FinalWin Prob.pScore
1031%93
102
269%99
96
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
121.48479.8
BOS logo BOS
111.68690.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL102
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSMISS Rondo 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot102
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)102
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0BOSMISS Pierce 12' Jump Shot102
98.4%
96
1.6%
Q4 - 1:02ATLCrawford 22' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)102
96.2%
96
3.8%
Q4 - 1:22ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)100
91.5%
96
8.5%
Q4 - 1:22BOSMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot100
89.8%
96
10.2%
Q4 - 1:40ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)100
82.0%
96
18.0%
Q4 - 1:59ATLHawks Rebound98
73.2%
96
26.8%
Q4 - 2:01BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot98
70.5%
96
29.5%
Q4 - 2:14ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)98
60.5%
96
39.5%
Q4 - 2:14ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 397
59.0%
96
41.0%
Q4 - 2:14ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)97
68.9%
96
31.1%
Q4 - 2:34BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)96
53.2%
96
46.8%
Q4 - 2:47ATLSmith Dunk (14 PTS) (Crawford 6 AST)96
71.8%
93
28.2%
Q4 - 2:51BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)94
61.2%
93
38.8%
Q4 - 3:09ATLJohnson 21' Fadeaway Jumper (36 PTS)94
47.2%
93
52.8%
Q4 - 3:21ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
40.0%
93
60.0%
Q4 - 3:23BOSMISS Rondo 3' Jump Shot92
35.4%
93
64.6%
Q4 - 3:43BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
28.5%
93
71.5%
Q4 - 3:44ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot92
31.0%
93
69.0%
Q4 - 3:58BOSRondo 2' Driving Layup (26 PTS)92
37.4%
93
62.6%
Q4 - 4:25ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)92
46.2%
91
53.8%
Q4 - 4:32ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
28.8%
91
71.2%
Q4 - 4:34ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot89
23.2%
91
76.8%
Q4 - 4:53BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)89
28.7%
91
71.3%
Q4 - 5:26ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)89
45.0%
88
55.0%
Q4 - 5:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
37.2%
88
62.8%
Q4 - 5:45BOSMISS Perkins 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot87
34.7%
88
65.3%
Q4 - 6:10ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)87
29.5%
88
70.5%
Q4 - 6:10ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
28.1%
88
71.9%
Q4 - 6:24BOSDavis 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)85
23.9%
88
76.1%
Q4 - 6:45ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
29.5%
86
70.5%
Q4 - 6:45ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 284
28.1%
86
71.9%
Q4 - 7:00BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
29.9%
86
70.1%
Q4 - 7:00BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
31.4%
85
68.6%
Q4 - 7:26ATLJohnson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)84
35.4%
84
64.6%
Q4 - 7:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
29.9%
84
70.1%
Q4 - 7:45BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
28.0%
84
72.0%
Q4 - 7:52BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
23.9%
84
76.1%
Q4 - 7:53ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot82
25.6%
84
74.4%
Q4 - 8:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
29.9%
84
70.1%
Q4 - 8:01BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup82
28.2%
84
71.8%
Q4 - 8:08BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
24.8%
84
75.2%
Q4 - 8:09ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot82
26.3%
84
73.7%
Q4 - 8:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
29.8%
84
70.2%
Q4 - 8:27BOSMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot82
28.2%
84
71.8%
Q4 - 8:47ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)82
24.8%
84
75.2%
Q4 - 8:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
29.8%
84
70.2%
Q4 - 8:51BOSMISS Davis 1' Layup82
28.2%
84
71.8%
Q4 - 9:07BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
25.4%
84
74.6%
Q4 - 9:08ATLMISS Horford 3' Jump Shot82
26.8%
84
73.2%
Q4 - 9:31BOSPierce Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)82
30.1%
84
69.9%
Q4 - 9:54ATLJohnson 1' Layup (29 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)82
25.4%
84
74.6%
Q4 - 9:59BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)80
21.0%
84
79.0%
Q4 - 10:24ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)80
17.9%
84
82.1%
Q4 - 10:41BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
12.2%
84
87.8%
Q4 - 10:41BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
12.8%
83
87.2%
Q4 - 11:04BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q4 - 11:05ATLMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot77
16.3%
82
83.7%
Q4 - 11:25BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)77
18.4%
82
81.6%
Q4 - 11:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
21.9%
80
78.1%
Q4 - 11:46ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot77
23.0%
80
77.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS77
25.6%
80
74.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
21.9%
80
78.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot77
23.4%
80
76.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)77
25.7%
80
74.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
30.2%
78
69.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
28.9%
78
71.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0BOSAllen Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)75
25.7%
78
74.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)75
26.0%
77
74.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)75
26.3%
76
73.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
34.7%
75
65.3%
Q3 - 1:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
25.7%
75
74.3%
Q3 - 1:03BOSMISS Pierce 13' Jump Shot72
24.6%
75
75.4%
Q3 - 1:26BOSCELTICS Rebound72
22.4%
75
77.6%
Q3 - 1:27ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
23.4%
75
76.6%
Q3 - 1:39BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P5.T16)72
25.7%
75
74.3%
Q3 - 1:49ATLHorford Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T6)72
22.4%
75
77.6%
Q3 - 2:02BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)72
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q3 - 2:02BOSCELTICS Rebound72
22.2%
75
77.8%
Q3 - 2:03BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
24.5%
75
75.5%
Q3 - 2:26ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
22.2%
75
77.8%
Q3 - 2:26ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
21.8%
75
78.2%
Q3 - 2:29BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)70
19.1%
75
80.9%
Q3 - 2:36BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 2:37ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot70
