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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Wizards40%101104
1876ers60%10497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.6
42.2
38.8
32
72%
14
1
1
1
0
3
2
12
5-5
100%
12-18
6-12
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
38.2
23.9
12
61%
3
3
1
1
2
5
1
2
2-4
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
37.7
36.2
19
51%
1
14
2
1
0
2
0
1
6-8
75%
5-10
6-14
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
36.2
42.0
8
45%
1
4
2
2
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
6-13
38%
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
21.1
8.6
2
25%
5
0
2
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
58%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
30.6
7.3
21
73%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
7-12
1-2
58%
47%
2-2
100%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
12.7
20.5
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.8
10.2
6.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.6
6.2
18.0
4
52%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.0
4.9
2.9
4
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
22.9
0
2-3
54%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
2.9
0
0-0
45%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
38.4
35.3
20
73%
6
8
4
2
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
7-9
5-9
78%
51%
1-3
33%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.6
33.7
30.3
4
33%
1
5
0
1
0
7
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
46%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
32.3
20.7
20
68%
20
1
1
0
0
0
5
15
4-4
100%
8-13
3-5
62%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
31.9
33.5
19
73%
2
2
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
3-6
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
24.9
23.4
5
29%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-6
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
52%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
23.5
30.7
9
53%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-8
38%
3-5
6-11
60%
51%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
14.3
26.7
7
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
12.0
14.6
5
36%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.6
10.8
13.3
3
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
7.8
10.5
5
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.9
6.8
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.8
3.7
5.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.3
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.