FinalWin Prob.pScore
656%99
75
1744%97
92
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
90.48390.3
MIA logo MIA
110.88376.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA75
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P3.T11)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLMorris Dunk (4 PTS)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Magloire Tip Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Finger Roll Layup73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ATLCook STEAL (1 STL)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45ATLMorris Layup (2 PTS)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47ATLMISS Morris 7' Hook Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01ATLMISS Evans 9' Turnaround Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25ATLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)68
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:28ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 268
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:28ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:37ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T7)67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)67
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 6:23ATLPachulia Driving Layup (2 PTS)67
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)65
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)65
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 6:48ATLMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 6:56ATLHawks Rebound65
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 6:56ATLBeasley BLOCK (2 BLK)65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 7:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 265
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 265
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 7:25ATLMagloire STEAL (1 STL)65
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 7:45MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)65
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 8:07ATLSmith Driving Layup (8 PTS)65
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 263
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Magloire Dunk63
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Haslem Layup63
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q4 - 8:41MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 8:42ATLMISS Crawford 15' Fadeaway Jumper63
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAHaslem Tip Shot (12 PTS)63
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 9:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot63
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 9:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Wright 10' Jump Bank Shot63
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 9:29ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)63
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q4 - 9:43MIAWright 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)60
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 10:09ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)60
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 10:13ATLHawks Rebound58
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 10:14ATLMISS Johnson Driving Layup58
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q4 - 10:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot58
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q4 - 10:34MIAHEAT Rebound58
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup58
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q4 - 10:50ATLMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot58
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q4 - 11:13MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)58
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q4 - 11:36ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot58
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL58
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound58
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)58
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Fadeaway Jumper58
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 1:18ATLBibby 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)54
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 1:41MIAHEAT Rebound54
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 1:42MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 1:57ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 2:20MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)52
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 2:38ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 2:38ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 2:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Anthony 8' Hook Shot50
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 3:15ATLSmith 21' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)50
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 3:23ATLHawks Rebound48
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 3:24ATLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)48
5.0%
66
95.0%
Q3 - 3:40MIAArroyo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)48
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 3:58MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)48
6.6%
64
93.4%
Q3 - 3:59ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 4:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot48
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 4:24ATLHorford Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)48
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 4:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 4:28ATLMISS Crawford 15' Jump Shot46
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 4:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot46
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 4:50ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)46
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 5:08MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)43
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 5:27MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)43
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 5:28ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 243
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 5:28ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 243
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 5:45MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 243
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 6:02ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 6:02ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 6:10MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)41
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 6:34ATLJohnson Driving Layup (7 PTS)41
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 6:41ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 6:42ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 6:49ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot39
5.3%
59
94.7%
Q3 - 7:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)39
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q3 - 7:15ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 239
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 7:15ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)38
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 7:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q3 - 7:34ATLMISS Horford 5' Turnaround Jump Shot38
7.6%
56
92.4%
Q3 - 7:59MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)38
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q3 - 8:00MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Richardson 8' Running Jump Shot38
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 8:13MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 8:14ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot38
8.0%
56
92.0%
Q3 - 8:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 8:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 8:59ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot38
8.0%
56
92.0%
Q3 - 9:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot38
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q3 - 9:30ATLBibby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)38
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q3 - 9:46ATLHawks Rebound36
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q3 - 10:07ATLMISS Horford 13' Turnaround Jump Shot36
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q3 - 10:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot36
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q3 - 10:40ATLHorford 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)36
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q3 - 11:05MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS)34
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q3 - 11:28ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot34
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q3 - 11:44MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA34
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound34
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Running Jump Shot34
11.9%
51
88.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 3 of 334
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)34
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)33
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)32
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound32
9.5%
51
90.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot32
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)32
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q2 - 1:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q2 - 1:13ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q2 - 1:40ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)30
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q2 - 1:40ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)29
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 1:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
6.8%
51
93.2%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS Richardson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot28
6.6%
51
93.4%
Q2 - 2:14ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)28
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 2:14ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)27
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 2:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)26
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 2:39ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot26
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 2:59ATLHawks Rebound26
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 226
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q2 - 3:01MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)26
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 3:04MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 3:06ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)26
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 3:15MIABeasley Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)26
7.1%
50
92.9%
Q2 - 3:32ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)26
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 3:44MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 4:05ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)23