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q3 - 2:57BOSPierce 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)70
19.1%
75
80.9%
Q3 - 3:25ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)70
22.1%
73
77.9%
Q3 - 3:46BOSPierce 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS)67
16.7%
73
83.3%
Q3 - 4:19ATLEvans 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)67
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q3 - 4:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
17.1%
71
82.9%
Q3 - 4:24ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot65
15.2%
71
84.8%
Q3 - 4:39BOSAllen 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
17.1%
71
82.9%
Q3 - 5:05ATLSmith 2' Running Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)65
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 5:19BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)63
17.2%
69
82.8%
Q3 - 5:41ATLJohnson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)63
14.6%
69
85.4%
Q3 - 6:02BOSRondo 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)61
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 6:05BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 6:07ATLPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)61
15.6%
67
84.4%
Q3 - 6:16ATLMISS Williams Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 261
17.4%
67
82.6%
Q3 - 6:16ATLWilliams Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (14 PTS)61
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 6:16ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)60
15.2%
67
84.8%
Q3 - 6:16ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)59
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 6:16ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)58
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 6:19BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)57
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 6:43ATLSmith Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)57
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 6:54BOSPierce 9' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 7:13ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 7:13ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 254
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 7:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 7:20BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 7:27BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 7:28ATLMISS Johnson 1' Reverse Layup54
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 7:48ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 7:49ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot54
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 8:04BOSRondo 2' Layup (20 PTS)54
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 8:27ATLHorford 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)54
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 8:37BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P3.T11)52
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q3 - 8:54ATLJohnson 17' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)52
7.8%
63
92.2%
Q3 - 9:13BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)50
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 9:13BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 250
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 9:32ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)50
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q3 - 9:52BOSPerkins 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)48
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 10:04BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 10:05ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 248
7.5%
60
92.5%
Q3 - 10:05ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 248
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 10:19BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 10:19BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q3 - 10:35BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q3 - 10:36ATLMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot48
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 10:59BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)48
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 11:27ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)48
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q3 - 11:46BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)46
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS46
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound46
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLSmith 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)46
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Johnson 3' Layup44
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)44
10.1%
55
89.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0BOSMISS Scalabrine 4' Jump Shot44
14.0%
52
86.0%
Q2 - 1:00ATLWilliams 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)44
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q2 - 1:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 1:08BOSMISS Pierce 3' Layup42
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q2 - 1:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q2 - 1:15ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot42
10.9%
52
89.1%
Q2 - 1:33BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)42
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 1:50ATLHorford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q2 - 2:11BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)40
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q2 - 2:33ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)40
11.8%
49
88.2%
Q2 - 2:42ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q2 - 2:43BOSMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot38
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 2:57ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)38
9.4%
49
90.6%
Q2 - 2:57ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)37
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 2:57ATLHawks Rebound36
8.4%
49
91.6%
Q2 - 2:57ATLMISS Crawford 13' Jump Shot36
7.7%
49
92.3%
Q2 - 3:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
8.7%
49
91.3%
Q2 - 3:04ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot36
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 3:28BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)36
8.7%
49
91.3%
Q2 - 3:41BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q2 - 3:42ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 3:58BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)36
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 3:58BOSCELTICS Rebound36
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q2 - 3:58BOSMISS Rondo 30' 3PT Jump Shot36
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 4:23BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q2 - 4:26ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot36
