FinalWin Prob.pScore
1542%96
91
1258%98
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.88691.1
NOH
106.78984.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)91
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)91
4.6%
93
95.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)88
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
13.3%
91
86.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
14.3%
90
85.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
23.5%
89
76.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
28.4%
89
71.6%
Q4 - 0:54.0NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)88
41.7%
89
58.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
57.0%
87
43.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIARichardson Tip Shot (11 PTS)88
57.0%
87
43.0%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot86
31.0%
87
69.0%
Q4 - 1:10NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)86
43.0%
87
57.0%
Q4 - 1:24MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)86
29.4%
87
70.6%
Q4 - 1:24MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)85
26.9%
87
73.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
20.5%
87
79.5%
Q4 - 1:26NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot84
17.7%
87
82.3%
Q4 - 1:38NOHHORNETS Rebound84
13.3%
87
86.7%
Q4 - 1:38NOHMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot84
18.8%
87
81.2%
Q4 - 1:48NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)84
14.1%
87
85.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot84
16.3%
87
83.7%
Q4 - 1:59NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)84
21.9%
87
78.1%
Q4 - 1:59NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
23.0%
86
77.0%
Q4 - 2:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
29.9%
85
70.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAO'Neal Putback Layup (10 PTS)84
29.9%
85
70.1%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot82
16.1%
85
83.9%
Q4 - 2:47NOHPaul Driving Layup (16 PTS)82
24.2%
85
75.8%
Q4 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
31.4%
83
68.6%
Q4 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)81
29.6%
83
70.4%
Q4 - 3:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
25.1%
83
74.9%
Q4 - 3:13NOHMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot80
21.7%
83
78.3%
Q4 - 3:36MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)80
19.8%
83
80.2%
Q4 - 3:52NOHPaul Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)78
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q4 - 3:54NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
10.1%
83
89.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
14.4%
83
85.6%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Haslem Layup78
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Wade Layup78
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q4 - 4:09NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q4 - 4:09NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 278
15.9%
82
84.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
13.8%
82
86.2%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
12.9%
82
87.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound76
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot76
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 4:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 4:36NOHMISS Paul 13' Jump Shot76
8.9%
82
91.1%
Q4 - 4:45NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
7.6%
82
92.4%
Q4 - 4:59NOHPaul 30' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)76
9.9%
82
90.1%
Q4 - 5:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
21.8%
79
78.2%
Q4 - 5:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
20.7%
79
79.3%
Q4 - 5:45MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
16.7%
79
83.3%
Q4 - 5:46NOHMISS Okafor 9' Hook Shot74
15.2%
79
84.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)74
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q4 - 6:16MIAHeat Rebound72
11.3%
79
88.7%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Chalmers 24' Jump Shot72
9.3%
79
90.7%
Q4 - 6:30NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)72
11.3%
79
88.7%
Q4 - 6:53NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
14.4%
77
85.6%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q4 - 7:11MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q4 - 7:12NOHMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot72
19.1%
77
80.9%
Q4 - 7:30NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q4 - 7:32NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q4 - 7:39NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
15.9%
77
84.1%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot72
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q4 - 8:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
21.8%
77
78.2%
Q4 - 8:08NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot72
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q4 - 8:35MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)72
17.7%
77
82.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q4 - 8:47NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot70
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q4 - 9:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q4 - 9:20NOHMISS Thornton Layup67
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q4 - 9:45MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)67
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 9:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 9:57NOHMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 10:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 264
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q4 - 10:26NOHCollison Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T11)64
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 10:34NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q4 - 10:42NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)64
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 10:54MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)64
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q4 - 11:07NOHSongaila 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 3 AST)62
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 11:19MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)62
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q4 - 11:40NOHWest 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)59
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA59
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)59
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHOkafor Dunk (14 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)59
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAArroyo Running Layup (11 PTS)59
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 1:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 1:08NOHMISS Okafor Layup57
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 1:21MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)57
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 1:33NOHSongaila 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)55
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 1:57MIACook 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)55
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 2:19NOHPaul 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 2:29NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot53
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 2:48NOHSongaila 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)53
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 3:06MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)53
11.0%
63
89.0%
Q3 - 3:18NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 3:18NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 3:37NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot51
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 3:54NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)51
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 3:58MIAPaul STEAL (4 STL)51
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
21.0%
58
79.0%
Q3 - 4:08NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot51
20.0%
58
80.0%
Q3 - 4:24MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 4:42MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q3 - 4:43NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot48
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 5:04NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)48
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 248
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q3 - 5:05MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q3 - 5:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q3 - 5:15NOHMISS Brown 23' Jump Shot47
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 5:31NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
10.2%
58
89.8%
Q3 - 5:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot47
