FinalWin Prob.pScore
658%93
112
1742%91
106
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
106.7105100.6
MIA logo MIA
103.910287.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0BOS112
100%
106
0%
OT1 - 0:10.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)112
99.9%
106
0.1%
OT1 - 0:16.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)112
99.7%
106
0.3%
OT1 - 0:16.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)111
99.7%
106
0.3%
OT1 - 0:19.0BOSCeltics Rebound110
99.4%
106
0.6%
OT1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.1%
106
0.9%
OT1 - 0:34.0BOSRondo 9' Floating Jump Shot (25 PTS)110
96.3%
106
3.7%
OT1 - 0:51.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (44 PTS)108
88.2%
106
11.8%
OT1 - 0:59.0BOSRondo Driving Layup (23 PTS)108
96.0%
103
4.0%
OT1 - 1:15BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)106
91.5%
103
8.5%
OT1 - 1:16MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
89.8%
103
10.2%
OT1 - 1:37BOSAllen Driving Layup (20 PTS)106
82.8%
103
17.2%
OT1 - 1:53BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)104
74.0%
103
26.0%
OT1 - 1:54MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot104
70.8%
103
29.2%
OT1 - 2:07BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)104
61.9%
103
38.1%
OT1 - 2:07BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 2103
58.2%
103
41.8%
OT1 - 2:07BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)103
65.7%
103
34.3%
OT1 - 2:08BOSMISS Rondo 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
54.7%
103
45.3%
OT1 - 2:32BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)103
66.4%
103
33.6%
OT1 - 2:33MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot103
61.5%
103
38.5%
OT1 - 2:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)103
49.3%
103
50.7%
OT1 - 2:46MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot103
61.6%
103
38.4%
OT1 - 2:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)103
50.9%
103
49.1%
OT1 - 2:59BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
55.4%
103
44.6%
OT1 - 3:13MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)103
65.5%
103
34.5%
OT1 - 3:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)103
50.6%
103
49.4%
OT1 - 3:20BOSMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot103
55.4%
103
44.6%
OT1 - 3:37BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)103
62.5%
103
37.5%
OT1 - 3:38BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot103
55.7%
103
44.3%
OT1 - 3:54BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
62.6%
103
37.4%
OT1 - 3:55MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot103
59.6%
103
40.4%
OT1 - 4:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)103
52.4%
103
47.6%
OT1 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot103
59.6%
103
40.4%
OT1 - 4:27BOSRondo 8' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)103
52.4%
103
47.6%
OT1 - 4:47MIAWade Dunk (41 PTS)101
43.3%
103
56.7%
OT1 - 4:52BOSWade STEAL (3 STL)101
52.4%
101
47.6%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Perkins: Tip to101
62.7%
101
37.3%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade Dunk (39 PTS)99
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)99
42.0%
99
58.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)99
61.8%
99
38.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)99
70.7%
98
29.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
85.0%
97
15.0%
Q4 - 0:09.0BOSMISS Pierce Layup99
89.7%
97
10.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)99
92.4%
97
7.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)99
93.2%
95
6.8%
Q4 - 1:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)96
77.4%
95
22.6%
Q4 - 1:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
79.5%
94
20.5%
Q4 - 1:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)96
85.5%
93
14.5%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
90.1%
93
9.9%
Q4 - 1:12BOSChalmers STEAL (3 STL)96
85.1%
93
14.9%
Q4 - 1:16BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)96
91.5%
93
8.5%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup96
89.7%
93
10.3%
Q4 - 1:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
84.3%
93
15.7%
Q4 - 1:24BOSMISS Rondo 8' Floating Jump Shot96
86.6%
93
13.4%
Q4 - 1:35BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)96
89.9%
93
10.1%
Q4 - 1:49BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)95
82.2%
93
17.8%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot95
79.6%
93
20.4%
Q4 - 2:03BOSRondo 8' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
72.8%
93
27.2%
Q4 - 2:18BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
66.1%
93
33.9%
Q4 - 2:19BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot93
54.7%
93
45.3%
Q4 - 2:37BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
66.5%
93
33.5%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
61.5%
93
38.5%
Q4 - 2:54BOSWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)93
50.9%
93
49.1%
Q4 - 3:11BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
32.2%
93
67.8%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot90
28.3%
93
71.7%
Q4 - 3:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
26.6%
93
73.4%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot90
