FinalWin Prob.pScore
2325%92
93
675%101
98
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
104.58987.5
DAL logo DAL
111.48889.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL93
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETMISS Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
6.1%
96
93.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)93
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETGordon 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)93
13.4%
94
86.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)91
7.3%
94
92.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot91
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETStuckey Driving Layup (15 PTS)91
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 1:10DALMAVERICKS Rebound89
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 1:10DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 289
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 1:10DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)89
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 1:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)88
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 1:11DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot88
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 1:33DETHamilton Driving Layup (20 PTS)88
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 1:45DALTerry 19' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)86
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 1:59DETGordon Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)86
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 2:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 2:15DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot86
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 2:22DALMAVERICKS Rebound86
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 2:24DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot86
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 2:47DETGordon 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)86
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 3:09DALTerry 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)84
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 3:29DETGordon 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)84
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 3:43DALHoward 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)82
3.5%
90
96.5%
Q4 - 3:51DALGooden REBOUND (Off:9 Def:9)82
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q4 - 3:52DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot82
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q4 - 4:14DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)82
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 4:32DALGooden REBOUND (Off:9 Def:8)82
13.4%
85
86.6%
Q4 - 4:33DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 182
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q4 - 4:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q4 - 4:39DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 5:01DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q4 - 5:13DETPistons Rebound78
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 5:13DETGooden BLOCK (1 BLK)78
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 5:30DALGooden Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)78
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 5:34DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q4 - 5:36DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
9.2%
83
90.8%
Q4 - 6:00DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)78
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q4 - 6:17DETVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T13)78
20.6%
80
79.4%
Q4 - 6:36DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
26.4%
80
73.6%
Q4 - 6:37DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot78
24.6%
80
75.4%
Q4 - 7:06DETStuckey Running Layup (9 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)78
20.7%
80
79.3%
Q4 - 7:09DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)76
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q4 - 7:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)76
13.0%
80
87.0%
Q4 - 7:13DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 176
13.5%
80
86.5%
Q4 - 7:38DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)74
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q4 - 7:50DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q4 - 7:50DETTerry BLOCK (1 BLK)74
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q4 - 8:02DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)74
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q4 - 8:02DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 274
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q4 - 8:17DETHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)74
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q4 - 8:34DALTerry 19' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)71
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q4 - 8:39DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q4 - 8:40DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 8:53DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)71
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q4 - 8:59DALMAVERICKS Rebound71
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q4 - 9:00DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q4 - 9:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q4 - 9:09DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q4 - 9:17DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q4 - 9:19DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 271
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q4 - 9:19DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 9:19DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 9:21DETMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot70
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q4 - 9:46DALHoward 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)70
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 10:07DETHamilton 11' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)70
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q4 - 10:25DALGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
12.4%
74
87.6%
Q4 - 10:25DALGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
12.9%
73
87.1%
Q4 - 10:34DALGooden REBOUND (Off:9 Def:7)68
15.0%
72
85.0%
Q4 - 10:37DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
16.0%
72
84.0%
Q4 - 11:05DALTerry 16' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)68
18.4%
72
81.6%
Q4 - 11:10DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)68
22.0%
70
78.0%
Q4 - 11:24DALGooden Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)68
25.7%
70
74.3%
Q4 - 11:40DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
30.1%
68
69.9%
Q4 - 11:42DETMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot68
31.5%
68
68.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL68
34.7%
68
65.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
30.1%
68
69.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Kidd 38' 3PT Jump Shot68
33.3%
68
66.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETWilcox Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)68
30.0%
68
70.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
25.6%
68
74.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
26.1%
67
