FinalWin Prob.pScore
739%95
112
561%98
103
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
127.38883.3
SAS logo SAS
117.08893.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL112
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0DALDampier 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)112
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)107
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot107
99.4%
100
0.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)107
98.7%
100
1.3%
Q4 - 1:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)104
93.2%
100
6.8%
Q4 - 1:13SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)104
94.0%
99
6.0%
Q4 - 1:16SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
95.7%
98
4.3%
Q4 - 1:17DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot104
96.4%
98
3.6%
Q4 - 1:31SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)104
97.0%
98
3.0%
Q4 - 1:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)104
97.3%
97
2.7%
Q4 - 1:40DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)104
97.6%
96
2.4%
Q4 - 2:00DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
96.0%
96
4.0%
Q4 - 2:01SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
95.4%
96
4.6%
Q4 - 2:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)102
93.1%
96
6.9%
Q4 - 2:13SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot102
95.5%
96
4.5%
Q4 - 2:27DALTerry 19' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)102
93.1%
96
6.9%
Q4 - 2:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)100
87.8%
96
12.2%
Q4 - 2:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)100
88.9%
95
11.1%
Q4 - 2:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)100
91.2%
94
8.8%
Q4 - 3:00DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot100
92.5%
94
7.5%
Q4 - 3:15SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)100
94.9%
94
5.1%
Q4 - 3:15SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)100
95.4%
93
4.6%
Q4 - 3:36DALNowitzki 9' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)100
93.4%
92
6.6%
Q4 - 3:50SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T11)98
91.3%
92
8.7%
Q4 - 4:01DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)98
87.7%
92
12.3%
Q4 - 4:09DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
77.4%
92
22.6%
Q4 - 4:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)95
69.3%
92
30.7%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Bank Shot95
75.1%
92
24.9%
Q4 - 4:14SASMISS McDyess 1' Layup95
75.2%
92
24.8%
Q4 - 4:35DALTerry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)95
69.5%
92
30.5%
Q4 - 4:57SASGinobili Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)92
51.8%
92
48.2%
Q4 - 5:14DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)92
58.4%
90
41.6%
Q4 - 5:36DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
42.0%
90
58.0%
Q4 - 5:37SASMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot89
39.4%
90
60.6%
Q4 - 5:58DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)89
33.6%
90
66.4%
Q4 - 6:16SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)87
28.3%
90
71.7%
Q4 - 6:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
41.5%
87
58.5%
Q4 - 6:28DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot87
43.9%
87
56.1%
Q4 - 6:43SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)87
49.5%
87
50.5%
Q4 - 6:59DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
41.5%
87
58.5%
Q4 - 6:59DALDampier 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)87
41.5%
87
58.5%
Q4 - 7:00DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Layup85
29.8%
87
70.2%
Q4 - 7:12DALMavericks Rebound85
35.2%
87
64.8%
Q4 - 7:12DALJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)85
30.6%
87
69.4%
Q4 - 7:15DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
35.2%
87
64.8%
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
33.1%
87
66.9%
Q4 - 7:39DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)85
28.6%
87
71.4%
Q4 - 7:47DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
19.0%
87
81.0%
Q4 - 7:48SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot82
17.6%
87
82.4%
Q4 - 8:01DALNowitzki 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (16 PTS)82
16.5%
87
83.5%
Q4 - 8:22SASJefferson 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)80
13.1%
87
86.9%
Q4 - 8:40DALNowitzki 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)80
16.4%
85
83.6%
Q4 - 8:53SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)78
13.0%
85
87.0%
Q4 - 9:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
21.5%
82
78.5%
Q4 - 9:10DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot78
22.8%
82
77.2%
Q4 - 9:28DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
25.7%
82
74.3%
Q4 - 9:29SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
24.4%
82
75.6%
Q4 - 9:57DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)78
21.5%
82
78.5%
Q4 - 10:16SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)76
18.5%
82
81.5%
Q4 - 10:34DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
22.1%
80
77.9%
Q4 - 10:34DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
21.4%
80
78.6%
Q4 - 10:55DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
18.5%
80
81.5%
Q4 - 10:56SASMISS Ginobili 20' Step Back Jump Shot74
17.5%
80
82.5%
Q4 - 11:13DALGooden 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)74
16.3%
80
83.7%
Q4 - 11:25DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
13.5%
80
86.5%
Q4 - 11:25SASMISS Jefferson 13' Pullup Jump Shot72
12.8%
80
87.2%
Q4 - 11:41DALTerry 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
11.2%
80
88.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS70
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound70
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot70
9.5%
80
90.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 1' Tip Shot70
9.5%
80
90.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALGooden Layup (8 PTS)70
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALMISS Kidd Free Throw 2 of 268
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 167
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALTerry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)67
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASMason Jr. Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)67
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
6.8%
78
93.2%
Q3 - 1:12DALMavericks Rebound65
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 1:13SASMISS Blair 3' Jump Shot65
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q3 - 1:27SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q3 - 1:28DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 1:44DALMavericks Rebound65
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 1:45SASMISS Mason Jr. 13' Running Jump Shot65
