | 81 85.5% |
| Q3 - 2:45 | IND | Watson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 73 14.0% | 81 86.0% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | CHI | Deng 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST) | 72 13.1% | 81 86.9% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | IND | Hibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7) | 72 17.5% | 78 82.5% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | CHI | Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST) | 72 20.4% | 78 79.6% |
| Q3 - 3:41 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 26.7% | 75 73.3% |
| Q3 - 3:42 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 27.9% | 75 72.1% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | CHI | Miller 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST) | 72 30.6% | 75 69.4% |
| Q3 - 4:20 | IND | Head Traveling Turnover (P2.T6) | 72 34.1% | 73 65.9% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | CHI | Salmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 72 38.9% | 73 61.1% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | CHI | Salmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 72 39.5% | 72 60.5% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | CHI | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 72 42.4% | 71 57.6% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | IND | MISS Hibbert 11' Hook Shot | 72 43.9% | 71 56.1% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | CHI | Thomas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13) | 72 46.4% | 71 53.6% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 72 41.7% | 71 58.3% |
| Q3 - 5:07 | IND | MISS Ford 13' Jump Shot | 72 43.1% | 71 56.9% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | IND | McRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 72 46.4% | 71 53.6% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | IND | MISS Jones 17' Jump Shot | 72 43.1% | 71 56.9% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | IND | McRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 72 46.4% | 71 53.6% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | CHI | MISS Salmons Driving Layup | 72 45.0% | 71 55.0% |
| Q3 - 5:36 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 72 41.8% | 71 58.2% |
| Q3 - 5:37 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 43.2% | 71 56.8% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | IND | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 72 46.5% | 71 53.5% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | CHI | MISS Rose 14' Jump Shot | 72 45.0% | 71 55.0% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 72 41.4% | 71 58.6% |
| Q3 - 6:02 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 42.7% | 71 57.3% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | IND | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 72 45.8% | 71 54.2% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | IND | Rose BLOCK (1 BLK) | 72 42.7% | 71 57.3% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | CHI | Rose Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12) | 72 45.8% | 71 54.2% |
| Q3 - 6:24 | IND | Jones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST) | 72 41.4% | 71 58.6% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | CHI | Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 70 38.0% | 71 62.0% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS) | 70 45.4% | 68 54.6% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS) | 69 44.8% | 68 55.2% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | IND | Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS) | 68 44.1% | 68 55.9% |
| Q3 - 7:13 | IND | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 67 37.5% | 68 62.5% |
| Q3 - 7:13 | CHI | MISS Deng 16' Jump Shot | 67 36.3% | 68 63.7% |
| Q3 - 7:24 | IND | Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 6 AST) | 67 33.7% | 68 66.3% |
| Q3 - 7:29 | IND | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 64 27.4% | 68 72.6% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | CHI | MISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot | 64 26.4% | 68 73.6% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | IND | Dunleavy 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST) | 64 24.2% | 68 75.8% |
| Q3 - 7:59 | CHI | Salmons 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 61 19.1% | 68 80.9% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | CHI | Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 61 21.6% | 66 78.4% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | CHI | MISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 | 61 24.1% | 66 75.9% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 61 22.3% | 66 77.7% |
| Q3 - 8:15 | CHI | Noah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 61 24.3% | 65 75.7% |
| Q3 - 8:16 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot | 61 25.2% | 65 74.8% |
| Q3 - 8:25 | CHI | Hinrich Foul Turnover (P1.T11) | 61 27.4% | 65 72.6% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | CHI | Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 61 24.3% | 65 75.7% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | IND | MISS Ford 18' Jump Shot | 61 25.2% | 65 74.8% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | CHI | Rose 10' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS) | 61 27.4% | 65 72.6% |
| Q3 - 9:20 | IND | Jones 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST) | 61 30.4% | 63 69.6% |