32.3%
93
67.7%
Q4 - 3:55BOSWallace Dunk (13 PTS) (Perkins 3 AST)90
25.9%
93
74.1%
Q4 - 4:10MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)88
19.4%
93
80.6%
Q4 - 4:23BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)88
25.5%
91
74.5%
Q4 - 4:39BOSCeltics Rebound85
13.9%
91
86.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 4:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
9.6%
91
90.4%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup85
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 4:59MIAHEAT Rebound85
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot85
12.3%
91
87.7%
Q4 - 5:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
13.2%
91
86.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
16.3%
91
83.7%
Q4 - 5:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
13.0%
91
87.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot85
16.1%
91
83.9%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHEAT Rebound85
13.0%
91
87.0%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup85
16.0%
91
84.0%
Q4 - 5:51BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
12.9%
91
87.1%
Q4 - 5:51BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
12.6%
91
87.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)83
12.8%
91
87.2%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)83
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)83
16.3%
89
83.7%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup83
19.6%
89
80.4%
Q4 - 6:35BOSWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)83
16.1%
89
83.9%
Q4 - 6:45BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
9.6%
89
90.4%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot80
8.8%
89
91.2%
Q4 - 6:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)80
7.1%
89
92.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
8.8%
89
91.2%
Q4 - 7:21BOSPierce Driving Layup (17 PTS)80
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)78
7.2%
89
92.8%
Q4 - 7:44BOSChalmers STEAL (2 STL)78
9.0%
87
91.0%
Q4 - 7:58BOSCeltics Rebound78
11.8%
87
88.2%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
10.9%
87
89.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
11.2%
87
88.8%
Q4 - 8:21BOSMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot78
12.0%
87
88.0%
Q4 - 8:34MIAAnthony 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)78
13.9%
87
86.1%
Q4 - 8:50MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
17.3%
85
82.7%
Q4 - 8:51BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 278
17.8%
85
82.2%
Q4 - 8:51BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
20.3%
85
79.7%
Q4 - 9:07BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
19.6%
85
80.4%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot77
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q4 - 9:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
16.1%
85
83.9%
Q4 - 9:32BOSMISS Wallace Dunk77
17.1%
85
82.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)77
19.4%
85
80.6%
Q4 - 10:04MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
25.2%
83
74.8%
Q4 - 10:05BOSMISS Shel. Williams 18' Jump Shot77
26.5%
83
73.5%
Q4 - 10:26MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)77
29.7%
83
70.3%
Q4 - 10:48BOSRondo 8' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
39.8%
80
60.2%
Q4 - 11:01BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
36.0%
80
64.0%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot75
34.5%
80
65.5%
Q4 - 11:19BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)75
31.3%
80
68.7%
Q4 - 11:22BOSCeltics Rebound75
35.9%
80
64.1%
Q4 - 11:23BOSAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)75
32.6%
80
67.4%
Q4 - 11:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
35.8%
80
64.2%
Q4 - 11:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
36.9%
79
63.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS75
41.0%
78
59.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound75
46.1%
78
53.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Perkins 44' 3PT Jump Shot75
43.4%
78
56.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
46.6%
78
53.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot75
45.2%
78
54.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
42.1%
78
57.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot75
45.2%
78
54.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)75
42.0%
78
58.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAWade Dunk (33 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)75
46.6%
78
53.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)75
52.1%
76
47.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)75
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q3 - 1:00BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P4.T18)75
52.1%
76
47.9%
Q3 - 1:08BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot75
55.3%
76
44.7%
Q3 - 1:21BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)75
52.2%
76
47.8%
Q3 - 1:38BOSCeltics Rebound75
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
55.3%
76
44.7%
Q3 - 2:01BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
52.3%
76
47.7%
Q3 - 2:01BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
50.8%
76
49.2%