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot47
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 5:52NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)47
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q3 - 6:06NOHHORNETS Rebound47
16.6%
55
83.4%
Q3 - 6:06NOHMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot47
18.4%
55
81.6%
Q3 - 6:12MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)47
16.6%
55
83.4%
Q3 - 6:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 6:26NOHMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot47
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 6:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)47
16.5%
55
83.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIAHeat Rebound47
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Beasley 48' 3PT Jump Shot47
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q3 - 7:08NOHWest Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)47
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 7:10NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)47
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 7:11NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q3 - 7:18MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)47
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 7:32MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
17.9%
55
82.1%
Q3 - 7:50NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)47
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 7:50NOHOkafor Putback Layup (10 PTS)47
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 7:53NOHMISS Brown Layup47
24.1%
53
75.9%
Q3 - 8:01NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)47
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q3 - 8:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q3 - 8:02NOHMISS West Tip Shot47
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 8:03NOHMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot47
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q3 - 8:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
17.6%
53
82.4%
Q3 - 8:41NOHMISS Brown 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
16.9%
53
83.1%
Q3 - 9:02MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)44
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q3 - 9:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 9:15NOHMISS West 7' Jump Shot42
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q3 - 9:30NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot42
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q3 - 9:53NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 9:58NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
16.4%
51
83.6%
Q3 - 10:07NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)42
18.5%
51
81.5%
Q3 - 10:30MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q3 - 10:52NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q3 - 10:52NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 240
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q3 - 11:10NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)40
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot40
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q3 - 11:27NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)40
16.9%
50
83.1%
Q3 - 11:27NOHOkafor Putback Layup (8 PTS)40
16.9%
50
83.1%
Q3 - 11:30NOHMISS Brown Layup40
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q3 - 11:48MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)40
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHWest Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)40
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)40
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Richardson Layup37
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0NOHWest 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)37
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup37
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 1:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot37
18.6%
46
81.4%
Q2 - 1:17NOHBrown 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 1:44MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)37
22.4%
44
77.6%
Q2 - 1:56MIAHeat Rebound34
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot34
16.7%
44
83.3%
Q2 - 2:20NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)34
18.3%
44
81.7%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)34
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 2:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 2:42NOHMISS Songaila 23' Jump Shot32
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 3:02MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)32
18.5%
41
81.5%
Q2 - 3:10MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 3:12NOHMISS Thornton 20' Jump Shot32
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 3:25MIAThornton STEAL (1 STL)32
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 3:35NOHWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)32
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 3:42NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
18.4%
41
81.6%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
19.1%
41
80.9%
Q2 - 3:52MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 3:53NOHMISS Songaila 16' Jump Shot32
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 4:08MIAWade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)32
18.9%
41
81.1%
Q2 - 4:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 4:23NOHMISS Collison 21' Jump Shot30
16.6%
41
83.4%
Q2 - 4:47MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T6)30
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 5:01NOHSongaila 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)30
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 5:14MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)30
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q2 - 5:32NOHThornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)28
17.6%
39
82.4%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
21.0%
36
79.0%
Q2 - 5:59NOHSongaila Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
19.4%
36
80.6%
Q2 - 6:03NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
23.6%
33
76.4%
Q2 - 6:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Beasley Putback Dunk26
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade Layup26
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 6:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 6:12NOHMISS Thornton 8' Jump Shot26
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q2 - 6:29NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
23.6%
33
76.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot26
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 6:56NOHCollison Slam Dunk (2 PTS)26
26.1%
33
73.9%
Q2 - 6:59NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 7:01MIASongaila BLOCK (1 BLK)26
29.2%
31
70.8%
Q2 - 7:09NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)26
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 7:14MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)26
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 7:29NOHWest Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)26
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 7:52NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.2%
29
66.8%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
35.3%
29
64.7%
Q2 - 8:07NOHCollison Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)25
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q2 - 8:16MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)25
31.0%
29
69.0%
Q2 - 8:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot23
27.2%
29
72.8%
Q2 - 8:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q2 - 8:35NOHMISS Thornton 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 8:56MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q2 - 9:04NOHCollison Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
28.9%
29
71.1%
Q2 - 9:28MIABeasley Layup (9 PTS)23
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 9:34NOHThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q2 - 9:46NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)21
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot21
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 10:06NOHOkafor Layup (6 PTS) (West 2 AST)21
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q2 - 10:30NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q2 - 10:32MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot21
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q2 - 10:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q2 - 10:43NOHMISS Stojakovic 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q2 - 10:59NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot21
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q2 - 11:25NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q2 - 11:25NOHWest Putback Layup (6 PTS)21
