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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat43%9691
12Hornets57%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
39.6
18.6
12
47%
9
0
1
0
0
1
1
8
4-6
67%
4-10
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
37.6
32.3
22
63%
3
6
0
1
2
6
2
1
7-10
70%
6-12
8-16
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.7
34.3
27.5
14
50%
8
2
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
4-9
44%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.4
25.8
22.3
11
55%
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
24.7
29.0
11
54%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
5-5
100%
3-7
6-11
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
30.0
25.9
10
46%
9
1
0
0
1
2
3
6
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
19.0
11.8
5
42%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
38%
1-5
20%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
18.0
23.8
4
34%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
9.4
20.2
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
1.6
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.2
7.4
0
0-0
41%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
5.2
0
0-1
48%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.3
39.9
34.7
21
53%
10
3
1
1
0
2
2
8
5-6
83%
8-17
7-15
47%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
37.2
39.9
18
68%
5
9
4
2
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
6-11
6-13
55%
52%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
35.3
26.6
15
59%
14
0
0
1
1
0
7
7
5-6
83%
5-10
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
32.2
29.2
16
59%
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
42%
2-4
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.6
29.5
29.1
6
30%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
2-6
33%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.0
18.5
20.5
3
50%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-3
33%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
15.8
11.0
3
30%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.9
14.1
18.3
11
74%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.4
10.8
14.6
2
33%
1
3
0
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
6.8
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.3
5.0
0
1-1
45%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.1
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.