73.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)66
30.0%
66
70.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)66
34.1%
66
65.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)66
39.3%
64
60.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
29.6%
64
70.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
30.1%
63
69.9%
Q3 - 1:10DETVillanueva Layup (16 PTS) (Wilcox 1 AST)63
33.8%
62
66.2%
Q3 - 1:18DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
29.2%
62
70.8%
Q3 - 1:20DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot61
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q3 - 1:35DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
25.6%
62
74.4%
Q3 - 1:37DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
26.7%
62
73.3%
Q3 - 1:55DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
29.2%
62
70.8%
Q3 - 1:55DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 1:59DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
33.8%
60
66.2%
Q3 - 2:01DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
33.8%
60
66.2%
Q3 - 2:26DALTerry 17' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)61
36.9%
60
63.1%
Q3 - 2:31DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
41.4%
58
58.6%
Q3 - 2:33DETMISS Wilcox 19' Jump Shot61
42.8%
58
57.2%
Q3 - 2:57DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)61
46.0%
58
54.0%
Q3 - 3:16DETVillanueva 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)61
48.7%
56
51.3%
Q3 - 3:37DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)59
44.6%
56
55.4%
Q3 - 3:48DETWilcox Foul Turnover (P1.T10)59
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 3:57DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)59
53.6%
54
46.4%
Q3 - 4:06DETHamilton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
47.6%
54
52.4%
Q3 - 4:33DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
44.1%
54
55.9%
Q3 - 4:33DALMarion Tip Shot (14 PTS)57
44.1%
54
55.9%
Q3 - 4:35DALMISS Terry Driving Layup57
51.2%
52
48.8%
Q3 - 4:47DALGooden REBOUND (Off:9 Def:6)57
47.7%
52
52.3%
Q3 - 4:48DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 257
48.4%
52
51.6%
Q3 - 4:48DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
51.5%
52
48.5%
Q3 - 5:00DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
48.4%
52
51.6%
Q3 - 5:00DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
49.2%
51
50.8%
Q3 - 5:13DETStuckey 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)56
50.3%
50
49.7%
Q3 - 5:28DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
46.8%
50
53.2%
Q3 - 5:30DALMISS Marion 7' Hook Bank Shot54
45.3%
50
54.7%
Q3 - 5:39DETWilcox Running Layup (10 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)54
42.1%
50
57.9%
Q3 - 5:59DALNowitzki Driving Layup (12 PTS)52
38.6%
50
61.4%
Q3 - 6:17DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
40.9%
48
59.1%
Q3 - 6:17DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 251
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q3 - 6:40DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)51
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q3 - 6:52DETMarion STEAL (1 STL)51
44.9%
46
55.1%
Q3 - 7:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
47.6%
46
52.4%
Q3 - 7:11DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot51
46.3%
46
53.7%
Q3 - 7:27DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)51
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q3 - 7:51DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)49
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q3 - 8:04DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)49
42.6%
44
57.4%
Q3 - 8:25DALTerry Layup (13 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)49
46.7%
44
53.3%
Q3 - 8:58DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
50.2%
42
49.8%
Q3 - 8:59DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
46.7%
42
53.3%
Q3 - 9:01DETKidd BLOCK (1 BLK)47
43.1%
42
56.9%
Q3 - 9:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
45.7%
42
54.3%
Q3 - 9:04DETMISS Jerebko 38' 3PT Jump Shot47
43.1%
42
56.9%
Q3 - 9:23DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)47
45.7%
42
54.3%
Q3 - 9:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
42.1%
42
57.9%
Q3 - 9:30DALMISS Terry Driving Layup46
41.0%
42
59.0%
Q3 - 9:35DETGooden STEAL (2 STL)46
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q3 - 9:57DALGooden REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)46
42.1%
42
57.9%
Q3 - 9:57DALGooden Tip Shot (4 PTS)46
42.1%
42
57.9%
Q3 - 9:59DALGooden REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)46
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q3 - 9:59DALMISS Gooden Tip Shot46
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q3 - 9:59DALGooden REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)46
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q3 - 9:59DALMISS Gooden Tip Shot46
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q3 - 10:00DALMISS Gooden 9' Running Bank Hook Shot46
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q3 - 10:10DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q3 - 10:12DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot46
45.6%
40
54.4%
Q3 - 10:32DALMarion Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)46
48.2%
40
51.8%
Q3 - 10:38DETKidd STEAL (1 STL)46
51.7%
38
48.3%
Q3 - 10:50DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)46
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q3 - 11:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)46
50.3%
38
49.7%
Q3 - 11:02DETMISS Hamilton 9' Fadeaway Jumper46
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q3 - 11:19DALMarion 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
54.0%
38
46.0%
Q3 - 11:33DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)46
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q3 - 11:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
54.0%
36
46.0%
Q3 - 11:44DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Jump Shot44
52.9%
36
47.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL44
50.4%
36
49.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPrince 7' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)44
50.4%
36
49.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0DALTerry Driving Layup (11 PTS)42
45.7%
36
54.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
49.8%
34
50.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)42
50.6%
34
49.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETPistons Rebound42
52.5%
34
47.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0DETMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot42
50.6%
34
49.4%
Q2 - 1:06DALKidd Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)42
51.4%
34
48.6%
Q2 - 1:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
55.6%
32
44.4%
Q2 - 1:24DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
56.3%
32
43.7%
Q2 - 1:40DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
58.0%
32
42.0%
Q2 - 1:41DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q2 - 1:50DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
55.7%
32
44.3%
Q2 - 1:52DETMISS Prince 23' Jump Shot42
56.4%
32
43.6%
Q2 - 2:15DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
57.2%
32
42.8%
Q2 - 2:17DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
56.1%
32
43.9%
Q2 - 2:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
53.9%
32
46.1%
Q2 - 2:39DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot42
54.9%
32
45.1%
Q2 - 3:06DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)42
