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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks73%10499
27Kings27%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.5
35.3
33.4
25
57%
7
1
2
1
1
0
0
7
9-9
100%
8-16
7-14
50%
52%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
33.5
23.9
17
61%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.8
31.5
37.9
14
100%
2
7
3
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
2-2
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.7
27.3
32.6
6
38%
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
54%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.5
21.2
21.4
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-4
100%
63%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
31.1
31.9
11
54%
4
5
2
1
0
4
0
4
5-5
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.7
31.0
29.9
16
51%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-6
67%
6-11
5-10
55%
49%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
26.7
20.6
8
46%
10
1
2
0
2
1
3
7
4-6
67%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
2.5
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
5.4
0
1-1
48%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.7
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
1.8
0
0-0
52%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.3
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.9
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
41.3
35.1
22
62%
11
4
1
1
1
2
0
11
4-4
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
49%
4-6
67%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
37.6
14.2
14
35%
5
6
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-4
50%
6-16
3-6
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
36.3
30.2
15
49%
10
1
0
1
0
3
6
4
1-1
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
30.6
33.9
10
45%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
22.0
31.1
9
41%
4
2
0
1
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-9
5-9
22%
48%
1-1
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
27.0
27.0
9
56%
2
3
1
1
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
13.6
15.1
4
40%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
11.1
8.8
2
114%
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
10.4
20.0
2
20%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
10.0
17.7
4
50%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.4
8.8
0
1-1
46%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.7
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.