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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Nets22%9399
10Hornets78%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
37.3
32.3
28
82%
2
6
2
1
0
1
1
1
7-7
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
5-7
71%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.9
34.2
32.7
4
22%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.2
31.7
34.1
8
40%
10
1
0
1
2
4
3
7
0-0
-
4-10
4-10
40%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.0
29.7
30.0
10
43%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.8
27.4
34.0
14
43%
9
5
2
1
1
2
3
6
4-5
80%
5-14
6-12
36%
51%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.9
23.3
13.9
8
57%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
22.6
15.1
21
92%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
45%
4-7
57%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.4
20.2
13.7
2
25%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
7.1
12.0
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.9
6.3
9.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
7.6
0
1-1
41%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
6.6
0
1-2
43%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
40.3
38.6
11
49%
5
18
3
2
0
3
1
4
2-5
40%
3-7
7-13
43%
54%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.4
34.5
37.3
32
78%
10
0
1
1
0
0
5
5
5-6
83%
12-17
8-16
71%
51%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
29.0
32.8
13
51%
13
0
1
1
1
2
4
9
5-6
83%
4-10
5-9
40%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
28.5
32.0
8
37%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-5
20%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.6
28.3
26.2
9
39%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-5
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.0
24.0
22.3
7
51%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
19.5
9.6
5
32%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.9
18.5
16.9
10
56%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
9.4
4.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.4
8.0
10.0
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.3
4.3
0
1-1
48%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.1
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.