FinalWin Prob.pScore
2119%90
92
481%101
112
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
107.08686.5
SAS logo SAS
128.78786.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETHairston BLOCK (1 BLK)92
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASHaislip 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hairston 2 AST)92
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0SASBlair 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Hairston 1 AST)92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12DETBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DETPistons Rebound90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18DETMISS Jerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35SASHill 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44SASHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54DETPistons Rebound90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55DETMISS Daye 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30DETHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DETMISS Villanueva 16' Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASMISS Haislip 16' Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14DETMISS Gordon 15' Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01SASParker 2' Layup (23 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18DETBogans STEAL (2 STL)85
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 4:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 4:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:42DETGordon 2' Layup (11 PTS)85
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 4:48SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:56SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:57DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)83
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 5:34DETGordon 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 6 AST)83
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:56SASParker 1' Layup (21 PTS)81
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 6:01DETParker STEAL (1 STL)81
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 6:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 6:10SASMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot81
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 6:24DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T12)81
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 6:37SASParker 2' Layup (19 PTS)81
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 6:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 6:46DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 7:12SASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McDyess 4 AST)81
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 7:17SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)81
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 7:18SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot81
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q4 - 7:34DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 7:34DETWilcox 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)81
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 7:35DETMISS Gordon 11' Jump Bank Shot79
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 7:51DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw Technical79
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 8:04DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 8:05SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q4 - 8:32DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)79
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 8:32DETVillanueva 1' Layup (14 PTS)79
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 8:34DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)77
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 8:34DETMISS Villanueva 2' Layup77
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 8:35DETMISS Villanueva 9' Jump Shot77
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 8:53SASMason Jr. 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)77
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 9:07DETWilcox Foul Turnover (P3.T11)77
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 9:23SASMason Jr. 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)77
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 9:27SASSPURS Rebound77
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q4 - 9:27SASMISS Parker 1' Layup77
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q4 - 9:46DETWilcox Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)77
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 9:55SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)77
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q4 - 9:59SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
12.4%
81
87.6%
Q4 - 10:00DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
13.2%
81
86.8%
Q4 - 10:15DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
15.4%
81
84.6%
Q4 - 10:16DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
13.4%
81
86.6%
Q4 - 10:44SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)77
15.4%
81
84.6%
Q4 - 11:03DETWilcox 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)77
18.6%
79
81.4%
Q4 - 11:25SASJefferson 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)77
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q4 - 11:41SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
25.9%
77
74.1%
Q4 - 11:41DETMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 177
26.5%
77
73.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET75
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound75
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Gordon 58' 3PT Jump Shot75
19.6%
77
80.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot75
20.8%
77
79.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)75
18.8%
77
81.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot73
14.0%
77
86.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot73
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 1:07DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 1:07DETVillanueva 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)73
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 1:08DETMISS Villanueva 3' Layup71
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q3 - 1:27SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q3 - 1:27SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q3 - 1:32DETMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)71
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 1:32DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Maxiell 20' Jump Shot71
14.0%
75
86.0%
Q3 - 1:51DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q3 - 1:53SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot71
14.9%
75
85.1%
Q3 - 2:04SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
13.1%
75
86.9%
Q3 - 2:05DETMISS Hamilton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot71
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q3 - 2:23SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)71