Q3 - 2:12MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
47.6%
76
52.4%
Q3 - 2:30BOSWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T16)73
52.3%
74
47.7%
Q3 - 2:53MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)73
56.9%
74
43.1%
Q3 - 3:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
61.9%
72
38.1%
Q3 - 3:10BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
63.3%
72
36.7%
Q3 - 3:19BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
66.3%
72
33.7%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot73
65.0%
72
35.0%
Q3 - 3:24BOSRondo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)73
61.9%
72
38.1%
Q3 - 3:27MIAHaslem Tip Shot (7 PTS)73
66.3%
72
33.7%
Q3 - 3:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
70.0%
70
30.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup73
72.7%
70
27.3%
Q3 - 3:42BOSWallace 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
70.0%
70
30.0%
Q3 - 4:05MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)71
66.2%
70
33.8%
Q3 - 4:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
69.4%
68
30.6%
Q3 - 4:19BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
70.7%
68
29.3%
Q3 - 4:42MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)71
73.6%
68
26.4%
Q3 - 4:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
76.4%
66
23.6%
Q3 - 4:58BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot71
77.5%
66
22.5%
Q3 - 5:17MIAHaslem 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)71
78.9%
66
21.1%
Q3 - 5:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
81.2%
64
18.8%
Q3 - 5:38BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 171
81.6%
64
18.4%
Q3 - 5:52MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
78.9%
64
21.1%
Q3 - 6:07BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
83.2%
61
16.8%
Q3 - 6:07BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 6:29BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
81.1%
61
18.9%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 6:48BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)67
78.2%
61
21.8%
Q3 - 6:57BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
81.1%
61
18.9%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot67
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 7:10BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
77.3%
61
22.7%
Q3 - 7:10BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
76.5%
61
23.5%
Q3 - 7:16BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
74.7%
61
25.3%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot65
73.8%
61
26.2%
Q3 - 7:42BOSPierce Driving Layup (13 PTS)65
71.5%
61
28.5%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)63
68.5%
61
31.5%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)63
69.2%
60
30.8%
Q3 - 8:14BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)63
71.2%
59
28.8%
Q3 - 8:24MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P3.T8)63
74.4%
59
25.6%
Q3 - 8:32BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
71.2%
59
28.8%
Q3 - 8:32BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 262
70.5%
59
29.5%
Q3 - 8:32BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
71.4%
59
28.6%
Q3 - 8:33BOSMISS Allen Driving Layup62
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q3 - 8:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
71.4%
59
28.6%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
70.4%
59
29.6%
Q3 - 8:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
68.0%
59
32.0%
Q3 - 8:52BOSMISS Pierce 13' Turnaround Jump Shot62
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (27 PTS)62
71.3%
59
28.7%
Q3 - 9:22BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)62
74.1%
57
25.9%
Q3 - 9:25BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper59
67.1%
57
32.9%
Q3 - 10:03BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)59
64.8%
57
35.2%
Q3 - 10:08MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)59
68.0%
57
32.0%
Q3 - 10:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
64.8%
57
35.2%
Q3 - 10:18BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
65.8%
57
34.2%
Q3 - 10:39MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)59
68.0%
57
32.0%
Q3 - 10:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 10:52BOSMISS Pierce Driving Finger Roll Layup59
71.9%
55
28.1%
Q3 - 11:06BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot59
73.0%
55
27.0%
Q3 - 11:20MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)59
70.9%
55
29.1%
Q3 - 11:34BOSPerkins 8' Jump Hook Shot (19 PTS)59
73.7%
54
26.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS57
71.1%
54
28.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound57
71.1%
54
28.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSArroyo BLOCK (1 BLK)57
68.9%
54
31.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)57
70.5%
54
29.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 257
78.0%
51
22.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 257
76.3%
51
23.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)57
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)54
70.6%
51
29.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)54
71.1%
50
28.9%
Q2 - 1:01BOSRondo Layup (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)54
73.8%
49
