FinalWin Prob.pScore
1649%94
84
2051%95
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.48996.1
LAC logo LAC
104.49083.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAC
Q4 - 0:00.0LAC84
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0LACMISS Davis 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05LACMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMagloire Tip Shot (6 PTS)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAJordan BLOCK (1 BLK)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37LACDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40LACDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAHeat Rebound80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAButler BLOCK (1 BLK)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07LACDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)80
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 2:29MIABeasley Driving Layup (19 PTS)79
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43LACMISS Thornton 21' Jump Shot77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 3:04MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Beasley 5' Running Jump Shot75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18LACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18LACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)75
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 3:50MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:51LACMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:02LACDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 4:03LACMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:09LACDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 4:10LACMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 273
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:10LACSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 4:10LACSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:11LACMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:19LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 4:42LACThornton Dunk (11 PTS) (Davis 14 AST)73
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:58MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 5:15LACMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot71
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 5:39MIAChalmers Driving Layup (5 PTS)71
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 5:42LACCollins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)69
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 5:56LACSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:57LACMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot69
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:13MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)69
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 6:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26LACMISS Thornton 18' Pullup Jump Shot67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 6:35LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot67
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:43LACCollins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)67
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:08MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)67
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 7:24MIAHeat Rebound64
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 7:24LACMISS Kaman 13' Jump Shot64
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 7:36LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot64
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 7:57LACMISS Kaman 11' Jump Shot64
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 8:21LACCLIPPERS Rebound64
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot64
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 8:41LACThornton 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)64
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 8:58MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)64
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 9:08LACThornton Foul Turnover (P3.T16)62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 9:18LACKaman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)62
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot62
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 9:33LACButler 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 9:51LACSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 162
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 10:06LACThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)60
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 10:15LACCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot60
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 10:22LACSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)60
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 10:32LACButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot60
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 11:01LACSmith Layup (8 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)60
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 11:10LACSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot60
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 11:22LACThornton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)60
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 11:46MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)60
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA58
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0LACSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0LACSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAAlston Driving Layup (4 PTS)58
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0LACSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0LACSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot56
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 1:02MIAHeat Rebound56
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 1:09MIAHeat Rebound56
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 1:09MIACamby BLOCK (1 BLK)56
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 1:20LACMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 256
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 1:20LACSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)56
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 1:20LACCLIPPERS Rebound56
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot56
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 1:35LACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 1:35LACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)56
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q3 - 1:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)56
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot56
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 2:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 2:20LACMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 256
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 2:20LACGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)56
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 2:38MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)56
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 2:58LACDavis Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T12)54
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 3:13LACCLIPPERS Rebound54
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 3:27LACKaman Layup (22 PTS) (Davis 13 AST)54
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 3:42MIACamby STEAL (3 STL)54
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 4:05LACGordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Davis 12 AST)54
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 4:20LACKaman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)54
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 154
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)54
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 4:27LACDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)51
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 4:47LACCamby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)51
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot51
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q3 - 5:05LACButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)51
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 5:21LACCamby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)51
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 5:27MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 5:29LACMISS Davis Layup51
7.8%
66
92.2%
Q3 - 5:45LACKaman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)51
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 5:47LACMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.8%
66
92.2%
Q3 - 6:05MIAWade Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)51
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q3 - 6:09LACGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)49
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 6:16LACKaman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)49
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 6:17MIAKaman BLOCK (2 BLK)49
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 6:45LACButler 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)49
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 6:58MIAWade Driving Dunk (15 PTS)49
