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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs59%10297
20Wizards41%9986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
36.2
28.7
23
62%
7
3
0
1
1
1
0
7
3-6
50%
10-15
7-13
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.6
35.2
28.7
12
34%
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-17
6-11
29%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.5
32.9
26.7
11
80%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.6
26.7
18.5
8
133%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
2-2
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
14.7
24.7
2
36%
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-4
50%
0-1
4-8
0%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.4
27.7
26.0
10
60%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
26.7
23.8
20
92%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
4-4
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
22.4
16.6
6
38%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
17.1
23.6
5
46%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
0.4
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
7.2
0
1-1
50%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
5.2
0
1-2
49%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.8
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
46.7
39.3
24
52%
6
1
1
2
0
3
1
5
3-5
60%
9-19
5-11
47%
48%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.6
41.6
37.4
17
62%
9
1
1
1
2
2
2
7
3-4
75%
4-9
6-12
44%
49%
2-3
67%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
35.0
38.5
23
44%
3
8
0
2
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
9-21
6-14
43%
46%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
30.0
34.5
4
40%
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
53%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
27.5
20.6
5
36%
6
1
1
1
3
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.6
19.3
17.5
4
34%
1
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
17.9
24.2
6
75%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
43%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
14.1
2.8
3
52%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
57%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.8
6.9
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
0.9
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
12.1
0
1-3
46%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.0
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.