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q2 - 11:27NOHMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot21
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q2 - 11:44MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)21
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot19
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHHORNETS Rebound19
27.6%
25
72.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot19
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)19
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)19
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot19
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 1:09NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 1:09NOHOkafor Putback Dunk (4 PTS)19
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 1:11NOHMISS West 13' Jump Shot19
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 1:31MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
36.4%
21
63.6%
Q1 - 1:41MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
37.9%
21
62.1%
Q1 - 1:42NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot19
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 1:53NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
36.4%
21
63.6%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot19
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q1 - 2:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q1 - 2:09NOHMISS Okafor 13' Jump Shot19
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 2:29NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
36.4%
21
63.6%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 219
36.7%
21
63.3%
Q1 - 2:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
38.1%
21
61.9%
Q1 - 2:47NOHPaul 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 2:58NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 2:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
39.9%
19
60.1%
Q1 - 3:08NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 3:09NOHMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot18
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 3:24MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)18
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 3:43NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)18
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 3:43NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)18
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 4:03NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
42.5%
17
57.5%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 218
42.8%
17
57.2%
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
44.2%
17
55.8%
Q1 - 4:15MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
42.6%
17
57.4%
Q1 - 4:16NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot17
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 4:35NOHWest 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
42.6%
17
57.4%
Q1 - 4:47NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Richardson Layup17
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 4:59MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)17
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 5:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
44.6%
15
55.4%
Q1 - 5:11NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup16
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 5:34MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 5:34MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 5:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 5:42NOHMISS Okafor 9' Jump Shot14
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 6:08MIAWade Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)14
38.1%
15
61.9%
Q1 - 6:27NOHBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)12
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 6:48MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 7:05NOHBrown Driving Layup (5 PTS)10
38.1%
12
61.9%
Q1 - 7:12MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 7:12MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
39.6%
10
60.4%
Q1 - 7:21MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.1%
10
61.9%
Q1 - 7:22NOHMISS West 13' Jump Shot8
37.5%
10
62.5%
Q1 - 7:50MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)8
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 7:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 7:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot6
33.7%
10
66.3%
Q1 - 8:19MIABeasley Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
32.4%
10
67.6%
Q1 - 8:32NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
30.6%
10
69.4%
Q1 - 8:32NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 8:45MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 9:05NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)2
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 9:34MIAArroyo Layup (2 PTS)2
34.6%
5
65.4%
Q1 - 9:39NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
32.8%
5
67.2%
Q1 - 9:46NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot0
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 10:10NOHBrown 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
33.3%
5
66.7%
Q1 - 10:25NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot0
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 10:38MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot0
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 11:04NOHWest 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)0
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 11:18NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot0
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 11:42NOHMISS Okafor Layup0
41.1%
0
58.9%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. O'Neal: Tip to Stojakovic0
40.0%
0
60.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
NOH
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
22
50%
NOH
13
20
65%
Midrange
MIA
14
37
38%
NOH
14
41
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
NOH
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
20
25
80%
NOH
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2261%11.0 / 18
Q. Richardson1450%7.0 / 14
J. O'Neal1246%6.0 / 13
C. Arroyo1155%5.5 / 10
M. Beasley1155%5.5 / 10
U. Haslem1045%5.0 / 11
D. Cook542%2.5 / 6
M. Chalmers433%2.0 / 6
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2153%10.5 / 20
C. Paul1869%9.0 / 13
D. Brown1657%8.0 / 14
E. Okafor1558%7.5 / 13
D. Songaila1179%5.5 / 7
P. Stojakovic630%3.0 / 10
J. Posey350%1.5 / 3
M. Thornton330%1.5 / 5
D. Collison233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+15
-12
89
NOH
76
+12
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
NOH
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
107.3
MIA 105.8
NOH 106.7 +0.9
Pace
89.6
92.7
MIA 91.1 +6.7
NOH 84.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.5
MIA 15.8 +1.3
NOH 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.6%
MIA 45.5%
NOH 48.1% +2.6%
TO %
13.6%
13.7%
MIA 12.7% +0.2%
NOH 12.9%
ORB %
26.0%
24.8%
MIA 24.4% +0.6%
NOH 23.8%
FTrt
29.6
24.3
MIA 32.1 +3.9
NOH 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
57.5%
MIA 59.4% +9.4%
NOH 50.0%
STL %
8.1%
8.2%
MIA 8.1% +1.4%
NOH 6.7%
BLK %
9.4%
5.8%
MIA 4.9% +1.5%
NOH 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.9%
MIA 47.9%
NOH 54.0% +6.1%
Rim FG%
62.0%
58.6%
MIA 50.0%
NOH 65.0% +15.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.6%
MIA 37.8% +3.7%
NOH 34.1%
3P %
34.6%
36.3%
MIA 36.8%
NOH 41.2% +4.4%
FT %
75.2%
77.8%
MIA 80.0%
NOH 90.9% +10.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
33.3%
MIA 28.2% +2.6%
NOH 25.6%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
43.8%
MIA 47.4% +5.1%
NOH 52.6%
3P Att. %
21.9%
23.0%
MIA 24.4% +2.6%
NOH 21.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points9195
Rebounds4344
Assists1917
Steals76
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals32-7834-78
At-the-Rim FG11-2213-20
Midrange FG14-3714-41
2-Point FG25-5927-61
3-Point FG7-197-17
Free Throws20-2520-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
39.6
12
46%
9
0
1
0
1
3
1
8
4-6
67%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
37.6
22
61%
3
6
0
2
6
2
2
1
7-10
70%
6-12
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
34.3
14
50%
8
2
1
0
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
20%
4-9
44%
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
25.8
11
55%
3
3
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
24.7
11
55%
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
5-5
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
30.0
10
45%
9
1
0
1
2
4
3
6
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
19.0
5
42%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
18.0
4
33%
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
9.4
2
50%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
43
19
7
3
12
0
11
32
20-25
80%
25-59
42%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.