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q3 - 2:05SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 2:05DALMISS Nowitzki 29' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q3 - 2:26SASBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T8)65
6.6%
78
93.4%
Q3 - 2:43DALBlair STEAL (1 STL)65
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 2:52SASMason Jr. 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)65
6.6%
78
93.4%
Q3 - 2:57SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
7.8%
76
92.2%
Q3 - 2:58SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot65
8.8%
76
91.2%
Q3 - 3:16SASSPURS Rebound65
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q3 - 3:16DALMason Jr. BLOCK (1 BLK)65
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q3 - 3:38SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)65
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q3 - 3:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q3 - 3:41DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot65
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 4:00SASDuncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)65
16.0%
73
84.0%
Q3 - 4:16SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
18.7%
71
81.3%
Q3 - 4:21DALMISS Nowitzki 1' Reverse Layup65
19.7%
71
80.3%
Q3 - 4:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
22.0%
71
78.0%
Q3 - 4:21DALMISS Nowitzki Layup65
19.7%
71
80.3%
Q3 - 4:38SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)65
22.0%
71
78.0%
Q3 - 4:48SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
28.0%
68
72.0%
Q3 - 4:49DALMISS Beaubois 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
29.3%
68
70.7%
Q3 - 5:04SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)65
32.0%
68
68.0%
Q3 - 5:25DALHill STEAL (1 STL)65
35.3%
66
64.7%
Q3 - 5:37SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)65
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 5:55DALKidd 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)65
47.5%
63
52.5%
Q3 - 6:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
43.5%
63
56.5%
Q3 - 6:15SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot63
42.1%
63
57.9%
Q3 - 6:38DALNowitzki 8' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)63
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 6:51DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
35.7%
63
64.3%
Q3 - 6:53SASMISS Parker 2' Layup61
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 7:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
31.7%
63
68.3%
Q3 - 7:04DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot61
32.8%
63
67.2%
Q3 - 7:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
35.4%
63
64.6%
Q3 - 7:20SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
34.3%
63
65.7%
Q3 - 7:41DALBeaubois 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
31.7%
63
68.3%
Q3 - 8:05SASParker 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)59
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 8:18DALBeaubois 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
31.7%
61
68.3%
Q3 - 8:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
28.7%
61
71.3%
Q3 - 8:30SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot57
27.7%
61
72.3%
Q3 - 8:49DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 8:49DALMarion 2' Layup (12 PTS)57
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 8:50DALMISS Beaubois 2' Layup55
21.0%
61
79.0%
Q3 - 8:56SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)55
22.9%
61
77.1%
Q3 - 9:07DALMarion 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
20.5%
61
79.5%
Q3 - 9:23SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)53
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 9:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)53
18.8%
60
81.2%
Q3 - 9:38DALMarion 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)53
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 9:54SASDuncan 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)51
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 10:11SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 10:12DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper51
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q3 - 10:29DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 10:30SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot51
22.6%
57
77.4%
Q3 - 10:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 10:46DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot51
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q3 - 10:58DALMavericks Rebound51
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 10:58DALDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)51
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q3 - 11:04DALMavericks Rebound51
23.7%
57
76.3%
Q3 - 11:05DALMISS Barea 15' Jump Shot51
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 11:16SASBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)51
23.7%
57
76.3%
Q3 - 11:26DALGinobili STEAL (2 STL)51
29.0%
54
71.0%
Q3 - 11:39DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
32.1%
54
67.9%
Q3 - 11:41SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot51
31.1%
54
68.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL51
29.0%
54
71.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound51
32.1%
54
67.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Kidd 42' 3PT Jump Shot51
29.9%
54
70.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASJefferson 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)51
32.0%
54
68.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0DALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)51
35.7%
52
64.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)51
38.1%
52
61.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0DALMarion 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)51
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q2 - 1:05SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
41.2%
49
58.8%
Q2 - 1:23DALTerry 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)49
38.8%
49
61.2%
Q2 - 1:30DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
35.0%
49
65.0%
Q2 - 1:31DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot47
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q2 - 2:04SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)47
35.3%
49
64.7%
Q2 - 2:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
38.1%
47
61.9%
Q2 - 2:15DALMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot47
39.1%
47
60.9%
Q2 - 2:36SASParker Layup (15 PTS)47
41.3%
47
58.7%
Q2 - 2:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
44.4%
45
55.6%
Q2 - 2:56DALMISS Kidd 23' Jump Shot47
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q2 - 3:10DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q2 - 3:10DALMISS Thomas 22' Jump Shot47
45.1%
45
54.9%
Q2 - 3:24SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q2 - 3:36DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)47
50.2%
43
49.8%
