FinalWin Prob.pScore
1426%92
78
574%100
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
83.09490.2
SAS logo SAS
116.19397.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA78
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMagloire 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)78
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASRatliff Foul Turnover (P2.T20)76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:13SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:34SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:34SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:42SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot76
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:54SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot76
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:13SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 276
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)76
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:34SASMason Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)75
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:57SASHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 275
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10SASHill 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Ratliff 1 AST)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (26 PTS)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44SASHairston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAHairston STEAL (1 STL)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05SASHaislip 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48SASMason Jr. Foul Turnover (P2.T18)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17MIAHeat Rebound69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17SASMISS Hairston 3' Layup69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36MIAWright 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42SASHairston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55SASHairston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13SASHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAHaislip BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39SASHaislip 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason Jr. 5 AST)67
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53SASHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 267
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09SASMISS Hill 2' Driving Layup66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49SASRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49SASMISS Ratliff 1' Tip Shot64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51SASMISS Hill 5' Running Jump Shot64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07SASRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17SASHaislip Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:53SASRatliff Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)62
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:16SASHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot62
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28SASGinobili 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)62
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:39SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:53SASBlair 3' Layup (14 PTS)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:56SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Bank Shot62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:04SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:22SASMason Jr. 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)62
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:34MIAGinobili STEAL (4 STL)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:39SASMcDyess 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56SASSPURS Rebound62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Blair 5' Running Jump Shot62
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 11:19MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)62
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 11:44SASHill 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)62
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound62
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 39' 3PT Running Jump Shot62
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)62
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot62
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAGinobili STEAL (3 STL)62
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 1:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 1:03SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 1:23SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 1:37SASBlair Foul Turnover (P2.T13)62
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIAMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 2:00SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)62
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 2:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 2:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 2:32SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (23 PTS)61
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 2:34SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 261
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:34SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 2:36MIAGinobili STEAL (2 STL)61
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 2:49SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 2:49SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 2:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 3:11SASGinobili 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)61
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 3:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot61
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 3:39SASDuncan 1' Driving Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)61
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)61
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 4:03MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 4:04SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot58
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 4:20MIAWade 2' Layup (15 PTS)58
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 4:28SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)56
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 4:49MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)56
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 255
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 4:58SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)55
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 5:18MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)55
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 5:31SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)53
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWade 1' Layup (11 PTS)53
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 5:53SASBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)51
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 6:16SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot51
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 6:27SASBlair Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T10)51
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 6:27SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 6:27SASSPURS Rebound51
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 6:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 6:38SASMISS Blair 8' Jump Shot51
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 6:57MIABeasley 23' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)51
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 7:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 7:06SASMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot49
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 7:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Arroyo 10' Fadeaway Jumper49
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 7:43SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 7:43SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 7:54SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper49
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 8:17SASJefferson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)49
