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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons25%9393
6Mavericks75%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.9
39.6
31.8
12
51%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
35.9
34.1
15
46%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
7-13
7-15
54%
43%
0-2
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.9
34.9
27.4
20
62%
3
4
0
1
0
3
2
1
3-5
60%
7-11
5-11
64%
44%
1-3
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
27.5
24.6
6
44%
12
0
1
1
0
0
3
9
2-4
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.8
14.0
24.6
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
32.2
30.1
9
38%
2
4
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
45%
0-4
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.4
27.5
21.4
17
66%
9
2
1
0
1
1
2
7
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
4-6
67%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
20.5
13.4
12
76%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.4
7.8
11.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.9
10.3
0
1-3
51%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.6
6.3
0
1-1
47%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.8
5.8
0
1-1
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.0
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.5
44.6
32.8
22
51%
12
4
1
1
0
3
2
10
4-4
100%
9-20
7-13
45%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.8
36.7
30.8
8
50%
4
8
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
33.1
22.1
10
30%
18
0
2
1
1
1
9
9
2-2
100%
4-16
4-7
25%
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.7
26.6
26.1
18
86%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
8-8
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
54%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
19.6
24.8
0
0%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
39.5
29.0
26
63%
3
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
10-15
4-7
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.7
30.4
27.3
12
60%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
49%
2-5
40%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
9.2
8.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.7
0.3
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
10.6
0
1-2
48%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
7.3
0
1-2
51%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
5.5
0
1-1
54%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.5
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.9
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.