FinalWin Prob.pScore
2319%92
92
381%103
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
98.99392.5
ORL logo ORL
124.59495.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMAGIC Rebound92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILMISS Bell 28' 3PT Jump Shot92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILMISS Elson 21' Jump Shot92
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLRedick 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)92
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:05ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06MILMISS Meeks 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17ORLPietrus Driving Layup (15 PTS)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MILElson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50ORLPietrus 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MILMISS Mbah a Moute 8' Hook Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28ORLMAGIC Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#14)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MILMISS Ilyasova 11' Turnaround Jump Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MILMISS Meeks 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MILRidnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19ORLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44ORLPietrus Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MILPietrus STEAL (2 STL)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MILRedick STEAL (2 STL)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02MILPietrus BLOCK (2 BLK)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:33MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:40ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:40ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:43MILWilliams STEAL (1 STL)82
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:56MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:57ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:21MILIlyasova Layup (13 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)82
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:33MILBucks Rebound80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:34MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 5:41MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:42ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:05ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:05ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 6:26MILRidnour 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:35ORLCarter Reverse Layup (25 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)78
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:46MILBell Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:52ORLCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:00MILJennings 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:05MILGortat BLOCK (2 BLK)76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:15ORLCarter 11' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)76
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:31MILIlyasova Backcourt Turnover (P2.T11)76
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 7:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)76
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:44MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot76
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 7:53MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)76
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:54MILMISS Ilyasova 20' Jump Shot76
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 8:09MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 8:09MILMISS Ridnour 3PT Jump Shot76
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 8:19ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)76
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 8:21ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 8:22MILMISS Bogut 9' Hook Shot76
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 8:41ORLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 8:50ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 8:51MILMISS Bogut 6' Running Jump Shot76
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 9:04MILBucks Rebound76
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q4 - 9:04MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 9:05MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q4 - 9:07MILCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)76
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 9:27ORLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)76
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 9:54MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)76
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q4 - 10:12ORLCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)76
10.4%
82
89.6%
Q4 - 10:28MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)76
8.4%
82
91.6%
Q4 - 10:54ORLPietrus 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)76
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q4 - 11:12MILWarrick 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
15.6%
79
84.4%
Q4 - 11:28MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q4 - 11:29ORLMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot74
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q4 - 11:46ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
10.7%
79
89.3%
Q4 - 11:47MILMISS Ridnour 11' Running Jump Shot74
11.3%
79
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL74
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLBarnes 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)74
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILRidnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)74
15.9%
77
84.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0ORLBarnes 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)71
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILMeeks 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 1:09ORLCarter 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)69
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q3 - 1:26MILRidnour 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q3 - 1:39ORLBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q3 - 1:39ORLBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 1:39ORLMAGIC Rebound67
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 1:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 267
15.2%
71
84.8%
Q3 - 1:39ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q3 - 1:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 1:42ORLMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot67
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 1:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 1:54MILMISS Meeks 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
16.5%
70
83.5%
Q3 - 2:17ORLCarter 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 2:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 2:28MILMISS Jennings 19' Jump Shot67
22.0%
68
78.0%
Q3 - 2:35MILBucks Rebound67
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 2:35MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot67
