FinalWin Prob.pScore
2130%101
122
970%108
123
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
122.0100107.1
DEN logo DEN
120.610295.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW122
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)122
7.2%
123
92.8%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 3 of 3122
5.1%
123
94.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)122
91.1%
121
8.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot122
82.4%
121
17.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0GSWEllis 10' Jump Bank Shot (32 PTS) (Curry 6 AST)122
56.8%
121
43.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMartin 9' Jump Shot (27 PTS)120
36.3%
121
63.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)120
55.0%
119
45.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENMISS Graham 13' Jump Shot120
71.1%
119
28.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0GSWMartin STEAL (1 STL)120
52.4%
119
47.6%
Q4 - 1:00GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)120
67.4%
119
32.6%
Q4 - 1:01GSWMISS Curry 11' Floating Jump Shot120
55.9%
119
44.1%
Q4 - 1:22DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)120
65.4%
119
34.6%
Q4 - 1:22DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)120
68.4%
118
31.6%
Q4 - 1:22GSWMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T15)120
75.6%
117
24.4%
Q4 - 1:37DENSmith Driving Dunk (19 PTS)120
83.0%
117
17.0%
Q4 - 1:51GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)120
86.5%
115
13.5%
Q4 - 1:51GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)119
85.6%
115
14.4%
Q4 - 2:04GSWWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)118
82.2%
115
17.8%
Q4 - 2:05GSWMISS Watson 16' Jump Bank Shot118
74.8%
115
25.2%
Q4 - 2:32DENSmith Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)118
83.0%
115
17.0%
Q4 - 2:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)118
87.0%
113
13.0%
Q4 - 2:37DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot118
91.5%
113
8.5%
Q4 - 2:50GSWCurry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)118
87.0%
113
13.0%
Q4 - 3:13DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)115
71.3%
113
28.7%
Q4 - 3:13DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)115
73.4%
112
26.6%
Q4 - 3:36GSWMaggette 20' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)115
71.5%
111
28.5%
Q4 - 3:40GSWWarriors Rebound113
64.1%
111
35.9%
Q4 - 3:41GSWNene BLOCK (2 BLK)113
57.4%
111
42.6%
Q4 - 3:57DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)113
64.5%
111
35.5%
Q4 - 3:57DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)113
65.8%
110
34.2%
Q4 - 4:10GSWMaggette Layup (31 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)113
72.4%
109
27.6%
Q4 - 4:15DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)111
64.8%
109
35.2%
Q4 - 4:23DENMartin REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)111
54.8%
109
45.2%
Q4 - 4:25GSWMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
58.0%
109
42.0%
Q4 - 4:31DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)111
64.9%
109
35.1%
Q4 - 4:40DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)111
54.9%
109
45.1%
Q4 - 4:41GSWMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot111
58.1%
109
41.9%
Q4 - 4:59DENGraham Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)111
65.1%
109
34.9%
Q4 - 5:09GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)111
52.2%
109
47.8%
Q4 - 5:20DENMartin Foul Turnover (P3.T15)108
36.1%
109
63.9%
Q4 - 5:35GSWEllis Driving Layup (30 PTS) (Maggette 3 AST)108
28.3%
109
71.7%
Q4 - 5:47GSWWarriors Rebound106
22.2%
109
77.8%
Q4 - 5:47DENMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot106
20.4%
109
79.6%
Q4 - 5:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)106
16.6%
109
83.4%
Q4 - 6:00GSWMISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot106
18.2%
109
81.8%
Q4 - 6:09GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)106
23.0%
109
77.0%
Q4 - 6:10DENMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot106
21.3%
109
78.7%
Q4 - 6:23GSWEllis Reverse Layup (28 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)106
17.8%
109
82.2%
Q4 - 6:26DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)104
14.0%
109
86.0%
Q4 - 6:51GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)104
10.5%
109
89.5%
Q4 - 6:51GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)103
10.1%
109
89.9%
Q4 - 6:51GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)102
8.1%
109
91.9%
Q4 - 6:52DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot102
7.4%
109
92.6%
Q4 - 7:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)102
6.9%
109
93.1%
Q4 - 7:12GSWMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot102
7.5%
109
92.5%
Q4 - 7:30DENSmith 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)102
9.1%
109
90.9%
Q4 - 7:53GSWEllis Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)102
11.4%
107
88.6%
Q4 - 8:04GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
10.0%
107
90.0%
Q4 - 8:05DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2100
9.7%
107
90.3%
Q4 - 8:05DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)100