56.2%
32
43.8%
Q2 - 3:26DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)42
61.8%
29
38.2%
Q2 - 3:47DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)40
59.4%
29
40.6%
Q2 - 4:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
63.2%
26
36.8%
Q2 - 4:05DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot40
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q2 - 4:23DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
66.4%
26
33.6%
Q2 - 4:24DALGooden REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)40
63.3%
26
36.7%
Q2 - 4:24DALMISS Gooden Tip Shot40
65.4%
26
34.6%
Q2 - 4:25DALGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)40
63.3%
26
36.7%
Q2 - 4:25DALMISS Gooden Tip Shot40
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q2 - 4:26DALMISS Terry 8' Jump Shot40
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q2 - 4:44DALGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)40
63.4%
26
36.6%
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Wallace Running Layup40
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q2 - 4:54DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
66.5%
26
33.5%
Q2 - 5:04DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)40
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 5:07DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
65.1%
26
34.9%
Q2 - 5:08DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot40
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q2 - 5:25DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 5:27DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
63.3%
26
36.7%
Q2 - 5:37DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
65.1%
26
34.9%
Q2 - 5:38DALGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)40
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q2 - 5:38DALMISS Gooden Layup40
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q2 - 5:39DALGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q2 - 5:39DALMISS Gooden Tip Shot40
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q2 - 5:40DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q2 - 5:40DALMISS Gooden Tip Shot40
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q2 - 5:41DALMISS Terry Layup40
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q2 - 5:58DETPrince Layup (8 PTS)40
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q2 - 5:59DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
59.6%
26
40.4%
Q2 - 6:00DETMISS Prince 6' Running Hook Shot38
57.6%
26
42.4%
Q2 - 6:15DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)38
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q2 - 6:35DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)38
61.0%
24
39.0%
Q2 - 6:47DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)35
55.9%
24
44.1%
Q2 - 7:15DETPrince 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q2 - 7:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
48.7%
24
51.3%
Q2 - 7:41DALNowitzki Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
48.7%
24
51.3%
Q2 - 7:42DALMISS Barea Running Layup33
53.5%
22
46.5%
Q2 - 7:59DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q2 - 8:00DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
45.9%
22
54.1%
Q2 - 8:02DETHumphries BLOCK (1 BLK)30
42.6%
22
57.4%
Q2 - 8:27DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)30
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q2 - 8:54DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)30
47.3%
20
52.7%
Q2 - 9:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q2 - 9:15DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot27
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q2 - 9:32DETWallace Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)27
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q2 - 9:41DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q2 - 9:42DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q2 - 9:53DETAtkins Foul Turnover (P1.T4)25
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q2 - 10:02DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
35.8%
20
64.2%
Q2 - 10:14DETVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)25
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q2 - 10:23DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q2 - 10:25DALMISS Nowitzki Layup22
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q2 - 10:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q2 - 10:34DALMISS Humphries Layup22
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q2 - 10:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q2 - 10:46DETMISS Prince 9' Turnaround Hook Shot22
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q2 - 11:11DALTerry Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q2 - 11:24DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q2 - 11:43DALHumphries Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL22
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETGordon 23' Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0DALHoward 12' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETWilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETWilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
36.7%
12
63.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0DALMISS Terry 18' Pullup Jump Shot18
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 1:02DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 1:02DETMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 217
34.1%
12
65.9%
Q1 - 1:14DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 1:15DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 1:28DETHamilton Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)17
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 1:33DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 1:34DETMISS Villanueva 7' Jump Hook Shot15
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 1:53DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 1:53DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 1:58DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 1:59DETMISS Villanueva 5' Running Jump Shot15
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 2:23DALTerry Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
33.7%
10
66.3%
Q1 - 2:28DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 2:30DETMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot15
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 2:51DALTerry Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
38.0%
8
62.0%
Q1 - 3:07DETWilcox Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)15
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 3:21DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 3:22DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot13
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 3:41DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 3:41DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 3:49DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
33.4%
6
66.6%
Q1 - 3:50DALMISS Marion 7' Floating Jump Shot11
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 4:04DETWilcox Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)11
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 4:20DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 4:22DALMISS Kidd 23' Jump Shot9
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 4:26DALMAVERICKS Rebound9
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 4:28DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot9