10.1%
47
89.9%
Q2 - 4:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 4:30ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 136
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 4:47BOSRondo 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)34
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 5:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
10.1%
45
89.9%
Q2 - 5:06ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot34
10.4%
45
89.6%
Q2 - 5:30BOSScalabrine 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)34
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 5:41ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)34
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 6:02BOSScalabrine 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)31
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 6:12BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 6:13ATLMISS Smith 8' Hook Shot31
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 6:32BOSRondo 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)31
15.7%
39
84.3%
Q2 - 6:39BOSMISS House Free Throw Technical31
17.0%
37
83.0%
Q2 - 7:06ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)31
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 7:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 7:21BOSMISS Perkins 4' Turnaround Jump Shot28
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 7:38BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 7:39ATLMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot28
13.3%
37
86.7%
Q2 - 8:03BOSRondo 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)28
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 8:16ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)28
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 8:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q2 - 8:19ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot25
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 8:35BOSRondo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)25
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q2 - 8:43ATLRondo STEAL (1 STL)25
11.9%
35
88.1%
Q2 - 8:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q2 - 8:49BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.8%
35
87.2%
Q2 - 9:03ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
12.1%
35
87.9%
Q2 - 9:16ATLHawks Rebound25
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 9:17BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot25
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 9:28ATLDavis STEAL (1 STL)25
12.1%
35
87.9%
Q2 - 9:30ATLHawks Rebound25
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 9:31ATLHouse BLOCK (1 BLK)25
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 9:38BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)25
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 9:54ATLWilliams 13' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)25
12.1%
35
87.9%
Q2 - 10:08BOSDavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)23
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 10:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q2 - 10:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
10.1%
35
89.9%
Q2 - 10:25BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)21
9.4%
35
90.6%
Q2 - 10:41BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
8.4%
35
91.6%
Q2 - 10:42ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot21
8.7%
35
91.3%
Q2 - 11:06BOSShel. Williams 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)21
9.6%
35
90.4%
Q2 - 11:25BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
10.5%
33
89.5%
Q2 - 11:26ATLMISS Crawford 10' Pullup Jump Shot21
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q2 - 11:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 11:48BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 121
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS21
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound21
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 40' 3PT Jump Shot21
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
13.0%
31
87.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0BOSDavis 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)21
13.9%
31
86.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLEvans 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q1 - 1:06BOSAllen 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)18
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q1 - 1:08BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 1:10ATLMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot18
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q1 - 1:28BOSRondo 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)18
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q1 - 1:56ATLPachulia 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)18
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q1 - 2:19BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)16
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 2:32ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 2:53BOSRondo 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)16
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 2:57BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 216
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 2:57BOSPerkins Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
22.1%
19
77.9%
Q1 - 2:59BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
24.9%
18
75.1%
Q1 - 3:00BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot16
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 3:19ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 3:19ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)15
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 3:30BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)14
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 3:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 3:38ATLMISS Johnson 11' Fadeaway Jumper14
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q1 - 3:49BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
28.2%
15
71.8%
Q1 - 3:54BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 3:55ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot14
26.9%
15
73.1%
Q1 - 4:22BOSRondo 8' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)14
27.9%
15
72.1%
Q1 - 4:35BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29.6%
13
70.4%
Q1 - 4:35ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 214
29.9%
13
70.1%
Q1 - 4:35ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 4:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
29.7%
13
70.3%
Q1 - 4:47BOSMISS Perkins 7' Jump Shot13
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 5:00ATLBibby 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)13