8.2%
107
91.8%
Q4 - 8:24GSWEllis Foul Turnover (P4.T14)100
10.0%
106
90.0%
Q4 - 8:35DENCarter Layup (5 PTS)100
12.5%
106
87.5%
Q4 - 8:36DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)100
15.6%
104
84.4%
Q4 - 8:37DENMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot100
18.1%
104
81.9%
Q4 - 8:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)100
15.6%
104
84.4%
Q4 - 8:51GSWMISS Ellis 23' Jump Shot100
16.7%
104
83.3%
Q4 - 9:12DENNene Layup (9 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)100
20.1%
104
79.9%
Q4 - 9:32GSWRandolph 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)100
24.3%
102
75.7%
Q4 - 9:47GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
20.0%
102
80.0%
Q4 - 9:48GSWMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
17.6%
102
82.4%
Q4 - 10:03DENSmith 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)98
20.5%
102
79.5%
Q4 - 10:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
24.3%
100
75.7%
Q4 - 10:23GSWMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot98
25.6%
100
74.4%
Q4 - 10:40DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)98
28.8%
100
71.2%
Q4 - 10:50DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
24.3%
100
75.7%
Q4 - 10:51GSWMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot98
25.6%
100
74.4%
Q4 - 11:02GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
28.6%
100
71.4%
Q4 - 11:02DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot98
27.4%
100
72.6%
Q4 - 11:22GSWWatson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)98
24.6%
100
75.4%
Q4 - 11:43DENAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)96
20.7%
100
79.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN96
24.6%
98
75.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound96
24.6%
98
75.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
27.4%
98
72.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0DENAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)96
24.9%
98
75.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot96
27.4%
98
72.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
24.9%
98
75.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)95
24.2%
98
75.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENSmith 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)94
21.0%
98
79.0%
Q3 - 1:06GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)94
24.8%
96
75.2%
Q3 - 1:06GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)93
24.2%
96
75.8%
Q3 - 1:13DENMartin 14' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)92
21.0%
96
79.0%
Q3 - 1:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)92
24.8%
94
75.2%
Q3 - 1:20DENMISS Martin 13' Jump Shot92
27.2%
94
72.8%
Q3 - 1:43GSWEllis Layup (22 PTS)92
24.8%
94
75.2%
Q3 - 1:57DENMartin Putback Layup (23 PTS)90
21.0%
94
79.0%
Q3 - 1:58DENMartin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)90
24.8%
92
75.2%
Q3 - 1:59DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot90
27.2%
92
72.8%
Q3 - 2:13GSWMaggette Dunk (25 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)90
24.4%
92
75.6%
Q3 - 2:18DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)88
21.1%
92
78.9%
Q3 - 2:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
18.1%
92
81.9%
Q3 - 2:36GSWMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
19.0%
92
81.0%
Q3 - 2:55DENLawson Driving Layup (20 PTS)88
21.1%
92
78.9%
Q3 - 3:07GSWMaggette 14' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)88
24.1%
90
75.9%
Q3 - 3:23DENLawson 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
21.2%
90
78.8%
Q3 - 3:37DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
24.1%
88
75.9%
Q3 - 3:38GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 2 of 286
24.6%
88
75.4%
Q3 - 3:38GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 1 of 286
26.2%
88
73.8%
Q3 - 3:55DENMartin 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)86
27.8%
88
72.2%
Q3 - 4:10GSWMaggette 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)86
31.0%
86
69.0%
Q3 - 4:22DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
28.0%
86
72.0%
Q3 - 4:41GSWMaggette 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
31.0%
84
69.0%
Q3 - 4:54GSWWarriors Rebound82
27.9%
84
72.1%
Q3 - 4:55DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot82
26.7%
84
73.3%
Q3 - 5:09DENNUGGETS Rebound82
23.8%
84
76.2%
Q3 - 5:11GSWMISS Ellis Layup82
24.9%
84
75.1%
Q3 - 5:26DENMartin Layup (19 PTS)82
27.5%
84
72.5%
Q3 - 5:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)82
30.5%
82
69.5%
Q3 - 5:28DENMISS Lawson Layup82
33.4%
82
66.6%
Q3 - 5:38GSWEllis 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
30.5%
82
69.5%
Q3 - 6:00DENGraham Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)80
27.5%
82
72.5%
Q3 - 6:10GSWEllis Driving Layup (18 PTS)80
23.8%
82
76.2%
Q3 - 6:25DENLawson Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)78
21.3%
82
78.7%
Q3 - 6:49GSWMaggette Driving Layup (17 PTS)78
23.8%
80
76.2%
Q3 - 6:56GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
21.3%
80
78.7%
Q3 - 6:57DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot76
20.3%
80
79.7%