Q2 - 3:47SASBogans Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
53.9%
43
46.1%
Q2 - 3:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
50.2%
43
49.8%
Q2 - 3:58DALMISS Gooden 2' Layup47
51.3%
43
48.7%
Q2 - 4:11DALGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
53.1%
43
46.9%
Q2 - 4:12SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup47
52.1%
43
47.9%
Q2 - 4:28DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 4:28DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
49.2%
43
50.8%
Q2 - 4:29DALGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q2 - 4:31DALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)45
44.7%
43
55.3%
Q2 - 4:45SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)45
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q2 - 5:06DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)45
49.7%
41
50.3%
Q2 - 5:21DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
43.7%
41
56.3%
Q2 - 5:22SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 242
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q2 - 5:22SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 242
41.5%
41
58.5%
Q2 - 5:39SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 5:40DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot42
41.7%
41
58.3%
Q2 - 5:59SASDuncan Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)42
43.7%
41
56.3%
Q2 - 6:09SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
46.0%
39
54.0%
Q2 - 6:10DALMISS Thomas 15' Turnaround Jump Shot42
47.1%
39
52.9%
Q2 - 6:27SASParker 2' Layup (11 PTS)42
49.5%
39
50.5%
Q2 - 6:36SASMISS Mason Jr. Free Throw Technical42
51.9%
37
48.1%
Q2 - 6:51DALThomas 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)42
51.9%
37
48.1%
Q2 - 7:11DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
48.9%
37
51.1%
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot40
48.0%
37
52.0%
Q2 - 7:48DALThomas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)40
45.9%
37
54.1%
Q2 - 7:55DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
43.3%
37
56.7%
Q2 - 7:56SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
42.4%
37
57.6%
Q2 - 8:10SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 8:11DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot38
40.9%
37
59.1%
Q2 - 8:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 8:20SASMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot38
42.0%
37
58.0%
Q2 - 8:34SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 8:35DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot38
41.0%
37
59.0%
Q2 - 8:50SASJefferson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)38
42.9%
37
57.1%
Q2 - 8:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 8:59DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot38
46.4%
35
53.6%
Q2 - 9:20SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
47.8%
35
52.2%
Q2 - 9:31DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
50.3%
33
49.7%
Q2 - 9:31DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
49.8%
33
50.2%
Q2 - 9:50SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)36
47.8%
33
52.2%
Q2 - 9:58DALTerry Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)36
50.3%
31
49.7%
Q2 - 9:58DALTerry Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)35
47.6%
31
52.4%
Q2 - 10:04DALHoward 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)34
44.8%
31
55.2%
Q2 - 10:23DALMavericks Rebound32
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 10:23SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
41.6%
31
58.4%
Q2 - 10:41DALHoward 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
39.7%
31
60.3%
Q2 - 11:03SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)30
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 11:20DALMarion 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)30
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 11:25SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 11:32DALGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 11:32DALGooden 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)28
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 11:33DALMISS Marion 7' Floating Jump Shot26
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q2 - 11:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
32.7%
29
67.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL26
37.2%
26
62.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound26
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 40' 3PT Jump Shot26
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot26
38.5%
26
61.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)26
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0DALHoward Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)23
30.6%
26
69.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)21
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q1 - 1:07SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
33.0%
23
67.0%
Q1 - 1:09DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 221
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q1 - 1:09DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 221
34.7%
23
65.3%
Q1 - 1:14DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q1 - 1:16SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot21
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q1 - 1:35DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
33.0%
23
67.0%
Q1 - 1:48SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)18
28.3%
23
71.7%
Q1 - 2:10DALGooden 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q1 - 2:17DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 2:18SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot16
30.2%
20
69.8%
Q1 - 2:39DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 2:57SASParker 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)16
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 3:21DALMarion 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 3:42DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
30.9%
18
69.1%
Q1 - 3:43SASMISS Parker 5' Floating Jump Shot14
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 3:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 3:50DALMISS Marion 1' Layup14
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 4:03DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 4:05SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup14
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 4:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 4:14DALMISS Gooden 6' Running Jump Shot14
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 4:26DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 4:27SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 4:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 4:37DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 4:49SASParker 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)14