| Q3 - 9:29 | CHI | Gibson 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 59 27.4% | 63 72.6% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | IND | Jones 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST) | 59 30.4% | 61 69.6% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | CHI | Rose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10) | 57 27.5% | 61 72.5% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | IND | Jones 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST) | 57 24.7% | 61 75.3% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | CHI | Rose 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST) | 55 22.2% | 61 77.8% |
| Q3 - 11:10 | IND | Ford 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 55 24.9% | 59 75.1% |
| Q3 - 11:26 | CHI | Noah Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 53 22.5% | 59 77.5% |
| Q3 - 11:26 | CHI | Noah Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 53 23.1% | 58 76.9% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 53 24.9% | 57 75.1% |
| Q3 - 11:41 | IND | MISS Jones 13' Jump Shot | 53 25.7% | 57 74.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | 53 27.7% | 57 72.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 53 27.7% | 57 72.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | MISS Jones 21' Jump Shot | 53 25.7% | 57 74.3% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | CHI | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 53 27.7% | 57 72.3% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | CHI | Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 53 28.3% | 56 71.7% |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | IND | Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 6 AST) | 53 31.1% | 55 68.9% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | CHI | Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 50 25.1% | 55 74.9% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | CHI | Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 50 25.5% | 54 74.5% |
| Q2 - 0:42.0 | IND | Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 50 28.3% | 53 71.7% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 47 22.6% | 53 77.4% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | CHI | Thomas Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 47 22.6% | 53 77.4% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | CHI | MISS Rose Layup | 47 27.0% | 51 73.0% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | IND | Hibbert Dunk (15 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST) | 47 25.9% | 51 74.1% |
| Q2 - 1:17 | CHI | Thomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 45 22.8% | 51 77.2% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | IND | Hibbert Layup (13 PTS) | 45 21.1% | 51 78.9% |
| Q2 - 1:35 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 43 18.5% | 51 81.5% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | IND | MISS Hibbert Dunk | 43 17.5% | 51 82.5% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | CHI | Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 43 18.5% | 51 81.5% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | CHI | Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 43 18.8% | 50 81.2% |
| Q2 - 2:09 | CHI | BULLS Rebound | 43 20.9% | 49 79.1% |
| Q2 - 2:10 | IND | MISS Rush Layup | 43 21.6% | 49 78.4% |
| Q2 - 2:15 | IND | Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 43 23.3% | 49 76.7% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | CHI | MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot | 43 22.5% | 49 77.5% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | IND | Hibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 43 20.9% | 49 79.1% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | CHI | Gibson Foul Turnover (P3.T8) | 43 23.2% | 49 76.8% |
| Q2 - 2:47 | IND | Miller STEAL (2 STL) | 43 20.9% | 49 79.1% |
| Q2 - 3:08 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 43 23.6% | 49 76.4% |
| Q2 - 3:08 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 43 24.0% | 48 76.0% |
| Q2 - 3:08 | CHI | Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 43 25.5% | 47 74.5% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | CHI | MISS Rose 18' Jump Shot | 43 27.5% | 47 72.5% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | IND | Hibbert 10' Hook Shot (11 PTS) | 43 25.5% | 47 74.5% |
| Q2 - 3:40 | IND | Head REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 41 23.6% | 47 76.4% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | IND | MISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 | 41 21.3% | 47 78.7% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 41 22.6% | 47 77.4% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 40 21.4% | 47 78.6% |
| Q2 - 3:57 | IND | MISS Head 18' Jump Shot | 40 19.7% | 47 80.3% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | CHI | Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 5 AST) | 40 21.4% | 47 78.6% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 40 25.6% | 44 74.4% |
| Q2 - 4:20 | IND | MISS Hibbert 13' Hook Shot | 40 26.4% | 44 73.6% |
| Q2 - 4:42 | IND | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 28.3% | 44 71.7% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 40 25.6% | 44 74.4% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | CHI | MISS Gibson Dunk | 40 27.5% | 44 72.5% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | CHI | MISS Rose 18' Jump Shot | 40 27.5% | 44 72.5% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | IND | McRoberts Reverse Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Watson 5 AST) | 40 26.1% | 44 73.9% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | CHI | Rose 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 38 23.7% | 44 76.3% |