22.0%
68
78.0%
Q3 - 2:54ORLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)67
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 3:13MILMeeks Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)67
30.4%
65
69.6%
Q3 - 3:36ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)67
34.7%
65
65.3%
Q3 - 3:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
38.6%
63
61.4%
Q3 - 3:52MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot67
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 3:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q3 - 3:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q3 - 3:52MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot67
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 3:53MILMISS Bogut Layup67
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 3:55MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q3 - 3:58MILHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)67
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 4:10ORLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)67
42.5%
63
57.5%
Q3 - 4:23ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
50.5%
60
49.5%
Q3 - 4:24MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
52.1%
60
47.9%
Q3 - 4:44MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
55.6%
60
44.4%
Q3 - 4:44ORLMISS Carter 12' Pullup Jump Shot67
54.1%
60
45.9%
Q3 - 5:06MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
48.5%
60
51.5%
Q3 - 5:17MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
40.8%
60
59.2%
Q3 - 5:18ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot64
39.4%
60
60.6%
Q3 - 5:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
36.4%
60
63.6%
Q3 - 5:31MILMISS Bogut 9' Hook Shot64
37.7%
60
62.3%
Q3 - 5:55ORLBarnes Layup (4 PTS)64
41.0%
60
59.0%
Q3 - 6:02MILHoward STEAL (2 STL)64
42.7%
58
57.3%
Q3 - 6:22ORLCarter 23' Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
47.3%
58
52.7%
Q3 - 6:41MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)64
50.9%
56
49.1%
Q3 - 6:57ORLCarter 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
43.3%
56
56.7%
Q3 - 7:15MILMbah a Moute Layup (8 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)61
44.9%
54
55.1%
Q3 - 7:23MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
41.4%
54
58.6%
Q3 - 7:23MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot59
38.7%
54
61.3%
Q3 - 7:34ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T11)59
41.5%
54
58.5%
Q3 - 7:49MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)59
37.5%
54
62.5%
Q3 - 8:02ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)57
33.4%
54
66.6%
Q3 - 8:14MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)57
40.2%
51
59.8%
Q3 - 8:22MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
33.4%
51
66.6%
Q3 - 8:26MILMISS Redd 5' Running Jump Shot54
31.0%
51
69.0%
Q3 - 8:41ORLCarter Driving Layup (10 PTS)54
33.4%
51
66.6%
Q3 - 8:53MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)54
36.6%
49
63.4%
Q3 - 9:08ORLCarter Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)52
32.6%
49
67.4%
Q3 - 9:30ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
35.9%
47
64.1%
Q3 - 9:32MILMISS Mbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot52
37.0%
47
63.0%
Q3 - 9:53ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)52
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q3 - 10:04MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)52
41.5%
45
58.5%
Q3 - 10:14MILBucks Rebound49
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q3 - 10:14MILHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)49
32.6%
45
67.4%
Q3 - 10:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q3 - 10:24ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Layup49
33.9%
45
66.1%
Q3 - 10:38ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q3 - 10:40MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot49
32.7%
45
67.3%
Q3 - 11:01ORLHoward Layup (14 PTS)49
33.9%
45
66.1%
Q3 - 11:13ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
37.0%
43
63.0%
Q3 - 11:14MILMISS Redd 8' Turnaround Bank Shot49
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q3 - 11:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
40.4%
43
59.6%
Q3 - 11:18MILMISS Bogut 11' Jump Shot49
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q3 - 11:42ORLHoward Hook Shot (12 PTS)49
40.5%
43
59.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL49
43.7%
41
56.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound49
43.7%
41
56.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Pietrus 37' 3PT Jump Shot49
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
43.7%
41
56.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILBarnes BLOCK (1 BLK)49
43.8%
41
56.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)49
45.6%
41
54.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
43.1%
41
56.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot49
43.9%
41
56.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
45.7%
41
54.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 249
46.2%
40
53.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
46.4%
40
53.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
47.2%
40
52.8%
Q2 - 1:18ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P1.T9)49
47.9%
40
52.1%
Q2 - 1:29MILRedd 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
45.5%
40
54.5%
Q2 - 1:45MILBucks Rebound47
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 1:45ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot47
40.7%
40
59.3%
Q2 - 2:09MILJennings 6' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
37.4%
40
62.6%
Q2 - 2:32MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 2:33ORLMISS Lewis Running Layup45
33.8%
40
66.2%
Q2 - 2:52ORLMAGIC Rebound45
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 2:52MILMISS Ilyasova 23' Jump Shot45
32.6%
40
67.4%
Q2 - 2:58MILBucks Rebound45
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 2:58MILMISS Ilyasova Layup45
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 2:59MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 3:01MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 145
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q2 - 3:11ORLCarter Foul Turnover (P3.T8)43
28.6%
40
71.4%
Q2 - 3:17MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T6)43
25.7%
40
74.3%
Q2 - 3:17MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
28.6%
40
71.4%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q2 - 3:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
25.7%
40
74.3%
Q2 - 3:26ORLMISS Gortat Layup43
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q2 - 3:31ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
25.7%
40
74.3%
Q2 - 3:33MILLewis BLOCK (2 BLK)43
26.6%
40
73.4%
Q2 - 3:45ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
28.7%
40
71.3%
Q2 - 3:45ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
29.1%
39
70.9%
Q2 - 3:53MILPietrus STEAL (1 STL)43
30.8%
38
69.2%
Q2 - 4:11ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
32.9%
38
67.1%
Q2 - 4:11ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 4:16ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
35.4%
36
64.6%
Q2 - 4:17MILMISS Jennings 13' Fadeaway Jumper43
36.4%