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 7:15LACDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)47
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 7:17LACCamby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)47
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 7:17LACCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)47
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 7:17LACMISS Camby Layup47
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 7:19LACMISS Kaman 12' Jump Shot47
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 7:45LACKaman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)47
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot47
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 7:47LACKaman Layup (20 PTS) (Davis 11 AST)47
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 7:53MIACamby STEAL (2 STL)47
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 8:08LACButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 8:08LACButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 8:30MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)47
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 8:45LACGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)45
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 9:08MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 9:19MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 9:20LACMISS Kaman 19' Jump Shot43
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q3 - 9:28LACCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)43
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot43
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 9:44LACKaman Layup (18 PTS)43
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 10:02MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T11)43
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q3 - 10:13LACGordon 9' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Davis 10 AST)43
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 10:26MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q3 - 10:26MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q3 - 10:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 10:38LACMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 10:55MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)41
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 11:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q3 - 11:11LACMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q3 - 11:27LACKaman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot41
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q3 - 11:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q3 - 11:43LACMISS Davis Layup41
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0LACKaman Layup (16 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)41
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMagloire Layup (4 PTS)41
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0LACCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)39
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0LACCamby Tip Shot (6 PTS)39
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0LACMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0LACCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)39
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Magloire Tip Shot39
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wright 7' Jump Shot39
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0LACDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0LACDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 1:12MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 1:21LACGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 1:28LACKaman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
16.1%
50
83.9%
Q2 - 1:37LACMISS Kaman 7' Jump Shot37
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 2:00LACCLIPPERS Rebound37
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
15.6%
50
84.4%
Q2 - 2:14LACKaman 10' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (14 PTS)37
16.9%
50
83.1%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWade 5 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)37
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 2:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
20.8%
48
79.2%
Q2 - 2:46LACCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)37
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 2:46LACMISS Camby Tip Shot37
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 2:48LACMISS Davis Layup37
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 2:55LACCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot37
19.3%
48
80.7%
Q2 - 3:15LACButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)37
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
25.6%
45
74.4%
Q2 - 3:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q2 - 3:44LACMISS Kaman 14' Jump Shot34
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 3:53LACCLIPPERS Rebound34
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 3:53LACMISS Davis Layup34
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 4:00MIAWade Putback Layup (6 PTS)34
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 4:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 4:04MIAKaman BLOCK (1 BLK)32
16.7%
45
83.3%
Q2 - 4:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 4:11LACMISS Gordon Layup32
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 4:16LACCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
16.1%
45
83.9%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Wright Layup32
16.7%
45
83.3%
Q2 - 4:38MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 4:39LACMISS Kaman 19' Jump Shot32
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)32
16.1%
45
83.9%
Q2 - 4:58LACDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)32
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)32
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 5:29LACKaman Layup (12 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)30
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q2 - 5:48MIABeasley Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
16.8%
43
83.2%
Q2 - 6:01LACButler 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)28
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 6:37LACCLIPPERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)26
15.9%
41
84.1%
Q2 - 6:37LACCLIPPERS Rebound26
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 6:37LACMISS Collins 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 6:56LACSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 6:58LACMISS Collins Layup26
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 7:02LACKaman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)26
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade Layup26
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 7:12MIAHeat Rebound26
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 7:13LACMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.9%
41
84.1%
Q2 - 7:38MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)26
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 7:42LACCollins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 7:57MIABeasley 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)24
12.1%
41
87.9%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw Technical22
11.8%
41
88.2%
Q2 - 8:28LACCollins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)22
11.7%
41
88.3%
Q2 - 8:51MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)22
14.1%
38
85.9%
Q2 - 9:11LACKaman Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 9:11LACKaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 9:11LACKaman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)22
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q2 - 9:12LACMISS Thornton Layup22
18.6%
36
81.4%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMagloire Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)22
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q2 - 9:30LACDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 9:44LACSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot22
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 9:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot22
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound22
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q2 - 10:07LACMISS Kaman Layup22
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 10:09LACKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 10:10LACMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 222
19.4%
36
80.6%
Q2 - 10:10LACSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 10:31MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)22
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 10:50LACThornton 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)20
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)20
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 11:24LACThornton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 11:41LACKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q2 - 11:43LACMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot20
26.7%
30
73.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound20
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0LACGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)20
27.5%
30
72.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0LACGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)20
27.9%
29