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 8:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 8:26SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot49
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 8:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot49
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 8:55SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS)49
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIADuncan STEAL (2 STL)49
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q3 - 9:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q3 - 9:21SASMISS Jefferson Driving Layup49
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 9:38MIAArroyo Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)49
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q3 - 9:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q3 - 9:47SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot49
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 9:57SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot49
6.8%
60
93.2%
Q3 - 10:09MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 10:11SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot49
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 10:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 10:30MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 10:31SASMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot49
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 10:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)49
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 11:03SASDuncan 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)49
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 11:18MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)49
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 11:24SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)49
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 11:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Beasley 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot49
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS49
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound49
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Jefferson 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASMISS Ginobili 18' Fadeaway Jumper49
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)49
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)47
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASGinobili 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)47
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
10.5%
55
89.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot47
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q2 - 1:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q2 - 1:07SASMISS Parker 2' Layup47
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q2 - 1:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q2 - 1:30SASGinobili 17' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q2 - 1:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q2 - 2:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Jump Shot46
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q2 - 2:17MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)46
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q2 - 2:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup46
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 2:27SASBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q2 - 2:27SASBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 2:54SASParker 1' Layup (13 PTS)43
11.9%
51
88.1%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Arroyo 10' Jump Shot43
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q2 - 3:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q2 - 3:10SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot43
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 3:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
13.2%
49
86.8%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 242
12.9%
49
87.1%
Q2 - 3:38SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)42
13.5%
49
86.5%
Q2 - 3:38SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q2 - 3:46SASSPURS Rebound42
14.7%
47
85.3%
Q2 - 3:47SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot42
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)42
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q2 - 4:16SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)42
16.5%
47
83.5%
Q2 - 4:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot42
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 4:33SASJefferson 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
16.5%
47
83.5%
Q2 - 4:53MIAO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)42
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 5:01MIAHeat Rebound40
16.5%
45
83.5%
Q2 - 5:01MIABlair BLOCK (1 BLK)40
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 5:15SASParker 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
16.5%
45
83.5%
Q2 - 5:33MIAChalmers 2' Layup (4 PTS)40
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 5:49SASParker 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)38
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 6:03MIABeasley 9' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)38
18.2%
41
81.8%
Q2 - 6:21SASGinobili 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)36
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 6:37MIAChalmers 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)36
18.2%
39
81.8%
Q2 - 6:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
16.8%
39
83.2%
Q2 - 7:00SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot34
16.3%
39
83.7%
Q2 - 7:23MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)34
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 7:38SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)34
16.6%
39
83.4%
Q2 - 7:38SASSPURS Rebound34
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 7:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
16.1%
39
83.9%
Q2 - 8:03MIABeasley 11' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)34
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q2 - 8:17SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)32
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 8:33MIACook 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 8:55SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 230
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 9:17MIABlair STEAL (1 STL)30
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 9:25SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 9:25SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 9:36MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)30
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q2 - 9:52SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
15.2%
34
84.8%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWright 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)28
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 10:28SASJefferson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)26
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 10:35SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.2%
29
81.8%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Cook 2' Layup26
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q2 - 10:38MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Cook 2' Layup26
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q2 - 11:06SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)26
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 11:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot26
23.9%
26
76.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q2 - 11:27SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot26
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q2 - 11:39SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot26
23.9%
26
76.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 40' 3PT Jump Bank Shot26
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)26
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)24
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
23.3%
24
76.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAAnthony 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
23.3%
24
76.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup22