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 5:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 5:14ATLMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot11
25.0%
13
75.0%
Q1 - 5:23ATLHawks Rebound11
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 5:23ATLMISS Horford 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot11
25.0%
13
75.0%
Q1 - 5:44BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
26.2%
13
73.8%
Q1 - 5:44BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 6:02ATLJohnson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)11
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 6:20BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)9
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 6:40ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
27.5%
9
72.5%
Q1 - 6:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.4%
9
75.6%
Q1 - 6:49BOSMISS Rondo 3' Jump Shot6
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 6:55BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 6:56ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot6
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 7:06BOSRondo 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 7:16ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 7:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.4%
7
72.6%
Q1 - 7:22BOSMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot6
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 7:36ATLJohnson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 7:55BOSAllen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)4
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 7:59BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 8:00ATLMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot4
23.1%
7
76.9%
Q1 - 8:18BOSPierce 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)4
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 8:33ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 8:33ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 23
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 8:38ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw Technical3
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 9:00BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)3
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 9:12BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
24.1%
5
75.9%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot3
24.6%
5
75.4%
Q1 - 9:36BOSScalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)3
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 9:47BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 9:48ATLMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot3
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 10:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 10:08BOSMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot3
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 10:12BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 10:13ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 10:13ATLMISS Johnson 2' Tip Shot3
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 10:16ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot3
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 10:46BOSRondo 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)3
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 10:52BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 10:53ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot3
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:12BOSMISS Perkins 13' Jump Shot3
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 11:42ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.13 56.7%
BOS
1.25 62.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
22
64%
BOS
18
25
72%
Midrange
ATL
12
39
31%
BOS
8
20
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
BOS
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
Free Throws
ATL
23
33
70%
BOS
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3667%18.0 / 27
J. Crawford1757%8.5 / 15
J. Smith1454%7.0 / 13
M. Williams1454%7.0 / 13
A. Horford935%4.5 / 13
M. Bibby583%2.5 / 3
M. Evans563%2.5 / 4
Z. Pachulia2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Rondo2662%13.0 / 21
P. Pierce1963%9.5 / 15
R. Allen1673%8.0 / 11
G. Davis1381%6.5 / 8
K. Perkins1161%5.5 / 9
B. Scalabrine9113%4.5 / 4
S. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
T. Allen0-0.0 / 1
E. House0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
77
+12
-7
89
BOS
70
+7
-16
77
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.13 56.7%
BOS
1.25 62.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
107.5
ATL 121.4 +9.8
BOS 111.6
Pace
89.9
91.9
ATL 79.8
BOS 90.7 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.5
ATL 18.0
BOS 15.9 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
52.2%
ATL 51.3%
BOS 63.1% +11.8%
TO %
12.7%
15.2%
ATL 7.1% +13.6%
BOS 20.7%
ORB %
28.3%
22.9%
ATL 22.0% +9.5%
BOS 12.5%
FTrt
28.1
33.2
ATL 42.9 +15.2
BOS 27.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
63.5%
ATL 51.4%
BOS 52.8% +1.4%
STL %
8.0%
9.3%
ATL 8.3% +6.0%
BOS 2.3%
BLK %
7.9%
8.0%
ATL 11.1% +7.8%
BOS 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
54.7%
ATL 56.7%
BOS 62.3% +5.6%
Rim FG%
60.8%
61.6%
ATL 63.6%
BOS 72.0% +8.4%
Mid FG%
40.6%
42.8%
ATL 30.8%
BOS 40.0% +9.2%
3P %
36.0%
34.8%
ATL 56.3% +6.3%
BOS 50.0%
FT %
75.9%
74.6%
ATL 69.7%
BOS 77.8% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
38.9%
ATL 28.6%
BOS 38.5% +9.9%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
38.3%
ATL 50.6%
BOS 30.8% +19.9%
3P Att. %
21.4%
22.8%
ATL 20.8%
BOS 30.8% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLBOS
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes25.322.8
Points10296
Rebounds3035
Assists1819
Steals72
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)16 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals35-7736-65
At-the-Rim FG14-2218-25
Midrange FG12-398-20
2-Point FG26-6126-45
3-Point FG9-1610-20
Free Throws23-3314-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
42.7
36
67%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
9-18
50%
5-7
71%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
41.8
14
54%
3
5
1
2
1
2
1
2
2-5
40%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
41.6
9
35%
12
2
2
1
3
1
3
9
3-4
75%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
40.3
14
54%
8
1
2
1
0
2
3
5
8-11
73%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
17.9
5
83%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
31.7
17
57%
3
6
1
1
0
3
1
2
7-8
88%
2-9
22%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
13.0
5
63%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
6.8
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
C · 6'11" 275 · 24
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
57%
30
18
7
5
7
0
9
21
23-33
70%
26-61
43%
9-16
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.