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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bulls42%9293
23Bucks58%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
37.6
36.7
25
45%
5
9
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-7
71%
10-25
9-18
40%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
36.0
36.0
13
45%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
5-10
50%
4-9
6-13
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.0
32.5
34.6
12
51%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
28.0
29.5
10
50%
18
0
0
1
1
1
5
13
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
23.8
24.0
6
50%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
29.3
21.7
4
41%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
23.5
26.7
10
56%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.7
20.0
15.8
11
71%
4
2
0
0
2
0
2
2
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
9.4
9.8
2
35%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
2.1
0
0-1
46%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.1
2.0
0
0-0
38%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.2
1.8
0
0-1
40%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
42.1
26.0
27
52%
13
2
0
1
6
1
3
10
5-7
71%
11-23
6-11
48%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
38.7
27.8
5
24%
3
8
0
1
3
4
1
2
3-3
100%
1-7
4-9
14%
44%
0-2
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
35.7
29.1
24
61%
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
7
6-8
75%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
2-5
40%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
25.9
17.2
13
54%
11
0
0
1
0
0
4
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
3-7
43%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
21.5
24.2
1
13%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
22.1
27.4
11
63%
7
0
0
1
2
0
5
2
3-4
75%
4-7
5-9
57%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
21.0
8.5
5
83%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
16.5
22.0
10
85%
0
1
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
2-2
100%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
10.7
23.4
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
5.9
14.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
10.4
0
1-2
46%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.