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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors18%97118
4Lakers82%109124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.2
43.0
44.1
22
46%
3
7
2
2
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
10-21
10-21
48%
48%
0-2
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
30.8
32.5
25
75%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
11-13
85%
7-10
5-11
70%
48%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
25.7
10.9
6
60%
8
3
0
0
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
56%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
23.3
23.4
15
66%
3
3
0
1
0
4
1
2
3-3
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.5
18.8
25.2
6
51%
6
5
1
1
5
1
1
5
0-2
0%
3-5
4-10
60%
45%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
29.7
32.7
14
96%
2
4
2
2
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
4-5
80%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
26.0
19.9
11
61%
5
2
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.0
23.0
17.6
7
52%
3
3
1
0
5
2
2
1
1-4
25%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
19.7
29.5
12
64%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
5.9
0
1-2
45%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.2
5.1
0
1-1
55%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
2.9
0
0-0
40%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.6
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.5
45.3
36.9
27
69%
12
2
0
1
3
3
4
8
7-8
88%
10-16
6-11
63%
57%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
42.9
39.1
44
65%
4
11
1
2
0
1
1
3
16-16
100%
11-21
11-20
52%
52%
2-6
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.1
34.9
31.3
11
39%
11
3
1
1
2
0
4
7
3-5
60%
4-10
4-7
40%
54%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.2
23.9
28.4
11
70%
7
0
2
0
0
4
3
4
1-2
50%
5-7
6-10
71%
58%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.4
22.8
28.8
6
50%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
25.2
15.5
12
60%
0
5
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
22.0
13.4
6
69%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
19.4
16.9
7
51%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
3.7
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
7.8
0
1-2
42%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
7.3
0
1-2
48%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
6.0
0
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.