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 1:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)22
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
25.0%
21
75.0%
Q1 - 1:38MIAHeat Rebound20
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 1:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 1:39SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 1:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 1:43SASMISS Blair 1' Putback Layup20
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 1:44SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup20
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 1:52SASSPURS Rebound20
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 1:52SASMISS Blair 8' Jump Shot20
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 2:03SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot20
22.0%
21
78.0%
Q1 - 2:33SASBlair 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)20
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 2:54MIADuncan STEAL (1 STL)20
25.0%
19
75.0%
Q1 - 3:10SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)20
26.3%
19
73.7%
Q1 - 3:29MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q1 - 3:47SASBlair 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)18
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 4:04SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot18
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 4:19SASBlair 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)18
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 4:30SASParker Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)18
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 4:49MIABeasley 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 4:58SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)16
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 5:15SASSPURS Rebound16
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 5:15MIAJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)16
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 5:30SASDuncan 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)16
31.1%
12
68.9%
Q1 - 5:48MIABeasley 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)16
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 5:55SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 6:06MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 6:18SASBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 6:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot14
29.1%
10
70.9%
Q1 - 6:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 6:36SASMISS Bogans 6' Jump Bank Shot14
29.9%
10
70.1%
Q1 - 6:50MIABeasley 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)14
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 7:00SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)12
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 7:05SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)12
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 7:14SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
29.9%
8
70.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)12
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 7:33MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 7:34SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot10
26.1%
8
73.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 7:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
23.5%
8
76.5%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
22.4%
8
77.6%
Q1 - 8:13SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 8:21SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot8
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 8:42SASParker 3' Layup (4 PTS)8
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 8:49SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup8
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 9:07SASMcDyess 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)8
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 9:32MIAO'Neal 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 9:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 9:44SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot6
25.6%
4
74.4%
Q1 - 9:58MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)6
24.6%
4
75.4%
Q1 - 10:12SASDuncan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 10:16SASSPURS Rebound4
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 10:16SASMISS Blair 8' Jump Shot4
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIABeasley 3' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 11:04SASParker 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:20MIABeasley 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)2
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:41MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Parker 1' Layup0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. O'Neal: Tip to0
21.3%
0
78.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
SAS
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
25
60%
SAS
21
32
66%
Midrange
MIA
15
38
39%
SAS
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
SAS
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
9
16
56%
SAS
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2659%13.0 / 22
D. Wade1638%8.0 / 21
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
J. O'Neal660%3.0 / 5
C. Arroyo563%2.5 / 4
D. Cook528%2.5 / 9
D. Wright467%2.0 / 3
J. Magloire467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem225%1.0 / 4
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2382%11.5 / 14
M. Ginobili1864%9.0 / 14
T. Parker1563%7.5 / 12
D. Blair1454%7.0 / 13
G. Hill1359%6.5 / 11
R. Jefferson638%3.0 / 8
K. Bogans583%2.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.550%2.5 / 5
M. Haislip5125%2.5 / 2
A. McDyess467%2.0 / 3
T. Ratliff0-0.0 / 1
M. Hairston0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+7
-17
84
SAS
74
+13
-19
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.3%
SAS
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
110.4
MIA 83.0 +33.2
SAS 116.1
Pace
89.6
91.5
MIA 90.2
SAS 97.0 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.0
MIA 16.0
SAS 14.8 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
51.5%
MIA 46.0%
SAS 55.7% +9.7%
TO %
13.6%
14.1%
MIA 17.2% +1.2%
SAS 18.4%
ORB %
26.0%
26.8%
MIA 12.5%
SAS 25.8% +13.3%
FTrt
29.6
29.6
MIA 21.3
SAS 27.8 +6.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
58.1%
MIA 45.5%
SAS 69.0% +23.5%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
MIA 10.6%
SAS 10.8% +0.2%
BLK %
9.4%
6.9%
MIA 10.6% +4.3%
SAS 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
54.0%
MIA 45.3%
SAS 60.7% +15.4%
Rim FG%
62.0%
62.2%
MIA 60.0%
SAS 65.6% +5.6%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.7%
MIA 39.5%
SAS 50.0% +10.5%
3P %
34.6%
35.8%
MIA 25.0%
SAS 30.8% +5.8%
FT %
75.2%
74.0%
MIA 56.3%
SAS 90.9% +34.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
36.1%
MIA 33.3%
SAS 40.5% +7.2%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
40.6%
MIA 50.7%
SAS 43.0% +7.6%
3P Att. %
21.9%
23.2%
MIA 16.0%
SAS 16.5% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points78108
Rebounds2843
Assists1529
Steals1010
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)35 (3)
Field Goals33-7542-79
At-the-Rim FG15-2521-32
Midrange FG15-3817-34
2-Point FG30-6338-66
3-Point FG3-124-13
Free Throws9-1620-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
40.8
26
59%
8
1
0
0
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
12-21
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
29.0
16
38%
2
6
3
0
7
3
0
2
3-6
50%
5-13
38%
1-5
20%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
24.4
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
22.3
5
63%
2
4
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
15.7
6
60%
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
25.1
7
50%
0
3
0
0
3
3
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
23.4
5
28%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
14%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
19.7
4
67%
3
0
2
2
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
16.2
3
75%
2
0
2
2
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
13.8
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
9.4
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
45%
28
15
10
7
17
0
5
23
9-16
56%
30-63
48%
3-12
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.