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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings39%105101
20Warriors61%109108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
38.1
30.4
25
60%
2
6
3
1
1
6
1
1
8-9
89%
7-15
7-13
47%
50%
1-2
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
35.4
32.2
11
36%
7
6
0
1
1
4
3
4
1-3
33%
5-14
6-12
36%
51%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
35.2
15.3
19
87%
14
2
2
1
1
1
5
9
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
4-6
67%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
30.7
38.7
4
23%
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
5-10
20%
51%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
15.5
23.2
10
63%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
36.3
28.9
14
48%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
1-6
17%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
26.6
17.6
10
39%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
16.6
15.5
4
114%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
5.7
9.4
4
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
22.4
1
3-5
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
5.6
0
0-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
2.2
0
0-1
47%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.2
46.0
41.1
39
60%
4
6
2
2
0
4
1
3
8-8
100%
14-26
10-20
54%
52%
1-3
33%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
42.5
32.8
24
54%
8
2
1
1
0
3
0
8
12-14
86%
6-15
6-12
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
34.1
31.3
12
55%
3
4
1
2
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.0
29.3
20.4
8
106%
3
1
2
0
4
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.5
12.0
22.2
6
61%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
21.8
20.2
6
100%
9
3
3
1
0
0
0
9
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
18.9
25.6
6
47%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
18.3
12.7
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
12.7
25.2
5
64%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
1-3
33%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
4.3
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
7.6
0
1-2
46%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
2.6
0
0-0
42%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.