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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks19%9292
3Magic81%103117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
31.6
33.1
20
49%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
3-12
4-11
25%
41%
4-7
57%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
31.4
26.6
8
51%
5
1
1
1
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
29.6
24.5
15
46%
10
2
0
0
1
1
6
4
3-3
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
28.2
21.4
13
59%
7
3
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
46%
3-3
100%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
26.2
22.4
6
24%
2
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-1
0%
3-11
3-7
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
21.4
19.0
16
80%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
2-3
67%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
19.4
20.9
6
38%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
41%
0-4
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
17.4
21.3
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.2
13.0
10.4
0
0%
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.3
8.8
17.1
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
7.7
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.8
5.4
6.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
31.9
33.0
8
58%
7
2
0
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
30.4
30.9
25
70%
3
4
0
1
1
5
0
3
4-4
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
48%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
24.4
15.5
10
73%
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
24.1
38.2
17
72%
10
1
2
1
2
2
1
9
1-2
50%
8-11
5-9
73%
60%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.9
23.1
25.6
4
25%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
24.9
18.4
16
102%
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
5-5
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
24.0
25.9
15
66%
4
0
2
1
2
1
0
4
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
2-6
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
23.9
8.9
9
61%
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
4
1-3
33%
4-6
1-2
67%
56%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
17.2
21.1
9
53%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
7-8
88%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
16.1
3.5
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
12.1
0
1-2
49%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
9.0
0
1-2
45%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.