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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hornets45%9597
12Thunder55%9792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
39.2
38.9
14
42%
4
13
3
2
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
5-13
6-13
38%
51%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.4
38.5
37.3
19
62%
8
3
1
1
2
1
1
7
3-3
100%
8-13
7-16
62%
47%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
37.0
31.0
15
69%
8
0
0
1
3
1
1
7
1-2
50%
7-10
4-8
70%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
34.0
31.4
11
56%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.6
27.2
25.8
12
60%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
4-10
40%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.0
21.6
23.5
9
78%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.9
19.6
15.4
8
51%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
14.0
5.9
5
63%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.4
8.8
11.0
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
6.6
0
1-2
49%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
6.6
0
0-1
43%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.3
5.6
0
1-1
44%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.1
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
41.0
25.7
20
60%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-4
50%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
2-5
40%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
38.6
38.1
27
67%
5
3
1
1
0
4
1
4
12-12
100%
6-11
8-15
55%
51%
1-4
25%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
33.6
38.1
11
33%
4
9
3
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
5-15
6-14
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
26.5
20.9
11
70%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
25.3
27.8
2
20%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.4
24.5
20.9
9
46%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
18.1
28.3
0
0%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
57%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
18.0
17.1
6
75%
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
14.4
15.8
6
43%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
0.4
0
0-0
50%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.