72.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0LACGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot20
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0LACDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
31.6%
28
68.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0LACDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
32.1%
27
67.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)20
34.2%
26
65.8%
Q1 - 1:01LACGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
32.1%
26
67.9%
Q1 - 1:01LACMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 218
32.5%
25
67.5%
Q1 - 1:16LACCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)18
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot18
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q1 - 1:22MIAWright Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
34.2%
25
65.8%
Q1 - 1:47LACGordon 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)17
32.1%
25
67.9%
Q1 - 1:49LACCLIPPERS Rebound17
34.8%
23
65.2%
Q1 - 1:49LACMISS Smith Layup17
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q1 - 2:07MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q1 - 2:29LACGordon Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)15
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 2:34LACSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.1%
21
64.9%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot15
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 3:02LACButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q1 - 3:02LACMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 215
37.7%
20
62.3%
Q1 - 3:05LACKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
39.5%
20
60.5%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Alston Tip Shot15
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Layup15
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 3:15LACDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
39.5%
20
60.5%
Q1 - 3:21LACKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade Layup15
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 3:32MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
39.5%
20
60.5%
Q1 - 3:33LACMISS Kaman Layup15
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 3:45MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 4:02LACCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 4:02LACCamby Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 4:04LACMISS Kaman 18' Jump Shot15
43.3%
18
56.7%
Q1 - 4:14LACCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot15
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 4:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
44.0%
18
56.0%
Q1 - 4:27LACMISS Kaman 14' Jump Shot15
43.3%
18
56.7%
Q1 - 4:35MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)15
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 4:54LACKaman Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)15
44.0%
18
56.0%
Q1 - 5:13MIABeasley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)15
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 5:34LACCamby Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)12
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 5:41LACCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot12
44.5%
14
55.5%
Q1 - 5:57LACGordon 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 6:14MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
48.1%
12
51.9%
Q1 - 6:14MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
47.8%
12
52.2%
Q1 - 6:35LACGordon Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)10
46.1%
12
53.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
48.1%
10
51.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIABeasley Putback Dunk (4 PTS)10
48.1%
10
51.9%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade Layup8
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 6:59MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
46.1%
10
53.9%
Q1 - 7:01LACMISS Butler Layup8
45.5%
10
54.5%
Q1 - 7:05MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)8
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 7:30LACKaman 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 7:59MIARichardson Layup (2 PTS)8
48.1%
8
51.9%
Q1 - 8:20LACKaman Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)6
46.2%
8
53.8%
Q1 - 8:36LACButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 8:38MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Richardson Tip Shot6
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 8:39MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Richardson Tip Shot6
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot6
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 9:00MIAHeat Rebound6
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 9:00LACCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 9:00LACMISS Camby Tip Shot6
49.7%
6
50.3%
Q1 - 9:02LACMISS Davis Layup6
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 9:12MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)6
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 9:29LACKaman Dunk (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)4
46.5%
6
53.5%
Q1 - 9:35MIAAlston 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
48.6%
4
51.4%
Q1 - 9:49LACDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
46.5%
4
53.5%
Q1 - 9:49LACDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
46.9%
3
53.1%
Q1 - 9:54LACKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot2
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 10:07LACMISS Kaman 17' Jump Shot2
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 10:19LACCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 10:27MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 10:30LACMISS Kaman Layup2
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 10:49MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)2
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 11:03MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 11:04LACMISS Kaman 16' Jump Shot0
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 11:13LACCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 11:34LACDavis Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 11:40MIACamby STEAL (1 STL)0
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Camby vs. O'Neal: Tip to Beasley0
50.2%
0
49.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.7%
LAC
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
32
53%
LAC
14
30
47%
Midrange
MIA
13
38
34%
LAC
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
LAC
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
15
18
83%
LAC
27
33
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2452%12.0 / 23
M. Beasley2056%10.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
J. Magloire675%3.0 / 4
D. Wright528%2.5 / 9
Q. Richardson425%2.0 / 8
R. Alston433%2.0 / 6
J. O'Neal220%1.0 / 5
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Kaman2244%11.0 / 25
E. Gordon1771%8.5 / 12
R. Butler1365%6.5 / 10
A. Thornton1365%6.5 / 10
B. Davis1142%5.5 / 13
C. Smith956%4.5 / 8
M. Camby650%3.0 / 6
M. Collins350%1.5 / 3
R. Davis0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+15
-15
89
LAC
72
+18
-18
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.7%
LAC
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
103.6
MIA 94.4 +10.1
LAC 104.4
Pace
89.6
92.4
MIA 96.1 +12.3
LAC 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
MIA 15.0 +2.2
LAC 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.1%
MIA 41.1%
LAC 45.3% +4.2%
TO %
13.6%
16.1%
MIA 14.0% +3.7%
LAC 17.7%
ORB %
26.0%
27.1%
MIA 24.4%
LAC 37.5% +13.1%
FTrt
29.6
28.3
MIA 21.4
LAC 44.6 +23.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
60.3%
MIA 45.5%
LAC 71.0% +25.5%
STL %
8.1%
7.0%
MIA 15.7% +10.1%
LAC 5.6%
BLK %
9.4%
8.7%
MIA 11.7% +4.6%
LAC 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
51.4%
MIA 44.7%
LAC 51.1% +6.4%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.0%
MIA 53.1% +6.4%
LAC 46.7%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.1%
MIA 34.2%
LAC 40.0% +5.8%
3P %
34.6%
33.2%
MIA 21.4%
LAC 35.7% +14.3%
FT %
75.2%
73.0%
MIA 83.3% +1.5%
LAC 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
36.6%
MIA 38.1%
LAC 40.5% +2.4%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
41.3%
MIA 45.2%
LAC 40.5% +4.7%
3P Att. %
21.9%
22.1%
MIA 16.7%
LAC 18.9% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIALAC
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points8494
Rebounds3649
Assists1522
Steals145
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)34 (4)
Field Goals33-8431-74
At-the-Rim FG17-3214-30
Midrange FG13-3812-30
2-Point FG30-7026-60
3-Point FG3-145-14
Free Throws15-1827-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
39.7
20
56%
7
2
3
1
4
4
3
4
5-6
83%
6-14
43%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
35.8
24
52%
2
3
3
0
3
0
1
1
1-3
33%
10-19
53%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
28.1
4
25%
7
3
2
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
22.9
4
33%
4
2
1
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
19.6
2
20%
2
0
0
2
3
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
29.0
5
28%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
22.2
6
43%
1
1
0
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
20.9
6
75%
8
0
2
1
1
4
3
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
16.9
11
61%
0
3
3
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
4.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
45%
36
15
14
7
15
0
11
25
15-18
83%
30-70
43%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.