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 5:09DALGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
32.7%
16
67.3%
Q1 - 5:09DALGooden 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
32.7%
16
67.3%
Q1 - 5:10DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot12
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 5:26SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 5:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:28DALMISS Kidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 5:46SASDuncan 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)12
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 6:12SASSPURS Rebound12
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 6:14DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Fadeaway Jumper12
33.2%
14
66.8%
Q1 - 6:41SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 6:55DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)12
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 6:55DALMavericks Rebound12
40.6%
11
59.4%
Q1 - 6:56DALMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)12
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 7:22SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
40.3%
11
59.7%
Q1 - 7:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 7:33DALMISS Barea 16' Pullup Jump Shot12
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 7:42SASParker 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 7:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 7:50SASMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot12
47.9%
7
52.1%
Q1 - 8:07DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
46.2%
7
53.8%
Q1 - 8:07DALDampier 1' Layup (6 PTS)12
46.2%
7
53.8%
Q1 - 8:09DALMISS Nowitzki 1' Layup10
42.8%
7
57.2%
Q1 - 8:40SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 8:50DALDampier 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)10
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 9:02SASParker 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
40.2%
7
59.8%
Q1 - 9:15DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)8
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 9:33SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
40.2%
5
59.8%
Q1 - 9:33SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 26
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:47SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 9:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 9:49DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Layup6
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:51DALMISS Barea 2' Running Layup6
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:04SASDuncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 10:19DALDampier 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 10:34SASBogans 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 10:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 10:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 11:06DALMavericks Rebound2
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 11:06SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot2
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:14SASSPURS Rebound2
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 11:15SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot2
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:35DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)2
39.3%
0
60.7%
Q1 - 11:40DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:41DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Dampier: Tip to Kidd0
37.7%
0
62.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.11 55.4%
SAS
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
18
30
60%
SAS
21
30
70%
Midrange
DAL
19
44
43%
SAS
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
SAS
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
DAL
17
20
85%
SAS
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2643%13.0 / 30
J. Terry2175%10.5 / 14
E. Dampier14117%7.0 / 6
S. Marion1267%6.0 / 9
J. Howard1255%6.0 / 11
D. Gooden1071%5.0 / 7
J. Kidd956%4.5 / 8
T. Thomas450%2.0 / 4
R. Beaubois450%2.0 / 4
J. Barea0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3167%15.5 / 23
T. Parker2150%10.5 / 21
R. Jefferson1563%7.5 / 12
M. Ginobili1250%6.0 / 12
G. Hill9150%4.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.880%4.0 / 5
K. Bogans5125%2.5 / 2
D. Blair233%1.0 / 3
A. McDyess0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
81
+18
-7
99
SAS
76
+7
-12
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.11 55.4%
SAS
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.4
DAL 127.3 +10.2
SAS 117.0
Pace
92.6
91.5
DAL 83.3
SAS 93.3 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.0
DAL 17.3
SAS 15.4 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
51.5%
DAL 53.4%
SAS 57.2% +3.8%
TO %
13.2%
14.1%
DAL 7.6% +4.7%
SAS 12.3%
ORB %
24.3%
26.8%
DAL 30.8% +15.2%
SAS 15.6%
FTrt
27.7
29.6
DAL 22.5
SAS 27.6 +5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
58.1%
DAL 54.5%
SAS 55.0% +0.5%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
DAL 8.0% +3.5%
SAS 4.5%
BLK %
8.5%
6.9%
DAL 9.8% +3.0%
SAS 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
54.0%
DAL 55.4%
SAS 61.3% +5.9%
Rim FG%
58.4%
62.2%
DAL 60.0%
SAS 70.0% +10.0%
Mid FG%
42.9%
40.7%
DAL 43.2% +4.5%
SAS 38.7%
3P %
37.2%
35.8%
DAL 46.7%
SAS 46.7%
FT %
81.7%
74.0%
DAL 85.0% +8.8%
SAS 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
36.1%
DAL 33.7%
SAS 39.5% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
40.6%
DAL 49.4%
SAS 40.8% +8.6%
3P Att. %
22.2%
23.2%
DAL 16.9%
SAS 19.7% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points112103
Rebounds3932
Assists2422
Steals74
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)27 (2)
Field Goals44-8940-76
At-the-Rim FG18-3021-30
Midrange FG19-4412-31
2-Point FG37-7433-61
3-Point FG7-157-15
Free Throws17-2016-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 37
41.4
9
56%
5
8
2
1
2
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
F · 7'0" 245 · 32
40.2
26
43%
5
2
0
3
2
3
2
3
4-4
100%
8-25
32%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
25.2
14
117%
5
1
0
1
0
5
3
2
1-1
100%
5-5
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 228 · 32
23.8
12
67%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
14.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
34.6
21
75%
4
8
2
0
2
2
0
4
5-5
100%
5-9
56%
2-4
50%
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30
27.8
12
55%
4
2
1
0
1
4
0
4
6-8
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 28
17.6
10
71%
8
1
0
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 33
9.3
4
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
5.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29
#13 · G · 6'6" 212 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
55%
39
24
7
6
7
0
12
27
17-20
85%
37-74
50%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.