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIAWade Dunk (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)23
6.8%
48
93.2%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Richardson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot23
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 4:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 4:51ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
7.8%
46
92.2%
Q2 - 5:13MIAChalmers 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q2 - 5:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot23
10.8%
44
89.2%
Q2 - 5:35ATLJohnson 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)23
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 5:50MIABeasley Driving Layup (17 PTS)21
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 5:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 6:00ATLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot21
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 6:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Jump Shot21
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 6:27ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot21
11.0%
42
89.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)21
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 7:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
13.9%
40
86.1%
Q2 - 7:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
13.7%
40
86.3%
Q2 - 7:20MIAHaslem 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 7:32ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 7:32ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 218
13.4%
38
86.6%
Q2 - 7:49ATLHawks Rebound18
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot18
13.4%
38
86.6%
Q2 - 8:18ATLCrawford Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)18
13.4%
38
86.6%
Q2 - 8:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot16
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 8:45ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot16
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 9:02MIAChalmers 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)16
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 9:21ATLEvans Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 9:25MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 9:45ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 10:04MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)16
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 10:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 10:20ATLMISS Johnson 8' Floating Jump Shot16
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q2 - 10:34MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)16
18.9%
34
81.1%
Q2 - 10:45ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMagloire Layup (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)16
22.9%
32
77.1%
Q2 - 11:20ATLEvans Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)16
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q2 - 11:35ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot14
22.3%
30
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL14
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound14
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 31' 3PT Jump Shot14
21.5%
30
78.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)14
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
25.6%
28
74.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)12
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)12
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 1:13MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
26.7%
26
73.3%
Q1 - 1:14ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot12
27.1%
26
72.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)12
28.0%
26
72.0%
Q1 - 1:46MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q1 - 1:47ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot12
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q1 - 2:04MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q1 - 2:13ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
35.8%
22
64.2%
Q1 - 2:35MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
37.0%
22
63.0%
Q1 - 2:35MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 2:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 2:50ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)12
40.1%
20
59.9%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
46.6%
17
53.4%
Q1 - 3:34ATLMISS Horford 6' Hook Shot12
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 3:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
49.0%
17
51.0%
Q1 - 3:36ATLBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)12
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 3:49MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
48.9%
17
51.1%
Q1 - 4:12ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
51.3%
15
48.7%
Q1 - 4:39MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 4:56ATLCrawford Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 5:14MIABeasley 3' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)8
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 5:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Beasley Tip Shot8
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 5:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot8
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 5:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot8
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 5:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
53.4%
10
46.6%
Q1 - 5:44ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot8
54.1%
10
45.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 6:07ATLHorford Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 6:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMISS Anthony Reverse Layup6
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 6:28ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 26
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 6:28ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 6:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)5
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 6:40ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot5
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 6:56MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)5
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 7:18ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
51.8%
8
48.2%
Q1 - 7:39MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
47.7%
8
52.3%
Q1 - 7:39MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 7:43ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)2
49.7%
6
50.3%
Q1 - 7:56MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
51.9%
6
48.1%
Q1 - 8:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
55.6%
4
44.4%
Q1 - 8:13MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot2
54.8%
4
45.2%
Q1 - 8:30MIABeasley 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
56.2%
4
43.8%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHEAT Rebound2
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot2
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 8:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot2
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 9:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 9:06ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot2
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 9:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot2
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 9:30ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot2
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 9:46ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot2
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 10:10MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 10:23ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIAAnthony 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 10:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.2%
0
37.8%
Q1 - 10:56ATLMISS Bibby 15' Jump Shot2
62.8%
0
37.2%
Q1 - 11:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
63.1%
0
36.9%
Q1 - 11:36ATLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Smith: Tip to Williams0
60.4%
0
39.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.87 43.6%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
21
62%
MIA
14
25
56%
Midrange
ATL
9
36
25%
MIA
20
42
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
ATL
22
29
76%
MIA
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2364%11.5 / 18
J. Johnson1132%5.5 / 17
M. Williams964%4.5 / 7
A. Horford836%4.0 / 11
J. Smith833%4.0 / 12
M. Bibby758%3.5 / 6
R. Morris467%2.0 / 3
Z. Pachulia338%1.5 / 4
M. Evans220%1.0 / 5
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2864%14.0 / 22
M. Beasley2250%11.0 / 22
U. Haslem1260%6.0 / 10
Q. Richardson840%4.0 / 10
M. Chalmers758%3.5 / 6
D. Wright660%3.0 / 5
J. Magloire542%2.5 / 6
J. Anthony225%1.0 / 4
C. Arroyo233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
74
+12
-9
86
MIA
72
+18
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.87 43.6%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
106.7
ATL 90.4 +20.5
MIA 110.8
Pace
89.9
89.6
ATL 90.3 +13.6
MIA 76.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
ATL 15.9 +2.8
MIA 18.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.6%
ATL 37.3%
MIA 48.7% +11.4%
TO %
12.7%
13.6%
ATL 9.7% +1.4%
MIA 11.1%
ORB %
28.3%
26.0%
ATL 15.2%
MIA 36.1% +20.9%
FTrt
28.1
29.6
ATL 40.8 +15.5
MIA 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
51.9%
ATL 44.0% +3.5%
MIA 40.5%
STL %
8.0%
8.1%
ATL 2.4%
MIA 3.6% +1.2%
BLK %
7.9%
9.4%
ATL 4.5%
MIA 12.3% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
52.1%
ATL 43.6%
MIA 51.1% +7.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.0%
ATL 61.9% +5.9%
MIA 56.0%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.8%
ATL 25.0%
MIA 47.6% +22.6%
3P %
36.0%
34.6%
ATL 21.4%
MIA 25.0% +3.6%
FT %
75.9%
75.2%
ATL 75.9% +0.9%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
29.8%
ATL 29.6%
MIA 31.6% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
48.3%
ATL 50.7% +2.5%
MIA 53.2%
3P Att. %
21.4%
21.9%
ATL 19.7% +4.5%
MIA 15.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8383
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points7592
Rebounds3052
Assists1115
Steals23
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)39 (0)
Field Goals25-7137-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2114-25
Midrange FG9-3620-42
2-Point FG22-5734-67
3-Point FG3-143-12
Free Throws22-2915-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
38.3
11
32%
6
3
1
0
2
2
2
4
3-4
75%
4-14
29%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
37.2
8
36%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
35.5
8
33%
6
5
0
1
3
1
1
5
2-6
33%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
31.9
9
64%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
23.4
7
58%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
35.4
23
64%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
12-13
92%
4-7
57%
1-6
17%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
13.2
2
20%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
10.8
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34
5.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 24
3.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
44%
30
11
2
3
9
0
7
23
22-29
76%
22-57
39%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.