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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets33%9579
3Lakers67%10188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.3
39.1
35.8
7
39%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
2-7
29%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.0
38.2
36.5
18
51%
3
3
3
1
0
5
0
3
3-4
75%
6-10
4-9
60%
44%
1-6
17%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
37.8
36.8
12
42%
3
8
1
2
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.7
34.0
27.1
15
49%
4
2
0
1
1
3
1
3
1-3
33%
7-14
5-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.6
16.7
24.1
2
50%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.3
30.5
25.4
19
70%
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
5
5-6
83%
7-11
5-10
64%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.8
19.6
25.6
2
26%
9
5
0
1
0
2
2
7
0-2
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.5
14.8
15.3
2
17%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.6
9.3
5.0
2
26%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
5.6
0
1-2
42%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 26.6
2.0
0
0-1
44%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
1.0
0
0-0
41%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.3
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.1
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
42.9
37.6
22
44%
3
3
1
2
1
4
0
3
3-4
75%
8-22
9-17
36%
51%
1-1
100%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
39.1
32.7
17
75%
19
9
0
1
1
1
5
14
3-3
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
52%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.2
38.2
28.9
24
63%
8
1
2
0
1
3
3
5
4-7
57%
10-16
5-9
63%
57%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
32.8
14.1
7
32%
7
0
1
1
1
4
3
4
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.4
25.7
23.3
4
41%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
20.0
22.2
8
50%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
15.9
20.5
2
50%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.9
15.5
10.7
4
41%
3
2
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
6.7
16.7
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
3.3
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.5
25.7
0
4-8
56%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
8.5
0
1-2
41%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.