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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons44%9287
25Bulls56%94120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.9
31.9
36.3
17
62%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-6
67%
5-9
7-15
56%
46%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.7
29.9
23.0
11
45%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
45%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.9
29.4
11.9
15
48%
9
1
1
0
0
0
5
4
3-4
75%
6-11
1-3
55%
51%
0-3
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
26.9
15.1
10
56%
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
18.0
30.7
8
100%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.8
23.1
2.6
5
44%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
1-6
17%
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.4
22.3
24.1
4
18%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
49%
0-3
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.6
18.1
11.1
10
64%
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.4
16.5
12.5
5
50%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-1
100%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
12.0
15.9
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
6.2
31.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
4-9
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.9
5.7
17.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.0
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
32.6
34.0
27
73%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-1
0%
12-17
6-12
71%
49%
1-1
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
26.7
28.1
16
84%
11
4
1
1
0
1
3
8
8-8
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
25.3
34.2
22
85%
2
9
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
11-13
8-16
85%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
21.9
23.0
7
55%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.0
17.1
33.8
6
60%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
45%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
33.8
26.1
17
78%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
4-6
67%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
26.1
23.6
7
54%
6
1
6
1
2
0
2
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.2
18.3
2.3
9
41%
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
41%
1-5
20%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.7
15.7
17.4
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
8.3
12.0
5
64%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
7.2
2.2
2
35%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.1
7.2
1.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
35%
0-1
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.