36
63.6%
Q2 - 4:28ORLPietrus Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)43
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 4:46MILBogut Layup (13 PTS)43
35.5%
36
64.5%
Q2 - 5:02ORLGortat Layup (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)41
32.2%
36
67.8%
Q2 - 5:16ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 5:17MILMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
35.8%
34
64.2%
Q2 - 5:35MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 5:36ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot41
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q2 - 5:58MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 5:58MILWarrick Putback Layup (4 PTS)41
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 6:00MILMISS Bogut 7' Running Hook Shot39
30.5%
34
69.5%
Q2 - 6:13MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
32.0%
34
68.0%
Q2 - 6:13ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot39
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 6:28MILRidnour Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)39
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 6:46MILBucks Rebound39
32.0%
34
68.0%
Q2 - 6:47ORLMISS Williams Driving Layup39
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 6:52ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
29.2%
34
70.8%
Q2 - 6:53MILPietrus BLOCK (1 BLK)39
30.0%
34
70.0%
Q2 - 7:08ORLPietrus Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
30.9%
34
69.1%
Q2 - 7:28MILWarrick Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)39
35.9%
31
64.1%
Q2 - 7:41MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q2 - 7:42ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 7:52ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
30.8%
31
69.2%
Q2 - 7:52MILMISS Ridnour 15' Jump Shot37
31.6%
31
68.4%
Q2 - 8:03MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 8:04ORLMISS Redick 13' Jump Shot37
31.6%
31
68.4%
Q2 - 8:20MILMeeks Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 8:37ORLBass Dunk (4 PTS)35
27.8%
31
72.2%
Q2 - 8:52MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q2 - 8:52MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
29.2%
29
70.8%
Q2 - 9:11ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (10 PTS)33
27.2%
29
72.8%
Q2 - 9:27MILRidnour 18' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)33
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q2 - 9:46MILBucks Rebound31
27.2%
27
72.8%
Q2 - 9:47ORLMISS Pietrus 22' Jump Shot31
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 9:56MILRedick STEAL (1 STL)31
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q2 - 10:09ORLHoward Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)31
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q2 - 10:19MILMeeks Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)31
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q2 - 10:34ORLBass 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
31.5%
25
68.5%
Q2 - 10:48MILRidnour 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
33.5%
23
66.5%
Q2 - 10:55MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
31.5%
23
68.5%
Q2 - 10:56ORLMISS Redick 16' Jump Shot29
30.7%
23
69.3%
Q2 - 11:11MILMeeks Layup (2 PTS)29
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q2 - 11:14ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q2 - 11:30MILBogut Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)27
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q2 - 11:42ORLHoward Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)25
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL25
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound25
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Barnes Driving Layup25
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0MILRidnour 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
24.5%
21
75.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLGortat Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0MILMISS Warrick 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot23
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 1:00ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 1:00ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
26.3%
18
73.7%
Q1 - 1:08ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 1:08MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot23
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 1:29MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
29.2%
17
70.8%
Q1 - 1:31ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 223
29.0%
17
71.0%
Q1 - 1:31ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 223
27.9%
17
72.1%
Q1 - 1:31ORLMAGIC Rebound23
27.9%
17
72.1%
Q1 - 1:31ORLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot23
28.8%
17
71.2%
Q1 - 1:42MILMbah a Moute 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
27.9%
17
72.1%
Q1 - 2:03ORLBarnes Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
25.5%
17
74.5%
Q1 - 2:18ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 2:19MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot21
28.1%
15
71.9%
Q1 - 2:28MILMISS Jennings Free Throw Technical21
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 2:33ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 2:33ORLGortat Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 2:35ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 2:35ORLMISS Gortat Tip Shot21
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 2:36ORLMISS Carter Layup21
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 2:45ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 2:46MILMISS Jennings 7' Floating Jump Shot21
32.0%
13
68.0%
Q1 - 2:49MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 2:49MILMISS Redd 6' Floating Jump Shot21
32.0%
13
68.0%
Q1 - 3:03MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 3:04ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 3:12ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 3:13MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot21
31.3%
13
68.7%
Q1 - 3:25ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 3:25ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 3:25ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 3:27ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot21
36.2%
11
63.8%
Q1 - 3:44MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)21
34.8%
11
65.2%
Q1 - 3:51ORLGortat Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)18
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 4:01ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 4:02MILMISS Jennings 23' Jump Shot18
28.3%
11
71.7%
Q1 - 4:20MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 4:22ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot18
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 4:29ORLMAGIC Rebound18
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 4:30ORLMISS Lewis Layup18
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 4:35ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 4:35ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot18
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 4:54MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)18
