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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat26%9278
5Spurs74%100108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
40.8
26.9
26
59%
8
1
0
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
12-21
5-10
57%
47%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
29.0
34.8
16
39%
2
6
3
2
0
7
0
2
3-6
50%
5-13
8-17
38%
49%
1-5
20%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.7
24.4
30.3
0
0%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
42%
0-3
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.4
22.3
23.6
5
63%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
15.7
28.6
6
60%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
25.1
21.1
7
51%
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
23.4
15.5
5
28%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
1-2
14%
36%
1-2
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
19.7
15.3
4
67%
3
0
2
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
16.2
9.3
3
80%
2
0
2
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
13.8
28.0
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
9.4
3.6
4
72%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.2
5.2
0
0-0
39%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.3
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
28.4
29.0
23
80%
10
3
2
1
0
2
3
7
3-3
100%
10-13
7-13
77%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.5
25.9
27.9
6
38%
3
2
1
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
25.9
24.5
14
51%
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
4-4
100%
5-12
4-7
42%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
25.4
30.8
15
60%
1
9
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.6
20.0
17.8
5
87%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
28.0
20.9
13
62%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-8
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.4
24.1
27.4
18
61%
4
4
4
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
7-10
3-5
70%
50%
0-3
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
20.3
26.6
5
50%
5
5
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
13.8
18.8
4
67%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
9.4
5.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
9.4
3.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
9.4
2.2
5
125%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.