| Q2 - 5:41 | IND | Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST) | 38 26.0% | 42 74.0% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | IND | Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 21.6% | 42 78.4% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | CHI | MISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot | 35 21.0% | 42 79.0% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | IND | McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rush 1 AST) | 35 19.9% | 42 80.1% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | IND | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 16.7% | 42 83.3% |
| Q2 - 6:22 | CHI | MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot | 32 16.1% | 42 83.9% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | IND | Hibbert 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 4 AST) | 32 14.9% | 42 85.1% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 30 13.9% | 42 86.1% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | IND | MISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot | 30 13.0% | 42 87.0% |
| Q2 - 7:21 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 30 13.9% | 42 86.1% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | CHI | MISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot | 30 13.5% | 42 86.5% |
| Q2 - 7:37 | IND | Head Layup (4 PTS) (Watson 3 AST) | 30 12.5% | 42 87.5% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | IND | Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 11.4% | 42 88.6% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | CHI | MISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot | 28 11.0% | 42 89.0% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | IND | McRoberts Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST) | 28 10.2% | 42 89.8% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | CHI | Rose 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST) | 26 9.8% | 42 90.2% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 26 10.7% | 40 89.3% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 25 10.5% | 40 89.5% |
| Q2 - 8:39 | CHI | Johnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7) | 24 9.7% | 40 90.3% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | IND | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 24 8.8% | 40 91.2% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | CHI | Thomas 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 24 10.0% | 40 90.0% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | IND | Hibbert Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST) | 24 11.0% | 38 89.0% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | CHI | Salmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 22 10.0% | 38 90.0% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | IND | Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 2 AST) | 22 9.3% | 38 90.7% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | CHI | Miller 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST) | 19 7.8% | 38 92.2% |
| Q2 - 10:25 | IND | McRoberts 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST) | 19 8.5% | 36 91.5% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | CHI | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 7.8% | 36 92.2% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | CHI | Miller Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 17 7.8% | 36 92.2% |
| Q2 - 10:43 | CHI | MISS Rose 20' Jump Shot | 17 9.1% | 34 90.9% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 17 8.8% | 34 91.2% |
| Q2 - 11:03 | IND | MISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot | 17 9.1% | 34 90.9% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 17 9.7% | 34 90.3% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | IND | MISS Hibbert Layup | 17 9.1% | 34 90.9% |
| Q2 - 11:28 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 9.7% | 34 90.3% |
| Q2 - 11:30 | CHI | MISS Thomas Layup | 17 9.4% | 34 90.6% |
| Q2 - 11:48 | IND | Head Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST) | 17 8.8% | 34 91.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | 15 8.0% | 34 92.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 15 8.0% | 34 92.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | MISS Ford 13' Running Jump Shot | 15 7.5% | 34 92.5% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | CHI | Miller 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST) | 15 8.4% | 34 91.6% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 9.3% | 32 90.7% |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | IND | MISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 9.5% | 32 90.5% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | CHI | Deng 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) | 15 10.0% | 32 90.0% |
| Q1 - 1:04 | IND | Hibbert Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST) | 15 11.6% | 30 88.4% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | IND | Rush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 10.4% | 30 89.6% |
| Q1 - 1:10 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 10.2% | 30 89.8% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 13 9.8% | 30 90.2% |
| Q1 - 1:20 | IND | MISS Ford Driving Layup | 13 10.0% | 30 90.0% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | IND | Rush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 10.4% | 30 89.6% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 10.2% | 30 89.8% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 13 9.8% | 30 90.2% |