Q3 - 7:08GSWCurry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)76
18.5%
80
81.5%
Q3 - 7:20DENAfflalo 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
21.2%
80
78.8%
Q3 - 7:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
23.7%
78
76.3%
Q3 - 7:38GSWMISS Ellis 23' Jump Shot76
24.6%
78
75.4%
Q3 - 7:54DENGraham 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)76
26.9%
78
73.1%
Q3 - 8:12GSWEllis Driving Layup (16 PTS)76
29.4%
76
70.6%
Q3 - 8:25DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)74
26.6%
76
73.4%
Q3 - 8:33GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
23.6%
76
76.4%
Q3 - 8:33GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q3 - 8:43GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
21.1%
76
78.9%
Q3 - 8:43DENMISS Afflalo 29' 3PT Jump Shot72
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q3 - 9:10GSWRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
18.7%
76
81.3%
Q3 - 9:10GSWRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 9:13DENMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)70
16.5%
76
83.5%
Q3 - 9:22GSWMaggette Layup (13 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)70
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q3 - 9:26GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q3 - 9:28DENMISS Graham Layup68
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q3 - 9:31DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 9:32DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot68
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q3 - 9:47GSWRandolph 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)68
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 10:03DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
10.1%
76
89.9%
Q3 - 10:03DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q3 - 10:04DENGraham REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 10:05DENMISS Martin Layup66
12.6%
74
87.4%
Q3 - 10:09DENGraham REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 10:10DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
12.6%
74
87.4%
Q3 - 10:18GSWNene STEAL (4 STL)66
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 10:25DENNene Dunk (7 PTS)66
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q3 - 10:29GSWNene STEAL (3 STL)66
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 10:39DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)66
16.7%
72
83.3%
Q3 - 10:43GSWEllis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)66
21.0%
69
79.0%
Q3 - 10:54DENMartin Layup (17 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)66
23.5%
69
76.5%
Q3 - 11:12GSWMaggette Dunk (11 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)66
25.9%
67
74.1%
Q3 - 11:27DENGraham 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)64
23.5%
67
76.5%
Q3 - 11:45GSWRandolph 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)64
25.9%
65
74.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN62
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound62
20.9%
65
79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
22.7%
65
77.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0GSWMorrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)62
21.5%
65
78.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)59
16.9%
65
83.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0GSWCurry 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS)59
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)57
18.8%
62
81.2%
Q2 - 1:08GSWCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Morrow 1 AST)57
23.8%
59
76.2%
Q2 - 1:21GSWGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
18.9%
59
81.1%
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot54
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q2 - 1:34DENGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
17.4%
59
82.6%
Q2 - 1:35GSWMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q2 - 1:47DENLawson Layup (11 PTS)54
18.9%
59
81.1%
Q2 - 1:51GSWLawson STEAL (1 STL)54
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q2 - 1:56DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)54
23.2%
57
76.8%
Q2 - 2:05GSWNene STEAL (2 STL)54
28.2%
54
71.8%
Q2 - 2:15DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
31.0%
54
69.0%
Q2 - 2:15DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
31.9%
53
68.1%
Q2 - 2:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q2 - 2:25GSWMISS Morrow 20' Jump Shot54
34.6%
52
65.4%
Q2 - 2:44DENNene Foul Turnover (P4.T8)54
36.8%
52
63.2%
Q2 - 2:47GSWNene STEAL (1 STL)54
33.7%
52
66.3%
Q2 - 3:02DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)54
36.5%
52
63.5%
Q2 - 3:10GSWGraham STEAL (1 STL)54
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q2 - 3:16GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
45.6%
49
54.4%
Q2 - 3:17DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
44.5%
49
55.5%
Q2 - 3:30DENGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q2 - 3:32GSWMISS Ellis Layup54
43.1%
49
56.9%
Q2 - 3:41DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)54
45.6%
49
54.4%
Q2 - 3:49DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
