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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics59%101114
14Raptors41%97107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.9
44.3
38.6
22
59%
10
13
4
2
0
3
2
8
3-4
75%
8-16
6-11
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.5
41.9
36.2
16
53%
4
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-5
60%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
1-5
20%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.3
34.1
33.2
29
99%
8
0
1
1
2
0
1
7
6-6
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
5-7
71%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.2
34.0
35.0
16
60%
6
2
1
0
4
4
5
1
4-10
40%
6-8
6-9
75%
61%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.2
34.0
38.0
16
57%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
7-7
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
49%
1-3
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.0
18.3
14.8
2
20%
6
0
1
1
0
2
5
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
16.0
18.9
11
55%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
3-9
33%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
9.0
7.6
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.0
7.7
14.5
0
0%
0
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
0.4
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
0.3
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.3
1.0
0
0-0
52%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.8
43.4
36.3
31
68%
13
4
2
1
2
5
5
8
13-13
100%
9-17
7-15
53%
50%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.2
36.8
36.2
23
65%
5
0
1
0
2
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-9
5-11
44%
47%
4-7
57%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.8
32.3
31.2
5
25%
4
9
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-2
0%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
31.1
31.1
15
66%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
1-3
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
25.1
20.7
7
60%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
22.0
22.4
11
74%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
53%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
21.9
17.3
14
58%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
15.5
13.1
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
8.3
16.2
1
27%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
3.5
12.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.6
2.4
0
0-1
51%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
1.9
0
0-1
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.1
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.