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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings16%95108
2Lakers84%108109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
40.5
32.4
23
78%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
48%
3-4
75%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
40.4
25.0
30
72%
11
5
1
0
0
3
0
11
2-2
100%
8-15
4-7
53%
48%
4-5
80%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
33.6
34.8
19
68%
1
13
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
1-2
50%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
30.3
25.2
8
57%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
24.6
34.4
0
0%
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
0-4
6-12
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
26.9
15.5
13
74%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
1-2
50%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
17.3
18.2
9
57%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
1-2
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.4
11.1
6.5
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
10.5
18.5
2
20%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-4
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
4.9
11.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
17.1
1
3-7
46%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.7
2.0
0
0-1
43%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
47.3
39.8
39
61%
5
5
1
2
0
3
0
5
8-11
73%
8-20
10-19
40%
53%
5-7
71%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.5
40.5
39.0
17
62%
16
4
0
1
1
3
5
11
3-4
75%
7-12
7-12
58%
57%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
35.6
32.0
20
76%
10
3
0
1
1
2
3
7
4-5
80%
5-8
4-7
63%
54%
2-3
67%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.2
33.9
26.7
16
62%
4
3
0
0
3
2
1
3
2-2
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
58%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.4
23.6
26.5
6
26%
3
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
3-4
75%
0-6
2-4
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
19.6
17.5
6
44%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
19.0
18.6
2
25%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
10.6
16.1
1
20%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
5.6
5.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
4.3
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
5.4
0
1-1
49%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
4.3
0
1-1
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.