| Q1 - 1:37 | IND | MISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot | 13 10.0% | 30 90.0% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | CHI | Salmons 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST) | 13 10.8% | 30 89.2% |
| Q1 - 2:14 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 13 11.9% | 28 88.1% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | IND | MISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot | 13 12.2% | 28 87.8% |
| Q1 - 2:36 | IND | Ford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 12.8% | 28 87.2% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | CHI | MISS Miller 21' Jump Shot | 13 12.5% | 28 87.5% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 11.9% | 28 88.1% |
| Q1 - 2:50 | IND | MISS Hibbert 14' Hook Shot | 13 12.2% | 28 87.8% |
| Q1 - 3:03 | IND | Murphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 13 13.0% | 28 87.0% |
| Q1 - 3:04 | IND | MISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 12.3% | 28 87.7% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | CHI | Hinrich 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 13 13.0% | 28 87.0% |
| Q1 - 3:35 | IND | Ford 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 13 14.1% | 26 85.9% |
| Q1 - 3:42 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 11 13.0% | 26 87.0% |
| Q1 - 3:42 | IND | MISS Watson 19' Jump Shot | 11 12.3% | 26 87.7% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | CHI | Hinrich Layup (8 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST) | 11 13.3% | 26 86.7% |
| Q1 - 4:13 | IND | Thomas STEAL (1 STL) | 11 14.3% | 24 85.7% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | IND | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 15.5% | 24 84.5% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | CHI | MISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot | 11 15.1% | 24 84.9% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 14.3% | 24 85.7% |
| Q1 - 4:42 | IND | Noah BLOCK (1 BLK) | 11 14.7% | 24 85.3% |
| Q1 - 4:55 | CHI | Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 1 AST) | 11 15.5% | 24 84.5% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | CHI | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 18.3% | 21 81.7% |
| Q1 - 5:11 | IND | MISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 18.8% | 21 81.2% |
| Q1 - 5:28 | CHI | Rose Foul Turnover (P2.T5) | 11 19.8% | 21 80.2% |
| Q1 - 5:33 | CHI | Rose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 18.3% | 21 81.7% |
| Q1 - 5:34 | IND | MISS Ford 11' Jump Shot | 11 18.7% | 21 81.3% |
| Q1 - 5:43 | CHI | Noah Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 4 AST) | 11 19.8% | 21 80.2% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | IND | Jones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 11 21.0% | 19 79.0% |
| Q1 - 6:17 | CHI | Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 3 AST) | 9 19.8% | 19 80.2% |
| Q1 - 6:23 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 9 22.6% | 16 77.4% |
| Q1 - 6:24 | IND | MISS Jones 14' Jump Shot | 9 23.1% | 16 76.9% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | CHI | Gibson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 9 24.2% | 16 75.8% |
| Q1 - 6:48 | IND | Murphy 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 9 22.6% | 16 77.4% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | CHI | Deng Traveling Turnover (P1.T3) | 7 21.3% | 16 78.7% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | IND | Jones 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 7 19.8% | 16 80.2% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 5 18.6% | 16 81.4% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | CHI | Rose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 5 18.8% | 15 81.2% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 5 19.8% | 14 80.2% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | IND | MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot | 5 20.3% | 14 79.7% |
| Q1 - 8:01 | CHI | Deng 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Noah 2 AST) | 5 21.2% | 14 78.8% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 22.7% | 12 77.3% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | IND | MISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 23.1% | 12 76.9% |
| Q1 - 8:25 | IND | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 24.1% | 12 75.9% |
| Q1 - 8:26 | CHI | MISS Rose 22' Jump Shot | 5 23.7% | 12 76.3% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | CHI | Noah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 5 22.7% | 12 77.3% |
| Q1 - 8:38 | IND | MISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 23.1% | 12 76.9% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | CHI | Deng 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 2 AST) | 5 24.1% | 12 75.9% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | CHI | BULLS Rebound | 5 25.7% | 10 74.3% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot | 5 26.8% | 10 73.2% |
| Q1 - 8:56 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 25.7% | 10 74.3% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | IND | MISS Murphy Driving Layup | 5 26.2% | 10 73.8% |
| Q1 - 9:08 | CHI | Gibson Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 5 27.6% | 10 72.4% |
| Q1 - 9:16 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 5 26.1% | 10 73.9% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | IND | MISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 26.6% | 10 73.4% |
