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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bulls41%9198
21Pistons59%9487
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.2
40.1
38.4
22
51%
4
4
1
1
2
2
0
4
8-8
100%
7-17
9-17
41%
49%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
33.1
29.2
15
70%
21
4
1
1
1
8
6
15
5-6
83%
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
32.3
38.2
7
32%
1
1
0
1
3
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-9
6-13
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.0
29.3
29.4
3
23%
6
6
2
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
1-5
2-6
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
22.9
17.4
8
67%
4
0
2
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
27.5
26.0
19
78%
7
2
2
1
1
3
4
3
11-14
79%
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
26.6
27.4
17
75%
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
3-3
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.7
14.9
17.9
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
13.3
11.3
5
73%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.2
2.4
0
0-1
41%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
2.0
0
0-1
48%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.1
1.9
0
0-0
35%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.8
36.0
28.9
11
33%
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
5-14
3-7
36%
47%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
32.6
35.9
22
53%
3
6
4
1
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
9-18
7-16
50%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.9
29.2
25.9
7
24%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-11
5-10
18%
47%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
21.9
26.7
2
33%
9
1
0
1
2
0
6
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.8
19.1
29.2
8
80%
5
0
0
1
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
35.0
27.1
21
59%
1
3
2
1
1
3
0
1
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.4
28.7
16.1
10
36%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
50%
2-6
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
14.4
13.0
4
106%
4
1
0
0
2
3
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.4
8.3
13.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.8
6.6
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.9
5.8
13.1
2
100%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.6
2.4
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.0
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.