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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Raptors26%97108
2Magic74%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.8
38.7
30.5
17
62%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
3-4
75%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.8
37.7
37.5
18
61%
12
2
1
1
0
6
0
12
6-6
100%
6-12
8-16
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
32.9
32.8
15
71%
3
7
2
1
0
4
1
2
7-8
88%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.2
30.5
39.0
18
53%
8
2
0
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
2-5
40%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
19.3
18.7
12
86%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-7
3-6
86%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
24.9
18.9
5
63%
2
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
18.0
21.4
10
87%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
16.4
19.6
7
58%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
11.3
16.1
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
10.4
12.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.1
14.9
1
1-3
47%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.6
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.6
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
40.1
31.1
24
70%
5
1
5
1
0
3
2
3
5-5
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
5-10
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
37.3
31.5
20
67%
12
1
0
1
1
9
3
9
6-11
55%
7-10
5-8
70%
60%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.9
30.9
27.4
7
42%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.9
30.8
29.8
16
62%
1
8
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
2-5
40%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
22.2
24.9
6
77%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
28.6
22.2
22
58%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
10-11
91%
3-6
2-3
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
17.2
17.4
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-3
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
16.1
19.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-3
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
11.2
5.5
8
59%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
4-4
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
53%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
5.6
15.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
13.4
0
1-2
49%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
5.6
0
0-1
46%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.