51.3%
46
48.7%
Q2 - 3:51GSWMISS Randolph Layup54
52.5%
46
47.5%
Q2 - 3:53GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
55.1%
46
44.9%
Q2 - 3:54GSWMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
52.5%
46
47.5%
Q2 - 4:05GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
53.6%
46
46.4%
Q2 - 4:06DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 254
53.2%
46
46.8%
Q2 - 4:06DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 254
51.3%
46
48.7%
Q2 - 4:06DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
50.3%
46
49.7%
Q2 - 4:07DENMISS Martin Layup54
52.6%
46
47.4%
Q2 - 4:17GSWRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)54
50.4%
46
49.6%
Q2 - 4:21GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
44.6%
46
55.4%
Q2 - 4:22DENMISS Nene Layup51
43.6%
46
56.4%
Q2 - 4:39GSWEllis Layup (12 PTS)51
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 4:44DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)49
38.7%
46
61.3%
Q2 - 5:04GSWMorrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)49
35.4%
46
64.6%
Q2 - 5:21DENCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)46
30.1%
46
69.9%
Q2 - 5:53GSWEllis Layup (10 PTS)46
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q2 - 5:54GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
32.7%
43
67.3%
Q2 - 5:55GSWMISS Ellis 8' Floating Jump Shot44
30.9%
43
69.1%
Q2 - 6:15DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
32.7%
43
67.3%
Q2 - 6:15DENMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 244
33.1%
42
66.9%
Q2 - 6:28GSWRandolph Layup (2 PTS)44
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 6:36DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)42
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 6:54GSWRandolph Palming Turnover (P3.T5)42
27.4%
42
72.6%
Q2 - 7:04DENSmith 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)42
29.6%
42
70.4%
Q2 - 7:32GSWMorrow Layup (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)42
32.0%
40
68.0%
Q2 - 7:38DENSmith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 7:49DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
32.0%
38
68.0%
Q2 - 7:50GSWMISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot40
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 8:03DENNene Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)40
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 8:19GSWCurry 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)40
36.5%
36
63.5%
Q2 - 8:28GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 8:31DENMISS Graham Layup37
30.9%
36
69.1%
Q2 - 8:38DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
29.3%
36
70.7%
Q2 - 8:39GSWMISS Morrow 3PT Jump Shot37
30.0%
36
70.0%
Q2 - 8:58DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
31.7%
36
68.3%
Q2 - 8:58DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
32.2%
35
67.8%
Q2 - 9:04GSWCurry 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)37
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q2 - 9:14DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)35
31.2%
34
68.8%
Q2 - 9:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q2 - 9:30GSWMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot35
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 9:42DENAllen 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 9:59GSWMorrow Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)35
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q2 - 10:14DENAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
35.9%
32
64.1%
Q2 - 10:14DENAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
36.4%
31
63.6%
Q2 - 10:14DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 10:15DENMISS Carter 11' Floating Jump Shot35
40.0%
30
60.0%
Q2 - 10:38GSWCurry 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 10:50DENMartin 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)33
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q2 - 11:07DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
37.8%
28
62.2%
Q2 - 11:08GSWMISS Morrow 3PT Jump Shot33
38.6%
28
61.4%
Q2 - 11:19GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
40.4%
28
59.6%
Q2 - 11:20DENMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot33
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q2 - 11:42GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)33
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW30
33.3%
28
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
33.3%
28
66.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot30
32.0%
28
68.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0GSWBiedrins Putback Dunk (4 PTS)30
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0GSWMISS Curry Driving Layup28
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
28.4%
28
71.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
29.0%
27
71.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
32.0%
26
68.0%
Q1 - 1:10GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q1 - 1:10GSWRadmanovic Tip Shot (2 PTS)28
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q1 - 1:11GSWMISS Biedrins 8' Turnaround Hook Shot26