26.2%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
70.5%
49
29.5%
Q2 - 1:16BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
68.4%
49
31.6%
Q2 - 1:16BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
67.5%
49
32.5%
Q2 - 1:23BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
64.7%
49
35.3%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot50
64.1%
49
35.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
62.5%
49
37.5%
Q2 - 1:48BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 250
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q2 - 1:48BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
64.6%
49
35.4%
Q2 - 1:48BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
61.7%
49
38.3%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot49
61.0%
49
39.0%
Q2 - 1:57BOSHaslem STEAL (1 STL)49
59.4%
49
40.6%
Q2 - 2:10BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
62.1%
49
37.9%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 249
61.7%
49
38.3%
Q2 - 2:12MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
59.8%
49
40.2%
Q2 - 2:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
62.0%
48
38.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Richardson Layup49
64.2%
48
35.8%
Q2 - 2:32BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
62.0%
48
38.0%
Q2 - 2:32BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
61.1%
48
38.9%
Q2 - 2:57MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
59.0%
48
41.0%
Q2 - 3:02BOSRichardson STEAL (1 STL)47
62.1%
46
37.9%
Q2 - 3:10MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)47
65.5%
46
34.5%
Q2 - 3:26BOSPerkins 9' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)47
62.1%
46
37.9%
Q2 - 3:42BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
59.6%
46
40.4%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup45
58.5%
46
41.5%
Q2 - 3:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
56.0%
46
44.0%
Q2 - 3:53BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot45
57.1%
46
42.9%
Q2 - 4:12BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 245
59.1%
46
40.9%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
57.1%
46
42.9%
Q2 - 4:31BOSPerkins Dunk (10 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)45
56.2%
46
43.8%
Q2 - 4:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)43
53.5%
46
46.5%
Q2 - 4:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)43
54.1%
45
45.9%
Q2 - 4:49BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P1.T9)43
56.2%
44
43.8%
Q2 - 5:05MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)43
59.6%
44
40.4%
Q2 - 5:20BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)43
56.8%
44
43.2%
Q2 - 5:30BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
50.8%
44
49.2%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup40
49.9%
44
50.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAHEAT Rebound40
47.8%
44
52.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot40
49.9%
44
50.1%
Q2 - 6:10BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
47.7%
44
52.3%
Q2 - 6:10BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
47.3%
44
52.7%
Q2 - 6:13BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
45.4%
44
54.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot38
44.3%
44
55.7%
Q2 - 6:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
42.0%
44
58.0%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup38
44.3%
44
55.7%
Q2 - 6:37BOSBeasley STEAL (1 STL)38
42.0%
44
58.0%
Q2 - 6:51MIABeasley Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)38
45.4%
44
54.6%
Q2 - 7:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
48.6%
42
51.4%
Q2 - 7:09BOSMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot38
49.5%
42
50.5%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
51.5%
42
48.5%
Q2 - 7:47BOSAllen Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)38
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 7:57BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
51.5%
40
48.5%
Q2 - 7:59BOSHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)36
49.4%
40
50.6%
Q2 - 8:16MIAWright 16' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)36
51.8%
40
48.2%
Q2 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
54.4%
38
45.6%
Q2 - 8:27BOSMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot36
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q2 - 8:42BOSShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
57.2%
38
42.8%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot36
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 8:56BOSShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
54.4%
38
45.6%
Q2 - 8:56BOSShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
53.8%
38
46.2%
Q2 - 9:18BOSShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
51.9%
38
48.1%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot34
51.0%
38
49.0%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
49.1%
38
50.9%
Q2 - 9:27BOSMISS Scalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
49.9%
38
50.1%
Q2 - 9:49MIAAnthony Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)34
51.9%
38
48.1%
Q2 - 10:02BOSAllen Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)34
54.4%
36
45.6%