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 4:31DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 4:32DALMISS Gooden 10' Turnaround Jump Shot9
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 4:42DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 4:44DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 4:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 4:54DALMISS Barea 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 5:19DETWilcox Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)9
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 5:34DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.2%
6
74.8%
Q1 - 5:36DALMISS Gooden Layup7
24.7%
6
75.3%
Q1 - 5:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 5:46DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot7
24.0%
6
76.0%
Q1 - 6:02DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)7
24.7%
6
75.3%
Q1 - 6:33DETJerebko Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)7
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 6:38DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
21.8%
6
78.2%
Q1 - 6:52DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)5
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 7:15DALMarion 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)3
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 7:27DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T2)3
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 7:28DALGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 7:33DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)3
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 7:34DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 7:34DETMISS Jerebko Tip Shot3
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 7:35DETMISS Stuckey Layup3
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 7:41DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 7:42DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup3
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 7:50DETGooden STEAL (1 STL)3
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 8:07DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 8:09DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 8:22DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 8:23DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot3
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 8:44DALMarion 13' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)3
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 9:01DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 9:01DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 23
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 9:01DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 9:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 9:07DETMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot2
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 9:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 9:29DALMISS Gooden 14' Jump Shot2
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 9:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 9:51DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot2
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 10:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 10:04DALMISS Gooden 9' Turnaround Hook Shot2
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 10:19DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:21DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot2
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:48DALGooden 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 10:51DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 10:53DALMISS Kidd Layup2
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 11:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:11DETMISS Jerebko Layup2
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 11:19DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup2
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:36DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:37DETMISS Jerebko 14' Fadeaway Jumper0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Gooden vs. Wallace: Tip to Jerebko0
21.9%
0
78.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.06 52.8%
DAL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
25
64%
DAL
14
31
45%
Midrange
DET
17
38
45%
DAL
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
DAL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
DET
12
20
60%
DAL
17
18
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2063%10.0 / 16
C. Villanueva1765%8.5 / 13
R. Stuckey1550%7.5 / 15
T. Prince1250%6.0 / 12
C. Wilcox1275%6.0 / 8
B. Gordon938%4.5 / 12
B. Wallace643%3.0 / 7
J. Jerebko220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry2662%13.0 / 21
D. Nowitzki2250%11.0 / 22
S. Marion1882%9.0 / 11
J. Howard1260%6.0 / 10
D. Gooden1029%5.0 / 17
J. Kidd850%4.0 / 8
K. Humphries250%1.0 / 2
J. Barea0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
75
+12
-14
87
DAL
80
+17
-8
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.06 52.8%
DAL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
109.2
DET 104.5
DAL 111.4 +6.9
Pace
88.8
92.6
DET 87.5
DAL 89.6 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.7
DET 16.5
DAL 16.1 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.6%
DET 50.6% +3.5%
DAL 47.1%
TO %
14.2%
13.2%
DET 13.6%
DAL 9.6% +4.0%
ORB %
30.4%
24.3%
DET 22.7%
DAL 29.5% +6.8%
FTrt
30.3
27.7
DET 25.0 +4.1
DAL 20.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
61.1%
DET 52.6%
DAL 63.2% +10.6%
STL %
8.2%
8.1%
DET 5.6%
DAL 5.7% +0.1%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
DET 2.9%
DAL 7.9% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
53.6%
DET 52.8% +4.3%
DAL 48.5%
Rim FG%
57.1%
58.4%
DET 64.0% +18.8%
DAL 45.2%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.9%
DET 44.7%
DAL 50.0% +5.3%
3P %
31.4%
37.2%
DET 29.4%
DAL 29.4%
FT %
72.8%
81.7%
DET 60.0%
DAL 94.4% +34.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
30.8%
DET 31.3%
DAL 36.0% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
47.1%
DET 47.5%
DAL 44.2% +3.3%
3P Att. %
18.0%
22.2%
DET 21.3% +1.5%
DAL 19.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points9398
Rebounds4147
Assists2024
Steals55
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)34 (2)
Field Goals38-8038-86
At-the-Rim FG16-2514-31
Midrange FG17-3819-38
2-Point FG33-6333-69
3-Point FG5-175-17
Free Throws12-2017-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 30
39.6
12
50%
5
2
1
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 24
35.9
15
50%
2
6
2
0
1
3
0
2
1-3
33%
7-13
54%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 193 · 32
34.9
20
63%
3
4
0
0
3
3
2
1
3-5
60%
7-11
64%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 240 · 35
27.5
6
43%
12
0
1
0
0
1
3
9
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 231 · 23
14.0
2
20%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
32.2
9
38%
2
4
0
0
4
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 232 · 25
27.5
17
65%
9
2
1
1
1
5
2
7
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
4-6
67%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27
20.5
12
75%
6
1
0
0
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 35
7.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 27
F · 6'11" 220 · 22
C · 6'11" 290 · 28
#12 · G · 6'0" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
41
20
5
2
14
0
10
31
12-20
60%
33-63
52%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.