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 2:45DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
21.1%
72
78.9%
Q3 - 2:45DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 270
19.9%
72
80.1%
Q3 - 2:47DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 2:49DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 2:49DETMISS Maxiell 3' Jump Shot70
19.0%
72
81.0%
Q3 - 2:50DETMISS Stuckey 11' Jump Shot70
19.0%
72
81.0%
Q3 - 3:05SASJefferson 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)70
20.5%
72
79.5%
Q3 - 3:17DETMason Jr. STEAL (1 STL)70
23.4%
70
76.6%
Q3 - 3:24DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q3 - 3:26SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot70
25.9%
70
74.1%
Q3 - 3:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
23.4%
70
76.6%
Q3 - 3:36DETMISS Hamilton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot70
24.5%
70
75.5%
Q3 - 4:01DETPistons Rebound70
26.9%
70
73.1%
Q3 - 4:01SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot70
25.7%
70
74.3%
Q3 - 4:16DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)70
23.1%
70
76.9%
Q3 - 4:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 4:21DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 4:47SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 5:07DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)68
22.6%
68
77.4%
Q3 - 5:12SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)65
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q3 - 5:24DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)65
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 5:24DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)64
14.7%
68
85.3%
Q3 - 5:26SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)63
13.2%
68
86.8%
Q3 - 5:32SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
11.2%
68
88.8%
Q3 - 5:33DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot63
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q3 - 5:47DETPistons Rebound63
13.2%
68
86.8%
Q3 - 5:48DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot63
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q3 - 6:08SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)63
13.1%
68
86.9%
Q3 - 6:23DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T6)63
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)63
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q3 - 6:40SASSPURS Rebound63
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 6:40SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot63
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 6:55DETGinobili STEAL (2 STL)63
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 7:03DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 7:06SASMISS Bogans 2' Layup63
16.3%
66
83.7%
Q3 - 7:10DETBogans STEAL (1 STL)63
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 7:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 7:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
17.6%
65
82.4%
Q3 - 7:44DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS)63
19.2%
64
80.8%
Q3 - 7:57SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 7:57SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 261
17.8%
63
82.2%
Q3 - 8:12DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)61
16.7%
63
83.3%
Q3 - 8:31SASBlair Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)59
14.8%
63
85.2%
Q3 - 8:34DETBlair STEAL (1 STL)59
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 8:50SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)59
14.8%
63
85.2%
Q3 - 9:01DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
16.6%
61
83.4%
Q3 - 9:01DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q3 - 9:17DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 9:18SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot57
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 9:35DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 9:49SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)55
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 10:03SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 10:05SASMISS Blair 3' Jump Shot55
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 10:20SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 10:21DETMISS Hamilton 5' Running Jump Shot55
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 10:32DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
14.6%
59
85.4%
Q3 - 10:33SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 10:51DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 10:51DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 254
12.6%
59
87.4%
Q3 - 10:53DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q3 - 10:54SASMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
12.4%
59
87.6%
Q3 - 11:20DETPrince 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q3 - 11:34DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q3 - 11:35SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot52
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET52
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound52
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey 3' Running Layup52
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASSPURS Rebound52
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 252
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
10.4%
58
89.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0DETWallace 1' Layup (4 PTS)52
10.4%
58
89.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0DETDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)50
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASParker 5' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)50
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETVillanueva 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)50
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)48
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q2 - 1:20DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q2 - 1:20DETVillanueva 1' Layup (8 PTS)48
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q2 - 1:22DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.4%
54
91.6%
Q2 - 1:45SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)46
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q2 - 1:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 1:58DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot46
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 2:16DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
12.8%
51
87.2%
Q2 - 2:18SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot46
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q2 - 2:40DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 2:40DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 2:53SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q2 - 2:53SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 3:12DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q2 - 3:12DETVillanueva 2' Layup (6 PTS)44
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q2 - 3:14DETMISS Wallace 3' Layup42
9.3%
49
90.7%