27.2%
26
72.8%
Q1 - 1:26DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q1 - 1:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q1 - 1:39GSWMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 226
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q1 - 1:39GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q1 - 1:50GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
26.2%
26
73.8%
Q1 - 1:51DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 225
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 1:51DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q1 - 2:09DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 2:09DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot25
27.8%
25
72.2%
Q1 - 2:30GSWBiedrins Layup (2 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)25
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 2:36GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 2:37DENMISS Martin 8' Floating Jump Shot23
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 2:55GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 3:03DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)23
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q1 - 3:14GSWEllis 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 3:35DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q1 - 3:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 3:42GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 3:42GSWMISS Randolph Tip Shot21
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 3:43GSWMISS Curry 22' Jump Shot21
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 3:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 3:59DENMartin Putback Dunk (6 PTS)21
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 4:00DENMISS Nene Driving Layup21
35.6%
17
64.4%
Q1 - 4:14GSWTuriaf Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
33.4%
17
66.6%
Q1 - 4:14GSWTuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 4:22GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
31.6%
17
68.4%
Q1 - 4:24DENMISS Martin 10' Running Jump Shot19
30.9%
17
69.1%
Q1 - 4:51GSWMaggette 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)19
29.6%
17
70.4%
Q1 - 5:09DENGraham Driving Dunk (8 PTS)17
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 5:26GSWMaggette 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)17
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 5:43DENMartin 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)15
27.8%
15
72.2%
Q1 - 5:55DENGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
29.4%
13
70.6%
Q1 - 5:56GSWMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot15
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 6:04GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
30.9%
13
69.1%
Q1 - 6:05DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot15
30.3%
13
69.7%
Q1 - 6:19GSWCurry 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 6:23DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 6:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
25.7%
13
74.3%
Q1 - 6:26GSWMISS Ellis Layup13
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 6:37DENGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 6:37DENGraham Layup (6 PTS)13
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 6:40DENMISS Graham Layup13
30.4%
11
69.6%
Q1 - 6:41DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 6:42DENMISS Nene 6' Jump Hook Shot13
30.4%
11
69.6%
Q1 - 6:55GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 7:06DENGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 7:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 7:10GSWMISS Ellis Driving Layup10
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 7:18DENMartin 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)10
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 7:29DENNUGGETS Rebound10
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 7:29GSWMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot10
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 7:52GSWRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
28.8%
9
71.2%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot10
28.3%
9
71.7%
Q1 - 8:05GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
26.8%
9
73.2%
Q1 - 8:14DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)7
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 8:35GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 8:35GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 8:47DENGraham Driving Layup (4 PTS)5
25.3%
6
74.7%
Q1 - 8:50DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
26.9%
4
73.1%
Q1 - 8:51GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot5
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 8:59GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 9:02DENMISS Afflalo Layup5
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:11GSWRandolph Foul Turnover (P2.T2)5
26.9%
4
73.1%
Q1 - 9:14DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 9:36GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)5
26.9%
4
73.1%
