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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz47%9686
16Thunder53%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.1
34.7
34.8
17
58%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
7-13
7-14
54%
51%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
34.4
32.0
11
28%
11
4
1
1
1
5
3
8
3-3
100%
4-16
4-8
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
33.1
35.9
14
47%
1
3
1
1
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-3
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.8
26.8
33.1
8
44%
3
2
3
2
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
17.0
24.2
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.9
26.9
24.6
8
37%
10
2
0
1
0
0
5
5
0-2
0%
4-10
4-7
40%
53%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
26.8
15.0
14
70%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
7-9
1-3
78%
49%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
21.6
10.7
5
32%
3
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
18.6
24.1
7
60%
7
0
1
1
1
3
3
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.8
3.4
0
0-0
46%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.0
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.8
1.4
0
0-0
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
40.4
39.0
31
61%
9
5
0
1
2
5
0
9
6-8
75%
11-19
8-15
58%
51%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
33.9
28.9
0
0%
6
2
0
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
32.7
35.4
8
27%
4
10
2
1
1
4
1
3
2-6
33%
3-11
5-12
27%
44%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
29.3
24.9
10
56%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
27.0
32.1
12
53%
5
0
0
1
0
6
1
4
1-3
33%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
32.9
25.5
11
72%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-6
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
57%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
15.4
13.4
6
69%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-3
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
15.3
12.6
4
40%
0
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.3
13.3
21.2
5
50%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.3
4.4
0
0-1
48%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 30.7
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.3
0
0-1
53%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
1.6
0
0-0
51%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.6
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.