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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Magic77%10490
29Pacers23%9497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
34.0
28.9
4
23%
5
1
2
1
3
0
1
4
0-2
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.9
30.7
29.1
16
53%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
28.1
34.4
11
49%
15
0
1
1
2
5
7
8
7-12
58%
2-6
5-9
33%
59%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
23.8
31.1
6
19%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-12
5-11
17%
47%
0-3
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
22.4
27.9
13
62%
7
0
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-1
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
28.4
16.6
13
74%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
3-5
60%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
21.5
17.9
16
78%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
17.8
13.1
8
80%
8
1
1
0
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
17.3
17.8
3
38%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
11.1
15.2
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
5.1
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
5.6
0
0-1
44%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.1
35.1
24.9
26
57%
8
3
0
0
4
2
4
4
6-9
67%
10-19
5-10
53%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
35.0
26.2
13
48%
4
2
0
1
1
2
0
4
3-6
50%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.6
34.6
29.4
6
61%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.3
33.4
21.3
11
38%
9
3
1
1
0
1
1
8
2-3
67%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
31.4
30.4
18
50%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
6-7
86%
6-12
3-7
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
32.6
27.7
12
55%
7
1
4
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
2-4
50%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
13.3
14.5
7
60%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
13.0
19.6
2
50%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
11.5
18.5
2
25%
3
1
2
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.7
10.5
0
1-2
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.8
9.0
0
1-3
47%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.8
5.7
0
0-0
42%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.7
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.