Q2 - 10:03MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 10:22BOSAllen Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)34
54.4%
36
45.6%
Q2 - 10:38BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot32
51.1%
36
48.9%
Q2 - 10:59BOSAllen Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
49.2%
36
50.8%
Q2 - 11:03BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
46.9%
36
53.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot30
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q2 - 11:23BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
44.3%
36
55.7%
Q2 - 11:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
46.9%
36
53.1%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 230
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 11:48BOSShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T5)30
46.8%
35
53.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS30
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound30
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Allen 29' 3PT Jump Shot30
48.1%
35
51.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWright 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)30
49.4%
35
50.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0BOSAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T4)30
52.4%
33
47.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)30
54.3%
33
45.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
57.2%
31
42.8%
Q1 - 1:04MIAWade Layup (16 PTS)27
52.1%
31
47.9%
Q1 - 1:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)27
55.2%
29
44.8%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup27
56.4%
29
43.6%
Q1 - 1:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
55.2%
29
44.8%
Q1 - 1:21BOSMISS Scalabrine 20' Jump Shot27
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q1 - 1:36BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
56.8%
29
43.2%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot27
56.3%
29
43.7%
Q1 - 1:49BOSAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)27
55.2%
29
44.8%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)27
57.2%
29
42.8%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q1 - 2:13BOSMISS Perkins 7' Jump Shot27
60.4%
27
39.6%
Q1 - 2:36MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)27
61.7%
27
38.3%
Q1 - 2:50BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q1 - 2:50BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
63.6%
25
36.4%
Q1 - 3:01MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
62.2%
25
37.8%
Q1 - 3:01MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
62.8%
24
37.2%
Q1 - 3:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q1 - 3:09BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 225
64.5%
23
35.5%
Q1 - 3:09BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 225
65.7%
23
34.3%
Q1 - 3:10MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)25
66.4%
23
33.6%
Q1 - 3:21BOSRondo Layup (4 PTS)25
64.2%
23
35.8%
Q1 - 3:24MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)23
62.1%
23
37.9%
Q1 - 3:35BOSPerkins Dunk (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)23
59.9%
23
40.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)21
57.7%
23
42.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
59.8%
21
40.2%
Q1 - 4:10BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)21
60.5%
21
39.5%
Q1 - 4:18MIAHEAT Rebound21
62.1%
21
37.9%
Q1 - 4:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)21
62.1%
21
37.9%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q1 - 4:31BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
62.0%
20
38.0%
Q1 - 4:31BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)19
60.0%
20
40.0%
Q1 - 4:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
62.0%
18
38.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup19
63.5%
18
36.5%
Q1 - 5:12BOSPerkins Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)19
61.6%
18
38.4%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS)17
59.7%
18
40.3%
Q1 - 5:48BOSAllen Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
61.6%
16
38.4%
Q1 - 5:54BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
59.8%
16
40.2%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot15
59.1%
16
40.9%
Q1 - 6:05BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 6:05BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)14
57.4%
16
42.6%
Q1 - 6:21MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
55.7%
16
44.3%
Q1 - 6:36BOSWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)13
59.7%
13
40.3%
Q1 - 6:47BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
55.7%
13
44.3%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot10
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 7:22BOSWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
53.7%
13
46.3%
Q1 - 7:37MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)7
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 7:54BOSWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 8:05MIAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
56.1%
10
43.9%
Q1 - 8:15MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
58.2%
8
41.8%
Q1 - 8:17BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 27
58.4%
8
41.6%
Q1 - 8:17BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