| Q1 - 9:25 | CHI | Rose 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 5 27.6% | 10 72.4% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | CHI | Noah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 29.3% | 8 70.7% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | IND | MISS Jones Driving Layup | 5 29.8% | 8 70.2% |
| Q1 - 9:54 | CHI | Deng 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Noah 1 AST) | 5 30.9% | 8 69.1% |
| Q1 - 10:18 | IND | Jones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 5 32.6% | 6 67.4% |
| Q1 - 10:26 | IND | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 31.2% | 6 68.8% |
| Q1 - 10:27 | CHI | MISS Rose 22' Jump Shot | 3 30.6% | 6 69.4% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 3 29.4% | 6 70.6% |
| Q1 - 10:38 | IND | MISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 2 | 3 29.6% | 6 70.4% |
| Q1 - 10:38 | IND | Ford Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 3 30.8% | 6 69.2% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | CHI | Gibson Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 2 29.6% | 6 70.4% |
| Q1 - 11:00 | CHI | Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 31.0% | 4 69.0% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | IND | MISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 | 2 31.4% | 4 68.6% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | CHI | Rose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 29.7% | 4 70.3% |
| Q1 - 11:15 | IND | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 28.4% | 4 71.6% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | CHI | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 0 29.7% | 4 70.3% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | CHI | Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 0 30.0% | 3 70.0% |
| Q1 - 11:28 | CHI | Noah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 31.2% | 2 68.8% |
| Q1 - 11:29 | IND | MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot | 0 31.6% | 2 68.4% |
| Q1 - 11:45 | CHI | Gibson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST) | 0 32.6% | 2 67.4% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | CHI | Jump Ball Noah vs. Jones: Tip to Rose | 0 34.2% | 0 65.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
IND
0.93 46.6%
CHI
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
26
50%
CHI
7
13
54%
Midrange
IND
15
40
38%
CHI
25
49
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
CHI
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
Free Throws
IND
12
18
67%
CHI
22
24
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hibbert | 17 | 47% | 8.5 / 18 | |
| S. Jones | 13 | 65% | 6.5 / 10 | |
| M. Dunleavy | 13 | 46% | 6.5 / 14 | |
| L. Head | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| E. Watson | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| T. Ford | 9 | 41% | 4.5 / 11 | |
| J. McRoberts | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| D. Jones | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| T. Murphy | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| A. Price | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| B. Rush | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Bulls| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rose | 28 | 58% | 14.0 / 24 | |
| J. Salmons | 17 | 85% | 8.5 / 10 | |
| B. Miller | 16 | 73% | 8.0 / 11 | |
| L. Deng | 15 | 68% | 7.5 / 11 | |
| K. Hinrich | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| T. Thomas | 8 | 33% | 4.0 / 12 | |
| T. Gibson | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| J. Noah | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
IND
87
+14
-10
101
CHI
76
+9
-20
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
IND
0.93 46.6%
CHI
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.8 103.9 | IND 97.9 +10.4 CHI 108.3 |
| Pace | 97.0 92.9 | IND 100.3 +7.4 CHI 92.9 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.5 15.1 | IND 14.4 +1.1 CHI 15.5 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.1% 47.7% | IND 46.1% CHI 56.9% +10.8% |
| TO % | 14.7% 14.6% | IND 10.1% +10.2% CHI 20.3% |
| ORB % | 21.6% 26.5% | IND 16.7% CHI 23.3% +6.6% |
| FTrt | 29.6 28.7 | IND 20.0 CHI 33.3 +13.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.3% 55.3% | IND 73.0% +9.8% CHI 63.2% |
| STL % | 7.4% 6.9% | IND 6.2% +2.0% CHI 4.2% |
| BLK % | 8.0% 9.2% | IND 1.6% CHI 9.1% +7.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.2% 50.6% | IND 46.6% CHI 60.5% +13.9% |
| Rim FG% | 57.4% 56.0% | IND 50.0% CHI 53.8% +3.8% |
| Mid FG% | 39.8% 41.2% | IND 37.5% CHI 51.0% +13.5% |
| 3P % | 34.8% 33.0% | IND 37.5% CHI 60.0% +22.5% |
| FT % | 77.5% 75.4% | IND 66.7% CHI 91.7% +25.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 33.3% 35.3% | IND 28.9% +10.8% CHI 18.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 38.9% 49.1% | IND 44.4% +23.6% CHI 68.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 27.8% 15.6% | IND 26.7% +12.8% CHI 13.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | IND | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 97 | 96 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.2 | 24.8 |
| Points | 95 | 104 |
| Rebounds | 31 | 47 |
| Assists | 27 | 24 |
| Steals | 6 | 4 |
| Blocks | 1 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 10 (1) | 20 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 8 (6) | 7 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 23 (3) | 40 (4) |
| Field Goals | 37-90 | 38-72 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 13-26 | 7-13 |
| Midrange FG | 15-40 | 25-49 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-66 | 32-62 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-24 | 6-10 |
| Free Throws | 12-18 | 22-24 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.