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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Suns60%109113
27Kings40%106109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.6
40.1
28.4
17
72%
7
0
4
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
2-3
67%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.1
39.4
31.8
24
68%
8
2
3
1
2
4
4
4
8-8
100%
8-14
8-13
57%
57%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.9
38.8
31.1
30
69%
3
12
0
1
1
7
0
3
13-13
100%
7-13
5-8
54%
55%
1-3
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.3
34.0
24.4
6
30%
6
2
2
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
33.0
24.1
20
53%
9
2
0
1
0
0
4
5
2-4
50%
6-13
3-6
46%
52%
2-4
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
19.0
22.3
9
63%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.1
13.2
15.9
5
32%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
52%
1-5
20%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
11.5
17.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
11.0
19.2
2
35%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.8
13.1
0
2-3
54%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
9.3
0
2-3
51%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.1
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
44.0
36.5
24
59%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
1-3
33%
7-13
4-8
54%
52%
3-6
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
38.9
23.0
27
52%
11
7
2
1
1
2
3
8
7-7
100%
10-22
5-9
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
33.2
32.0
14
40%
10
3
2
1
2
5
4
6
2-3
67%
6-16
6-11
38%
52%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
17.9
27.6
4
40%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
50%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
17.4
26.6
2
20%
5
4
2
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
25.1
32.3
8
40%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
23.4
9.5
6
100%
8
1
2
0
0
3
5
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
22.1
14.4
19
70%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
6-8
75%
5-6
1-3
83%
48%
1-4
25%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
14.6
16.3
5
43%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.4
3.5
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
14.8
1
2-4
45%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
2.0
0
0-1
47%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.