Q1 - 9:42GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 9:43DENMISS Graham 10' Jump Shot2
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 9:51DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:52GSWMISS Ellis Driving Layup2
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 10:02DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:17GSWMaggette Layup (2 PTS)2
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 10:19GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 10:21GSWGraham BLOCK (1 BLK)0
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 10:30DENGraham Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 10:33DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 10:33GSWMISS Turiaf 19' Jump Shot0
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 10:41GSWTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 10:42GSWNene BLOCK (1 BLK)0
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 10:55GSWWarriors Rebound0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 10:55DENMISS Nene 5' Jump Hook Shot0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 11:11GSWMISS Maggette Layup0
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 11:19GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:20DENMISS Graham 21' Jump Shot0
25.8%
0
74.2%
Q1 - 11:39GSWRandolph Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 11:42GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:43DENMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot0
25.8%
0
74.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Randolph: Tip to Lawson0
24.9%
0
75.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.26 62.9%
DEN
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
20
32
63%
DEN
21
31
68%
Midrange
GSW
19
36
53%
DEN
19
45
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
DEN
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
GSW
20
23
87%
DEN
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Maggette3580%17.5 / 22
M. Ellis3255%16.0 / 29
S. Curry26100%13.0 / 13
A. Randolph1155%5.5 / 10
A. Morrow857%4.0 / 7
A. Biedrins450%2.0 / 4
R. Turiaf250%1.0 / 2
C. Watson217%1.0 / 6
V. Radmanovic2100%1.0 / 1
D. George0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2768%13.5 / 20
T. Lawson2175%10.5 / 14
J. Smith2148%10.5 / 22
J. Graham2056%10.0 / 18
A. Afflalo1071%5.0 / 7
Nene941%4.5 / 11
A. Carter964%4.5 / 7
M. Allen675%3.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
84
+11
-16
95
DEN
84
+21
-18
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.26 62.9%
DEN
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
111.9
GSW 122.0 +1.4
DEN 120.6
Pace
100.7
94.7
GSW 107.1 +11.4
DEN 95.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.5
14.7
GSW 13.5 +1.6
DEN 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
50.9%
GSW 60.0% +5.6%
DEN 54.4%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
GSW 14.4% +0.4%
DEN 14.8%
ORB %
21.1%
26.1%
GSW 27.0%
DEN 44.2% +17.2%
FTrt
29.4
37.6
GSW 27.1
DEN 34.4 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.2%
55.0%
GSW 46.8%
DEN 47.8% +1.0%
STL %
9.2%
8.7%
GSW 10.0% +3.1%
DEN 6.9%
BLK %
6.2%
7.9%
GSW 7.9% +3.5%
DEN 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.12 and 3.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.9%
GSW 62.9% +4.3%
DEN 58.6%
Rim FG%
60.5%
61.0%
GSW 62.5%
DEN 67.7% +5.2%
Mid FG%
41.2%
39.6%
GSW 52.8% +10.6%
DEN 42.2%
3P %
37.5%
35.9%
GSW 47.1% +4.2%
DEN 42.9%
FT %
78.2%
77.2%
GSW 87.0% +6.4%
DEN 80.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
37.5%
GSW 37.6% +3.2%
DEN 34.4%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
39.8%
GSW 42.4% +7.6%
DEN 50.0%
3P Att. %
23.8%
22.7%
GSW 20.0% +4.4%
DEN 15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWDEN
Possessions100102
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points122123
Rebounds3446
Assists2222
Steals107
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)19 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals47-8546-90
At-the-Rim FG20-3221-31
Midrange FG19-3619-45
2-Point FG39-6840-76
3-Point FG8-176-14
Free Throws20-2325-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 24
45.3
32
55%
3
6
0
1
4
4
2
1
4-4
100%
14-26
54%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
40.3
26
100%
5
6
3
0
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
6-6
100%
F · 6'6" 225 · 30
32.5
35
80%
7
3
2
0
1
4
1
6
11-12
92%
12-16
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 20
22.1
11
55%
5
0
1
1
5
2
2
3
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 249 · 27
20.7
2
50%
4
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
22.8
8
57%
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
20.2
2
17%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 24
17.3
4
50%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
9.3
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25
7.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 33
#7 · G · 6'5" 215 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 5'11" 170 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
63%
34
22
10
6
16
0
10
24
20-23
87%
39-68
57%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.