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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pacers28%94102
16Thunder72%102108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.7
37.8
20.0
15
63%
15
1
2
0
0
4
3
12
0-0
-
6-11
2-4
55%
49%
1-1
100%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.7
36.9
31.4
25
47%
6
1
4
1
2
3
3
3
9-13
69%
2-11
4-9
18%
46%
4-10
40%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.6
23.9
28.5
6
43%
2
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
21.8
25.2
6
34%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.1
15.2
29.4
9
39%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
1-1
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
26.2
28.8
3
75%
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.3
26.2
25.5
8
43%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
1-5
20%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
24.1
17.6
23
72%
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
41%
3-5
60%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
22.2
12.6
5
53%
7
0
0
0
2
1
1
6
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
5.7
22.1
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
10.4
0
1-2
48%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.9
4.7
0
0-0
43%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.8
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.2
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
39.5
31.6
12
45%
2
1
3
1
1
4
1
1
1-1
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
38.6
26.5
5
35%
8
0
1
1
1
1
1
7
3-5
60%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
37.9
37.8
40
80%
12
3
1
1
0
2
0
12
14-16
88%
10-16
8-15
63%
52%
2-2
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
37.3
35.7
18
52%
9
6
0
1
0
5
2
7
2-3
67%
8-16
6-14
50%
45%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
13.0
22.9
6
77%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
3-3
4-7
100%
51%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.4
26.0
22.1
13
67%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
23.5
24.1
8
69%
7
1
1
1
3
2
0
7
2-4
50%
3-4
3-4
75%
58%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
11.7
15.1
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
7.3
0.3
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
5.3
17.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.3
0
0-1
54%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
2.3
0
0-1
54%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.