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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Raptors25%9296
5Celtics75%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.2
40.4
38.2
21
63%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
3-4
75%
6-10
5-11
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.8
39.6
36.0
25
75%
9
1
1
1
1
4
2
7
3-4
75%
11-15
7-15
73%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.8
38.7
21.7
12
54%
7
7
0
0
1
2
0
7
3-5
60%
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
33.3
33.9
14
59%
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
3-3
100%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
14.5
18.5
3
39%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.1
20.3
11.9
5
51%
0
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
19.4
20.1
5
42%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
13.3
19.8
6
51%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
10.5
16.4
5
66%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
4.6
15.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
3.5
1.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.6
1.9
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.0
35.6
29.0
14
59%
5
7
1
2
1
3
2
3
6-9
67%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.3
34.9
25.7
16
67%
6
4
3
1
1
0
0
6
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
2-5
40%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.5
32.4
37.3
23
72%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
6-7
86%
7-9
4-8
78%
53%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.1
29.9
28.2
14
72%
10
1
1
0
1
4
3
7
4-4
100%
5-8
5-7
63%
62%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
20.4
4.0
2
33%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
54%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
28.7
19.9
12
51%
4
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
2-6
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.0
19.7
11.6
15
62%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
5-7
71%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
14.7
15.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
12.3
3.2
5
83%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
11.3
10.1
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.9
37.2
2
6-11
54%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.2
2.3
0
0-1
54%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.2
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.