59.9%
8
40.1%
Q1 - 8:21BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
58.1%
8
41.9%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot6
57.5%
8
42.5%
Q1 - 8:36BOSArroyo STEAL (1 STL)6
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 8:41BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
58.1%
8
41.9%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot6
57.5%
8
42.5%
Q1 - 9:04BOSRondo Layup (2 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)6
56.8%
8
43.2%
Q1 - 9:28MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)4
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 9:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.8%
6
43.2%
Q1 - 9:35BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
57.4%
6
42.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAO'Neal Driving Dunk (4 PTS)4
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 10:14BOSAllen 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 10:30MIAWade Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
58.9%
4
41.1%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot2
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 10:40MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 10:41BOSMISS Perkins 6' Jump Hook Shot2
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 11:04MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 11:27BOSPerkins Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
63.9%
0
36.1%
Q1 - 11:33BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup0
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Perkins: Tip to Arroyo0
60.7%
0
39.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.24 62.2%
MIA
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
20
26
77%
MIA
15
29
52%
Midrange
BOS
9
24
38%
MIA
19
50
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
BOS
33
41
80%
MIA
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Rondo2578%12.5 / 16
R. Allen2285%11.0 / 13
K. Perkins2071%10.0 / 14
P. Pierce1753%8.5 / 16
R. Wallace1673%8.0 / 11
T. Allen964%4.5 / 7
S. Williams250%1.0 / 2
G. Davis113%0.5 / 4
B. Scalabrine0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4452%22.0 / 42
U. Haslem1959%9.5 / 16
J. O'Neal1447%7.0 / 15
M. Chalmers633%3.0 / 9
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
D. Wright660%3.0 / 5
M. Beasley531%2.5 / 8
Q. Richardson429%2.0 / 7
C. Arroyo220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
81
+9
-24
90
MIA
91
+21
-11
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.24 62.2%
MIA
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
106.7
BOS 106.7 +2.7
MIA 103.9
Pace
91.9
89.6
BOS 100.6 +13.0
MIA 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
BOS 14.3 +2.1
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
49.6%
BOS 59.0% +15.1%
MIA 43.9%
TO %
15.2%
13.6%
BOS 22.7%
MIA 9.1% +13.6%
ORB %
22.9%
26.0%
BOS 15.6%
MIA 31.5% +15.9%
FTrt
33.2
29.6
BOS 61.2 +33.6
MIA 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.5%
51.9%
BOS 52.8% +2.8%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
9.3%
8.1%
BOS 8.6%
MIA 9.8% +1.2%
BLK %
8.0%
9.4%
BOS 10.1% +2.1%
MIA 8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.1%
BOS 62.2% +14.9%
MIA 47.3%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
BOS 76.9% +25.2%
MIA 51.7%
Mid FG%
42.8%
40.8%
BOS 37.5%
MIA 38.0% +0.5%
3P %
34.8%
34.6%
BOS 41.2% +9.6%
MIA 31.6%
FT %
74.6%
75.2%
BOS 80.5% +6.4%
MIA 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
29.8%
BOS 38.8% +9.2%
MIA 29.6%
Mid Att. %
38.3%
48.3%
BOS 35.8% +15.2%
MIA 51.0%
3P Att. %
22.8%
21.9%
BOS 25.4% +6.0%
MIA 19.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions105102
Possession Minutes25.127.9
Points112106
Rebounds4244
Assists1920
Steals910
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)24 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)27 (0)
Field Goals36-6740-98
At-the-Rim FG20-2615-29
Midrange FG9-2419-50
2-Point FG29-5034-79
3-Point FG7-176-19
Free Throws33-4120-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 186 · 24
49.9
25
78%
4
8
0
0
6
4
0
4
7-8
88%
9-10
90%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 235 · 32
43.1
17
53%
6
5
2
1
5
2
0
6
8-9
89%
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 270 · 25
40.8
20
71%
10
3
0
3
2
2
2
8
6-9
67%
7-9
78%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 34
37.1
22
85%
3
1
4
2
3
5
0
3
7-7
100%
3-6
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'11" 230 · 35
35.5
16
73%
9
1
2
1
3
6
0
9
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
3-5
60%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24
19.5
1
13%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
· 6'4" 213 · 28
19.3
9
64%
1
0
1
0
3
4
1
0
1-3
33%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 32
11.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26
8.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 25
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
F · 6'6" 235 · 22
#7 · F · 6'6" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · G · 6'1" 190 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'11" 240 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
112
62%
42
19
9
8
24
0
5
37
33-41
80%
29-50
58%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.