Q2 - 3:38SASJefferson 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)42
10.3%
49
89.7%
Q2 - 3:43SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
11.2%
47
88.8%
Q2 - 3:45DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot42
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 4:02DETPistons Rebound42
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q2 - 4:03SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 142
12.4%
47
87.6%
Q2 - 4:07SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
13.9%
45
86.1%
Q2 - 4:08DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q2 - 4:08DETMISS Prince 1' Layup42
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 4:10DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot42
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 4:21DETPistons Rebound42
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q2 - 4:22DETMISS Prince 7' Jump Shot42
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 4:33DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 142
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 4:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 4:39DETMISS Villanueva 11' Turnaround Jump Shot42
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 4:53SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T7)42
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 5:03DETVillanueva 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
17.2%
43
82.8%
Q2 - 5:20SASBogans 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)40
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 5:42SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 5:42DETMISS Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 240
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 5:42DETMISS Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 240
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 5:46DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 5:48SASMISS Mason Jr. 18' Jump Bank Shot40
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 6:10DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 6:32DETPistons Rebound38
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 6:34DETMISS Stuckey 6' Jump Shot38
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 6:43DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 6:44SASMISS Parker 2' Layup38
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 6:49SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 6:50DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 6:50DETMISS Wilcox 1' Layup38
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 6:52DETMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot38
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 7:08DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 7:09SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 238
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 7:09SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 7:14SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
16.8%
39
83.2%
Q2 - 7:16DETMISS Villanueva 13' Turnaround Jump Shot38
17.3%
39
82.7%
Q2 - 7:30DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 7:31SASMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot38
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 7:54DETStuckey 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)38
16.8%
39
83.2%
Q2 - 8:12SASMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)35
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 8:24SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 8:26DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 8:32SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)35
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 8:47DETVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)35
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 9:08SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 9:08SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 9:13SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 9:15DETMISS Gordon 14' Jump Shot33
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 9:34SASParker 1' Layup (5 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)33
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 9:44DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)33
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 10:11SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)30
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q2 - 10:23SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 10:25SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot30
19.2%
30
80.8%
Q2 - 10:55DETWilcox 4' Dunk (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)30
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 11:12SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 11:21SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 11:23DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 11:39SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)28
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 11:42SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q2 - 11:44SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot28
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS28
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETHamilton 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)28
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0DETMISS Wilcox 3' Dunk26
16.9%
27
83.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot26
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 1:10SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 226
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 226
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q1 - 1:20SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q1 - 1:20SASMcDyess 3' Layup (2 PTS)26
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q1 - 1:22SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Bank Shot26
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 1:43DETStuckey 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
19.4%
25
80.6%
Q1 - 2:05SASGinobili 1' Dunk (7 PTS)24
17.7%
25
82.3%
Q1 - 2:10DETGinobili STEAL (1 STL)24
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 2:23SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)24
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 2:42DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q1 - 2:42DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
23.8%
20
76.2%
Q1 - 2:54SASGinobili 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)22
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 3:13DETStuckey 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 3:35DETPistons Rebound20
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot20
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 4:02DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)20
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 4:05SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)17
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 4:18DETWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T1)17