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 5:06ORLCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)15
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 5:26ORLMAGIC Rebound15
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 5:27MILGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)15
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 5:43ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 5:56MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 5:56MILBogut Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
21.1%
11
78.9%
Q1 - 6:09ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)12
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 6:32MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)12
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 6:38MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 6:41ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup12
19.0%
11
81.0%
Q1 - 6:53MILIlyasova 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)12
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 7:04MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 7:05ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 7:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 7:16MILMISS Jennings 19' Jump Shot10
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 7:29ORLCarter Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 7:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 7:47MILBogut Putback Dunk (4 PTS)10
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 7:48MILMISS Ilyasova Layup8
15.8%
9
84.2%
Q1 - 7:59MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 8:00ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot8
16.2%
9
83.8%
Q1 - 8:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 8:10MILMISS Mbah a Moute 10' Turnaround Hook Shot8
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 8:27ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 8:27ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
16.5%
8
83.5%
Q1 - 8:46MILJennings 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 8:57ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)6
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 9:11MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)6
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 9:26MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 9:28ORLMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.9%
5
84.1%
Q1 - 9:45MILBogut 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
15.2%
5
84.8%
Q1 - 10:01ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)2
14.2%
5
85.8%
Q1 - 10:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 10:21MILMISS Redd 12' Fadeaway Jumper2
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:32MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 10:35ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Dunk2
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 10:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 10:46MILLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)2
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:57ORLCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 11:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 11:03MILMISS Jennings 11' Floating Jump Shot2
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 11:29ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)2
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:47MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 11:47MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Bogut: Tip to Ilyasova0
16.7%
0
83.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.89 44.7%
ORL
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
10
22
45%
ORL
20
30
67%
Midrange
MIL
19
53
36%
ORL
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
ORL
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
MIL
7
9
78%
ORL
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2050%10.0 / 20
L. Ridnour1680%8.0 / 10
A. Bogut1544%7.5 / 17
E. Ilyasova1359%6.5 / 11
L. Mbah a Moute850%4.0 / 8
M. Redd625%3.0 / 12
J. Meeks638%3.0 / 8
H. Warrick650%3.0 / 6
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
C. Delfino0-0.0 / 2
C. Bell0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2569%12.5 / 18
D. Howard1771%8.5 / 12
J. Williams16100%8.0 / 8
M. Pietrus1568%7.5 / 11
M. Barnes1071%5.0 / 7
M. Gortat964%4.5 / 7
J. Redick956%4.5 / 8
R. Lewis857%4.0 / 7
J. Nelson425%2.0 / 8
B. Bass4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
79
+23
-14
102
ORL
82
+12
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.89 44.7%
ORL
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
111.5
MIL 98.9 +25.5
ORL 124.5
Pace
91.8
92.0
MIL 92.5
ORL 95.3 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.7
MIL 15.6
ORL 15.1 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
53.6%
MIL 43.8%
ORL 62.3% +18.5%
TO %
13.6%
14.8%
MIL 12.9% +0.8%
ORL 13.7%
ORB %
26.2%
24.6%
MIL 34.6% +9.6%
ORL 25.0%
FTrt
23.9
34.0
MIL 9.3
ORL 33.8 +24.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
53.7%
MIL 44.7%
ORL 48.8% +4.1%
STL %
7.6%
6.8%
MIL 7.5% +0.1%
ORL 7.4%
BLK %
7.6%
8.6%
MIL 3.6%
ORL 13.3% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
55.8%
MIL 44.7%
ORL 62.2% +17.5%
Rim FG%
54.4%
61.6%
MIL 45.5%
ORL 66.7% +21.2%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.3%
MIL 35.8%
ORL 50.0% +14.2%
3P %
35.6%
37.5%
MIL 40.9%
ORL 47.6% +6.7%
FT %
75.5%
72.4%
MIL 77.8%
ORL 80.8% +3.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
33.0%
MIL 22.7%
ORL 39.0% +16.3%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
32.0%
MIL 54.6%
ORL 33.8% +20.9%
3P Att. %
25.9%
35.0%
MIL 22.7%
ORL 27.3% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.123.7
Points92117
Rebounds3941
Assists1721
Steals77
Blocks210
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (5)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)34 (3)
Field Goals38-9743-77
At-the-Rim FG10-2220-30
Midrange FG19-5313-26
2-Point FG29-7533-56
3-Point FG9-2210-21
Free Throws7-921-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 170 · 20
31.6
20
50%
2
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
2-3
67%
3-12
25%
4-7
57%
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
31.4
8
50%
5
1
1
0
2
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 25
29.6
15
44%
10
2
0
1
1
4
6
4
3-3
100%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
28.2
13
59%
7
3
0
0
2
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-8
25%
3-3
100%
G · 6'6" 215 · 30
26.2
6
25%
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-1
0%
3-11
27%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 29
21.4
16
80%
4
1
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 210 · 22
19.4
6
38%
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 219 · 27
17.4
6
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 37
13.0
0
0%
5
1
1
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27
8.8
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34
5.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F · 6'8" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'5" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
45%
39
17
7
2
14
0
18
21
7-9
78%
29-75
39%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.