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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Thunder49%9597
24Bucks51%96103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
46.9
39.0
31
57%
5
0
1
1
4
7
0
5
6-7
86%
11-20
8-15
55%
50%
1-4
25%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
44.1
30.0
8
34%
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
42.1
34.0
17
44%
9
13
1
1
2
0
3
6
5-8
63%
6-15
5-12
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
28.6
30.2
9
70%
9
2
0
1
0
2
1
8
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
22.0
26.2
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
30.9
28.0
8
69%
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
17.8
13.5
8
40%
6
4
2
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-3
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.4
17.5
18.2
3
31%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
15.1
14.1
9
63%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
3-5
60%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.2
0
0-1
51%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
1.1
0
0-0
50%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
43.4
24.0
27
58%
7
2
1
1
1
0
2
5
0-1
0%
9-16
3-7
56%
47%
3-7
43%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
40.0
26.6
23
59%
15
2
1
1
2
2
5
10
5-6
83%
9-17
6-11
53%
53%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
38.3
28.2
6
34%
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-7
2-5
14%
48%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
36.7
31.9
13
37%
7
5
0
1
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
4-12
5-11
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
21.2
24.2
8
33%
10
2
2
1
1
0
4
6
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
36.0
19.2
14
42%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
4-4
100%
5-15
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
24.7
19.7
12
55%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
15.7
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.2
8.7
11.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
0.2
19.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.3
13.7
0
1-2
43%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.8
5.7
0
0-1
46%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.1
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.