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 4:35DETPistons Rebound17
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 4:36SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot17
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 4:53DETWallace 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)17
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 5:17SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 5:17SASBlair 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 5:19SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot15
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 5:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
16.0%
16
84.0%
Q1 - 5:28DETMISS Maxiell 11' Turnaround Jump Shot15
16.4%
16
83.6%
Q1 - 5:47SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 6:10DETStuckey 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 6:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 6:20SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot13
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 6:35DETHamilton 2' Layup (6 PTS)13
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 6:37SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)11
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 6:57SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 6:59DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot11
13.9%
14
86.1%
Q1 - 7:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
14.4%
14
85.6%
Q1 - 7:13SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 211
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 7:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 7:20DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 211
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 7:20DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 211
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 7:34DETPrince 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 7:45SASJefferson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 8:02DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 8:02DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 28
14.0%
11
86.0%
Q1 - 8:15SASJefferson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 8:33DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 8:44SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 8:44SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 9:06DETMaxiell 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)6
15.2%
7
84.8%
Q1 - 9:10SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 9:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
13.3%
7
86.7%
Q1 - 9:13SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot4
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 9:31DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)4
13.3%
7
86.7%
Q1 - 9:59SASParker 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)2
12.3%
7
87.7%
Q1 - 10:17SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.3%
5
86.7%
Q1 - 10:18DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot2
13.6%
5
86.4%
Q1 - 10:42SASJefferson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 11:02DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
15.0%
3
85.0%
Q1 - 11:26SASBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)0
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 11:46SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.9%
0
84.1%
Q1 - 11:47DETMISS Stuckey 15' Jump Shot0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Wallace: Tip to Prince0
16.8%
0
83.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.95 47.4%
SAS
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
27
63%
SAS
18
24
75%
Midrange
DET
19
45
42%
SAS
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
SAS
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
DET
14
25
56%
SAS
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2960%14.5 / 24
C. Villanueva1447%7.0 / 15
R. Stuckey1354%6.5 / 12
B. Gordon1142%5.5 / 13
T. Prince739%3.5 / 9
B. Wallace788%3.5 / 4
J. Maxiell536%2.5 / 7
C. Wilcox433%2.0 / 6
K. Brown2100%1.0 / 1
C. Atkins0-0.0 / 1
A. Daye0-0.0 / 1
J. Jerebko0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2357%11.5 / 20
R. Jefferson1771%8.5 / 12
M. Ginobili1667%8.0 / 12
T. Duncan1464%7.0 / 11
D. Blair1083%5.0 / 6
R. Mason Jr.1063%5.0 / 8
G. Hill8100%4.0 / 4
K. Bogans675%3.0 / 4
A. McDyess660%3.0 / 5
M. Haislip250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
70
+25
-16
95
SAS
75
+10
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.95 47.4%
SAS
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
110.4
DET 107.0
SAS 128.7 +21.8
Pace
88.8
91.5
DET 86.5 +0.1
SAS 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.0
DET 16.6 +0.0
SAS 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
51.5%
DET 45.9%
SAS 63.5% +17.6%
TO %
14.2%
14.1%
DET 14.3%
SAS 12.4% +1.9%
ORB %
30.4%
26.8%
DET 40.9% +12.3%
SAS 28.6%
FTrt
30.3
29.6
DET 29.4
SAS 32.4 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
58.1%
DET 42.1%
SAS 69.8% +27.7%
STL %
8.2%
6.9%
DET 10.5% +1.3%
SAS 9.2%
BLK %
6.7%
6.9%
DET 5.0% +2.2%
SAS 2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
54.0%
DET 47.4%
SAS 65.1% +17.7%
Rim FG%
57.1%
62.2%
DET 63.0%
SAS 75.0% +12.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.7%
DET 42.2%
SAS 47.2% +5.0%
3P %
31.4%
35.8%
DET 15.4%
SAS 57.1% +41.7%
FT %
72.8%
74.0%
DET 56.0%
SAS 75.0% +19.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
36.1%
DET 31.8%
SAS 32.4% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
40.6%
DET 52.9%
SAS 48.6% +4.3%
3P Att. %
18.0%
23.2%
DET 15.3%
SAS 18.9% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points92112
Rebounds3834
Assists1630
Steals98
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (7)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (4)26 (1)
Field Goals38-8543-74
At-the-Rim FG17-2718-24
Midrange FG19-4517-36
2-Point FG36-7235-60
3-Point FG2-138-14
Free Throws14-2518-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 30
36.5
7
39%
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-4
25%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 193 · 32
35.6
29
60%
1
2
1
0
2
2
0
1
4-6
67%
11-20
55%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 240 · 35
26.3
7
88%
5
2
1
1
2
4
4
1
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 24
24.9
13
54%
4
0
1
0
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 260 · 27
24.6
5
36%
7
0
2
0
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
28.1
11
42%
0
3
2
0
5
2
0
0
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 232 · 25
23.4
14
47%
8
1
1
0
1
3
6
2
0-0
-
7-13
54%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27
19.6
4
33%
9
0
0
1
3
1
3
6
0-4
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 35
12.9
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 220 · 22
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 231 · 23
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 290 · 28
2.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#12 · G · 6'0" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
47%
38
16
9
3
16
0
18
20
14-25
56%
36-72
50%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.