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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Raptors46%101108
1876ers54%102106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.2
39.7
34.5
23
54%
6
1
0
1
3
1
2
4
1-1
100%
8-17
5-10
47%
49%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.8
36.5
37.0
29
72%
9
6
1
1
0
6
1
8
9-12
75%
10-15
8-15
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
31.1
32.2
10
59%
4
4
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.8
30.0
33.1
9
57%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
1-4
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
24.0
18.7
12
68%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
23.6
21.6
8
45%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-3
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
19.4
13.8
4
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
15.1
19.5
8
84%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
15.0
11.7
4
100%
5
0
2
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
5.6
17.8
1
27%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.1
8.9
0
1-2
49%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.6
2.5
0
0-1
52%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
46.7
36.3
17
58%
11
9
3
2
1
4
3
8
6-6
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
52%
1-5
20%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
46.3
24.0
18
38%
13
1
2
1
0
5
4
9
0-0
-
9-21
4-8
43%
53%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
38.1
25.5
10
63%
10
3
1
0
5
1
2
8
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.6
33.9
31.4
22
68%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
7-7
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
1-2
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
33.2
32.5
23
83%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
50%
3-5
60%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.6
15.6
12.3
2
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
13.1
21.3
3
32%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
9.8
13.6
8
52%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
3.2
9.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
27.3
1
5-10
51%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.9
6.1
0
0-1
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.9
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.3
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.