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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Nets11%8885
3Spurs89%10497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.8
42.4
31.0
28
68%
11
2
1
1
3
2
2
9
8-8
100%
10-17
5-11
59%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.0
38.6
29.6
13
45%
5
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
47%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.2
37.8
32.7
16
37%
8
1
0
1
0
1
4
4
8-10
80%
4-16
4-10
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
36.9
33.8
4
18%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
0-4
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
36.5
17.9
10
50%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
2-5
40%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.4
15.2
16.2
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
11.5
5.0
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
10.2
10.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
6.2
4.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.9
4.8
17.6
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.9
8.2
0
1-2
46%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.6
5.7
0
0-1
44%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
29.0
34.9
8
31%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-11
7-14
27%
54%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
27.3
33.6
14
54%
17
3
1
1
2
2
5
12
0-0
-
7-13
8-15
54%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
26.3
30.9
10
48%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
25.3
22.7
3
38%
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
14.9
15.8
4
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
56%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
26.4
30.3
21
72%
3
3
1
2
0
3
0
3
8-8
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
1-3
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
24.4
19.9
10
74%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
22.8
15.4
4
41%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
20.7
1.8
15
97%
9
1
0
0
1
1
2
7
3-4
75%
6-6
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
20.7
24.0
7
44%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
2.1
1.9
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
4.1
0
0-1
52%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.8
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.